Eredivisie·Regular Season - 11·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
26%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.282.72safe0.47–2.410.42–2.130.90–4.54safer0.22–2.660.19–2.360.42–5.02
Shots on target
56%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.004.059.04safe3.13–6.862.30–5.795.44–12.65safer2.64–7.351.84–6.254.48–13.60
Total shots
51%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction14.1913.6227.81safe10.27–18.1210.06–17.1820.33–35.30safer9.18–19.219.10–18.1418.28–37.35
Shots in box
52%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction8.768.0516.82safe5.82–11.705.37–10.7411.19–22.44safer4.99–12.534.64–11.479.63–24.01
Blocked shots
43%
15%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.723.717.43safe1.84–5.602.06–5.363.89–10.96safer1.29–6.151.56–5.852.86–12.00
Corners
56%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.604.6010.19safe3.38–7.812.60–6.605.98–14.41safer2.81–8.392.06–7.134.87–15.51
Possession %
38%
58%
homeawayprediction47.7852.03safe40.99–54.5745.24–58.81safer39.32–56.2443.57–60.48
Passes
40%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction409440849safe342–476374–507716–983safer324–494356–524680–1019
Pass accuracy %
28%
67%
homeawayprediction66.0769.97safe62.04–70.1065.65–74.30safer60.75–71.3964.34–75.61
Fouls
32%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5013.2524.75safe8.66–14.3410.31–16.2018.97–30.54safer7.91–15.099.56–16.9517.47–32.04
Offsides
49%
23%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.293.06safe0.61–2.930.20–2.380.80–5.31safer0.31–3.230.00–2.670.21–5.90
Yellow cards
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.833.45safe0.58–2.680.70–2.951.27–5.63safer0.31–2.940.41–3.250.72–6.19
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
36%
16%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.983.346.32safe1.55–4.421.78–4.903.33–9.32safer1.16–4.811.36–5.322.52–10.13
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.44 0.47–2.41 0.22–2.66 | 1.28 0.42–2.13 0.19–2.36 | 2.72 0.90–4.54 0.42–5.02 | 41% 26% 33% |
| Shots on target | 5.00 3.13–6.86 2.64–7.35 | 4.05 2.30–5.79 1.84–6.25 | 9.04 5.44–12.65 4.48–13.60 | 56% 31% |
| Total shots | 14.19 10.27–18.12 9.18–19.21 | 13.62 10.06–17.18 9.10–18.14 | 27.81 20.33–35.30 18.28–37.35 | 51% 42% |
| Shots in box | 8.76 5.82–11.70 4.99–12.53 | 8.05 5.37–10.74 4.64–11.47 | 16.82 11.19–22.44 9.63–24.01 | 52% 38% |
| Blocked shots | 3.72 1.84–5.60 1.29–6.15 | 3.71 2.06–5.36 1.56–5.85 | 7.43 3.89–10.96 2.86–12.00 | 43% 15% 42% |
| Corners | 5.60 3.38–7.81 2.81–8.39 | 4.60 2.60–6.60 2.06–7.13 | 10.19 5.98–14.41 4.87–15.51 | 56% 32% |
| Possession % | 47.78 40.99–54.57 39.32–56.24 | 52.03 45.24–58.81 43.57–60.48 | — | 38% 58% |
| Passes | 409 342–476 324–494 | 440 374–507 356–524 | 849 716–983 680–1019 | 40% 60% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.07 62.04–70.10 60.75–71.39 | 69.97 65.65–74.30 64.34–75.61 | — | 28% 67% |
| Fouls | 11.50 8.66–14.34 7.91–15.09 | 13.25 10.31–16.20 9.56–16.95 | 24.75 18.97–30.54 17.47–32.04 | 32% 60% |
| Offsides | 1.77 0.61–2.93 0.31–3.23 | 1.29 0.20–2.38 0.00–2.67 | 3.06 0.80–5.31 0.21–5.90 | 49% 23% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.63 0.58–2.68 0.31–2.94 | 1.83 0.70–2.95 0.41–3.25 | 3.45 1.27–5.63 0.72–6.19 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.98 1.55–4.42 1.16–4.81 | 3.34 1.78–4.90 1.36–5.32 | 6.32 3.33–9.32 2.52–10.13 | 36% 16% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.