Eredivisie·Regular Season - 19·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
26%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.312.73safe0.45–2.390.45–2.160.90–4.55safer0.20–2.640.22–2.390.42–5.03
Shots on target
53%
13%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.914.149.06safe3.05–6.782.40–5.895.45–12.66safer2.56–7.271.94–6.354.50–13.62
Total shots
61%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction15.5113.5629.07safe11.59–19.449.99–17.1221.58–36.56safer10.50–20.539.03–18.0819.53–38.61
Shots in box
54%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction9.128.2017.33safe6.18–12.075.52–10.8811.70–22.95safer5.35–12.904.79–11.6210.14–24.52
Blocked shots
53%
14%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.133.407.53safe2.25–6.011.75–5.053.99–11.06safer1.70–6.551.25–5.542.96–12.10
Corners
49%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction5.284.8910.17safe3.07–7.492.89–6.895.95–14.38safer2.49–8.072.35–7.424.85–15.49
Possession %
64%
31%
homeawayprediction53.3146.12safe46.52–60.1039.33–52.90safer44.85–61.7737.66–54.57
Passes
72%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction460390849safe392–527323–456715–983safer374–545306–474680–1018
Pass accuracy %
48%
47%
homeawayprediction68.0868.05safe64.05–72.1163.72–72.37safer62.76–73.4062.41–73.68
Fouls
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5811.7524.33safe9.74–15.428.80–14.6918.55–30.11safer8.99–16.178.05–15.4417.04–31.62
Offsides
34%
23%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.693.19safe0.34–2.660.59–2.780.93–5.44safer0.04–2.960.31–3.070.34–6.03
Yellow cards
39%
23%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.703.40safe0.65–2.750.57–2.831.22–5.58safer0.38–3.010.28–3.120.66–6.14
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
34%
16%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.783.296.07safe1.34–4.211.73–4.853.07–9.06safer0.95–4.601.31–5.272.26–9.87
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.42 0.45–2.39 0.20–2.64 | 1.31 0.45–2.16 0.22–2.39 | 2.73 0.90–4.55 0.42–5.03 | 40% 26% 35% |
| Shots on target | 4.91 3.05–6.78 2.56–7.27 | 4.14 2.40–5.89 1.94–6.35 | 9.06 5.45–12.66 4.50–13.62 | 53% 13% 34% |
| Total shots | 15.51 11.59–19.44 10.50–20.53 | 13.56 9.99–17.12 9.03–18.08 | 29.07 21.58–36.56 19.53–38.61 | 61% 32% |
| Shots in box | 9.12 6.18–12.07 5.35–12.90 | 8.20 5.52–10.88 4.79–11.62 | 17.33 11.70–22.95 10.14–24.52 | 54% 37% |
| Blocked shots | 4.13 2.25–6.01 1.70–6.55 | 3.40 1.75–5.05 1.25–5.54 | 7.53 3.99–11.06 2.96–12.10 | 53% 14% 33% |
| Corners | 5.28 3.07–7.49 2.49–8.07 | 4.89 2.89–6.89 2.35–7.42 | 10.17 5.95–14.38 4.85–15.49 | 49% 39% |
| Possession % | 53.31 46.52–60.10 44.85–61.77 | 46.12 39.33–52.90 37.66–54.57 | — | 64% 31% |
| Passes | 460 392–527 374–545 | 390 323–456 306–474 | 849 715–983 680–1018 | 72% 28% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.08 64.05–72.11 62.76–73.40 | 68.05 63.72–72.37 62.41–73.68 | — | 48% 47% |
| Fouls | 12.58 9.74–15.42 8.99–16.17 | 11.75 8.80–14.69 8.05–15.44 | 24.33 18.55–30.11 17.04–31.62 | 53% 39% |
| Offsides | 1.50 0.34–2.66 0.04–2.96 | 1.69 0.59–2.78 0.31–3.07 | 3.19 0.93–5.44 0.34–6.03 | 34% 23% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.70 0.65–2.75 0.38–3.01 | 1.70 0.57–2.83 0.28–3.12 | 3.40 1.22–5.58 0.66–6.14 | 39% 23% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.78 1.34–4.21 0.95–4.60 | 3.29 1.73–4.85 1.31–5.27 | 6.07 3.07–9.06 2.26–9.87 | 34% 16% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+