Predicted match statistics
Goals
15%
17%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction1.132.503.62safe0.16–2.091.64–3.351.80–5.44safer0.00–2.351.41–3.581.32–5.92
Shots on target
80%
homeawaytotalprediction3.556.7610.32safe1.69–5.425.02–8.516.71–13.92safer1.20–5.914.56–8.975.76–14.88
Total shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6017.7329.33safe7.67–15.5214.16–21.2921.84–36.81safer6.58–16.6113.21–22.2519.79–38.86
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction6.6911.6418.33safe3.75–9.638.96–14.3212.71–23.95safer2.92–10.468.22–15.0611.14–25.52
Blocked shots
22%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction3.254.968.22safe1.37–5.143.31–6.614.68–11.75safer0.83–5.682.82–7.113.64–12.79
Corners
24%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction4.326.1310.45safe2.11–6.544.13–8.136.24–14.67safer1.54–7.113.60–8.665.13–15.78
Possession %
17%
80%
homeawayprediction42.3757.73safe35.58–49.1650.95–64.52safer33.91–50.8349.28–66.19
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction389530918safe322–456463–596785–1052safer303–474446–614749–1088
Pass accuracy %
92%
homeawayprediction64.8976.40safe60.86–68.9272.08–80.72safer59.57–70.2170.77–82.03
Fouls
48%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction9.889.5819.46safe7.04–12.726.64–12.5313.68–25.25safer6.29–13.485.89–13.2812.18–26.75
Offsides
40%
23%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.643.35safe0.55–2.870.55–2.731.10–5.61safer0.25–3.180.26–3.020.51–6.20
Yellow cards
41%
24%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.443.01safe0.52–2.620.32–2.570.84–5.19safer0.25–2.880.02–2.870.28–5.75
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.070.15safe0.00–0.240.00–0.250.00–0.50safer0.00–0.390.00–0.390.00–0.78
GK saves
64%
14%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.032.586.60safe2.59–5.461.02–4.133.61–9.60safer2.20–5.850.59–4.562.80–10.41
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.13 0.16–2.09 0.00–2.35 | 2.50 1.64–3.35 1.41–3.58 | 3.62 1.80–5.44 1.32–5.92 | 15% 17% 67% |
| Shots on target | 3.55 1.69–5.42 1.20–5.91 | 6.76 5.02–8.51 4.56–8.97 | 10.32 6.71–13.92 5.76–14.88 | 80% |
| Total shots | 11.60 7.67–15.52 6.58–16.61 | 17.73 14.16–21.29 13.21–22.25 | 29.33 21.84–36.81 19.79–38.86 | 85% |
| Shots in box | 6.69 3.75–9.63 2.92–10.46 | 11.64 8.96–14.32 8.22–15.06 | 18.33 12.71–23.95 11.14–25.52 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 3.25 1.37–5.14 0.83–5.68 | 4.96 3.31–6.61 2.82–7.11 | 8.22 4.68–11.75 3.64–12.79 | 22% 66% |
| Corners | 4.32 2.11–6.54 1.54–7.11 | 6.13 4.13–8.13 3.60–8.66 | 10.45 6.24–14.67 5.13–15.78 | 24% 66% |
| Possession % | 42.37 35.58–49.16 33.91–50.83 | 57.73 50.95–64.52 49.28–66.19 | — | 17% 80% |
| Passes | 389 322–456 303–474 | 530 463–596 446–614 | 918 785–1052 749–1088 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.89 60.86–68.92 59.57–70.21 | 76.40 72.08–80.72 70.77–82.03 | — | 92% |
| Fouls | 9.88 7.04–12.72 6.29–13.48 | 9.58 6.64–12.53 5.89–13.28 | 19.46 13.68–25.25 12.18–26.75 | 48% 43% |
| Offsides | 1.71 0.55–2.87 0.25–3.18 | 1.64 0.55–2.73 0.26–3.02 | 3.35 1.10–5.61 0.51–6.20 | 40% 23% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.57 0.52–2.62 0.25–2.88 | 1.44 0.32–2.57 0.02–2.87 | 3.01 0.84–5.19 0.28–5.75 | 41% 24% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.07 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.39 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 4.03 2.59–5.46 2.20–5.85 | 2.58 1.02–4.13 0.59–4.56 | 6.60 3.61–9.60 2.80–10.41 | 64% 14% 22% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.