Predicted match statistics
Goals
69%
17%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.431.013.43safe1.46–3.400.15–1.861.61–5.26safer1.21–3.650.00–2.091.13–5.74
Shots on target
81%
homeawaytotalprediction6.653.4310.07safe4.78–8.511.69–5.176.47–13.68safer4.29–9.001.22–5.645.51–14.63
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction20.489.3929.87safe16.56–24.415.82–12.9522.38–37.36safer15.47–25.504.86–13.9120.33–39.41
Shots in box
95%
homeawaytotalprediction14.206.4720.67safe11.26–17.143.79–9.1515.04–26.29safer10.43–17.973.05–9.8813.48–27.86
Blocked shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction5.812.568.37safe3.93–7.690.90–4.214.83–11.90safer3.39–8.240.41–4.703.80–12.94
Corners
84%
homeawaytotalprediction7.303.5310.83safe5.09–9.521.52–5.536.62–15.04safer4.52–10.090.99–6.065.51–16.15
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction60.8038.89safe54.01–67.5932.10–45.67safer52.34–69.2630.43–47.34
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction569352921safe502–636285–418787–1054safer484–655268–436751–1090
Pass accuracy %
82%
15%
homeawayprediction75.4267.91safe71.39–79.4563.59–72.24safer70.10–80.7462.28–73.55
Fouls
31%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction8.9210.6619.59safe6.08–11.767.72–13.6113.80–25.37safer5.33–12.516.97–14.3612.30–26.87
Offsides
42%
23%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.751.613.36safe0.59–2.910.52–2.701.11–5.62safer0.29–3.210.23–2.990.52–6.20
Yellow cards
23%
23%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.101.812.91safe0.05–2.150.68–2.940.74–5.09safer0.00–2.420.39–3.230.18–5.65
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.090.13safe0.00–0.200.00–0.280.00–0.47safer0.00–0.350.00–0.410.00–0.76
GK saves
78%
homeawaytotalprediction2.304.817.11safe0.86–3.743.25–6.374.12–10.10safer0.48–4.122.83–6.793.31–10.92
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.43 1.46–3.40 1.21–3.65 | 1.01 0.15–1.86 0.00–2.09 | 3.43 1.61–5.26 1.13–5.74 | 69% 17% 14% |
| Shots on target | 6.65 4.78–8.51 4.29–9.00 | 3.43 1.69–5.17 1.22–5.64 | 10.07 6.47–13.68 5.51–14.63 | 81% |
| Total shots | 20.48 16.56–24.41 15.47–25.50 | 9.39 5.82–12.95 4.86–13.91 | 29.87 22.38–37.36 20.33–39.41 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 14.20 11.26–17.14 10.43–17.97 | 6.47 3.79–9.15 3.05–9.88 | 20.67 15.04–26.29 13.48–27.86 | 95% |
| Blocked shots | 5.81 3.93–7.69 3.39–8.24 | 2.56 0.90–4.21 0.41–4.70 | 8.37 4.83–11.90 3.80–12.94 | 83% |
| Corners | 7.30 5.09–9.52 4.52–10.09 | 3.53 1.52–5.53 0.99–6.06 | 10.83 6.62–15.04 5.51–16.15 | 84% |
| Possession % | 60.80 54.01–67.59 52.34–69.26 | 38.89 32.10–45.67 30.43–47.34 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 569 502–636 484–655 | 352 285–418 268–436 | 921 787–1054 751–1090 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.42 71.39–79.45 70.10–80.74 | 67.91 63.59–72.24 62.28–73.55 | — | 82% 15% |
| Fouls | 8.92 6.08–11.76 5.33–12.51 | 10.66 7.72–13.61 6.97–14.36 | 19.59 13.80–25.37 12.30–26.87 | 31% 61% |
| Offsides | 1.75 0.59–2.91 0.29–3.21 | 1.61 0.52–2.70 0.23–2.99 | 3.36 1.11–5.62 0.52–6.20 | 42% 23% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.10 0.05–2.15 0.00–2.42 | 1.81 0.68–2.94 0.39–3.23 | 2.91 0.74–5.09 0.18–5.65 | 23% 23% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.13 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.30 0.86–3.74 0.48–4.12 | 4.81 3.25–6.37 2.83–6.79 | 7.11 4.12–10.10 3.31–10.92 | 78% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.