Eredivisie·Regular Season - 11·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
24%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.443.04safe0.64–2.570.58–2.291.22–4.86safer0.38–2.820.36–2.520.74–5.34
Shots on target
56%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.444.499.93safe3.58–7.312.74–6.236.32–13.53safer3.09–7.802.28–6.705.37–14.49
Total shots
73%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction16.4212.6629.08safe12.49–20.349.10–16.2321.59–36.57safer11.40–21.438.14–17.1919.54–38.62
Shots in box
62%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction10.318.4918.80safe7.37–13.255.81–11.1713.18–24.42safer6.54–14.085.07–11.9111.61–25.99
Blocked shots
60%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.813.578.38safe2.93–6.691.91–5.224.84–11.91safer2.39–7.241.42–5.713.81–12.95
Corners
56%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction6.035.0311.07safe3.82–8.253.03–7.036.86–15.28safer3.25–8.822.50–7.575.75–16.39
Possession %
62%
33%
homeawayprediction53.1346.81safe46.34–59.9240.02–53.59safer44.67–61.5938.35–55.26
Passes
64%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction446402849safe379–514336–469715–982safer361–532318–486679–1018
Pass accuracy %
45%
50%
homeawayprediction69.4469.92safe65.41–73.4765.59–74.24safer64.12–74.7664.28–75.55
Fouls
41%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4711.0121.48safe7.63–13.318.07–13.9615.70–27.26safer6.88–14.067.32–14.7014.19–28.77
Offsides
47%
25%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.202.81safe0.45–2.770.10–2.290.56–5.07safer0.15–3.080.00–2.580.00–5.65
Yellow cards
29%
23%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.351.793.14safe0.30–2.400.66–2.920.96–5.32safer0.03–2.660.37–3.210.40–5.87
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
29%
14%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction3.134.087.21safe1.69–4.562.52–5.644.21–10.20safer1.30–4.952.10–6.063.40–11.01
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.60 0.64–2.57 0.38–2.82 | 1.44 0.58–2.29 0.36–2.52 | 3.04 1.22–4.86 0.74–5.34 | 42% 24% 34% |
| Shots on target | 5.44 3.58–7.31 3.09–7.80 | 4.49 2.74–6.23 2.28–6.70 | 9.93 6.32–13.53 5.37–14.49 | 56% 32% |
| Total shots | 16.42 12.49–20.34 11.40–21.43 | 12.66 9.10–16.23 8.14–17.19 | 29.08 21.59–36.57 19.54–38.62 | 73% 21% |
| Shots in box | 10.31 7.37–13.25 6.54–14.08 | 8.49 5.81–11.17 5.07–11.91 | 18.80 13.18–24.42 11.61–25.99 | 62% 30% |
| Blocked shots | 4.81 2.93–6.69 2.39–7.24 | 3.57 1.91–5.22 1.42–5.71 | 8.38 4.84–11.91 3.81–12.95 | 60% 27% |
| Corners | 6.03 3.82–8.25 3.25–8.82 | 5.03 3.03–7.03 2.50–7.57 | 11.07 6.86–15.28 5.75–16.39 | 56% 32% |
| Possession % | 53.13 46.34–59.92 44.67–61.59 | 46.81 40.02–53.59 38.35–55.26 | — | 62% 33% |
| Passes | 446 379–514 361–532 | 402 336–469 318–486 | 849 715–982 679–1018 | 64% 35% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.44 65.41–73.47 64.12–74.76 | 69.92 65.59–74.24 64.28–75.55 | — | 45% 50% |
| Fouls | 10.47 7.63–13.31 6.88–14.06 | 11.01 8.07–13.96 7.32–14.70 | 21.48 15.70–27.26 14.19–28.77 | 41% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.61 0.45–2.77 0.15–3.08 | 1.20 0.10–2.29 0.00–2.58 | 2.81 0.56–5.07 0.00–5.65 | 47% 25% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.35 0.30–2.40 0.03–2.66 | 1.79 0.66–2.92 0.37–3.21 | 3.14 0.96–5.32 0.40–5.87 | 29% 23% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.13 1.69–4.56 1.30–4.95 | 4.08 2.52–5.64 2.10–6.06 | 7.21 4.21–10.20 3.40–11.01 | 29% 14% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.