Eredivisie·Regular Season - 20·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
43%
24%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.473.15safe0.71–2.640.62–2.331.33–4.97safer0.46–2.900.39–2.560.85–5.45
Shots on target
46%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction5.315.1210.43safe3.45–7.173.38–6.866.82–14.03safer2.96–7.662.91–7.335.87–14.99
Total shots
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction15.2214.1329.34safe11.29–19.1410.56–17.6921.86–36.83safer10.20–20.239.60–18.6519.81–38.88
Shots in box
52%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction10.109.3619.46safe7.16–13.046.68–12.0413.83–25.08safer6.33–13.875.94–12.7812.27–26.65
Blocked shots
42%
13%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.584.659.24safe2.70–6.473.00–6.315.70–12.77safer2.16–7.012.51–6.804.67–13.81
Corners
47%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction5.625.3510.96safe3.40–7.833.35–7.356.75–15.18safer2.83–8.402.81–7.885.64–16.28
Possession %
48%
47%
homeawayprediction49.8049.62safe43.01–56.5942.84–56.41safer41.34–58.2641.17–58.08
Passes
52%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction437431867safe369–504364–497734–1001safer351–522347–515698–1037
Pass accuracy %
31%
65%
homeawayprediction68.2671.67safe64.23–72.2967.35–75.99safer62.94–73.5866.04–77.30
Fouls
40%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3811.0221.40safe7.54–13.228.07–13.9615.62–27.18safer6.79–13.987.33–14.7114.11–28.69
Offsides
31%
24%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.311.642.95safe0.15–2.470.55–2.740.70–5.21safer0.00–2.770.26–3.030.11–5.79
Yellow cards
31%
24%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.683.05safe0.32–2.420.55–2.810.87–5.22safer0.05–2.680.26–3.100.31–5.78
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
39%
15%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction3.503.717.21safe2.06–4.932.15–5.264.21–10.20safer1.67–5.321.73–5.693.40–11.01
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.68 0.71–2.64 0.46–2.90 | 1.47 0.62–2.33 0.39–2.56 | 3.15 1.33–4.97 0.85–5.45 | 43% 24% 34% |
| Shots on target | 5.31 3.45–7.17 2.96–7.66 | 5.12 3.38–6.86 2.91–7.33 | 10.43 6.82–14.03 5.87–14.99 | 46% 41% |
| Total shots | 15.22 11.29–19.14 10.20–20.23 | 14.13 10.56–17.69 9.60–18.65 | 29.34 21.86–36.83 19.81–38.88 | 54% 38% |
| Shots in box | 10.10 7.16–13.04 6.33–13.87 | 9.36 6.68–12.04 5.94–12.78 | 19.46 13.83–25.08 12.27–26.65 | 52% 39% |
| Blocked shots | 4.58 2.70–6.47 2.16–7.01 | 4.65 3.00–6.31 2.51–6.80 | 9.24 5.70–12.77 4.67–13.81 | 42% 13% 44% |
| Corners | 5.62 3.40–7.83 2.83–8.40 | 5.35 3.35–7.35 2.81–7.88 | 10.96 6.75–15.18 5.64–16.28 | 47% 41% |
| Possession % | 49.80 43.01–56.59 41.34–58.26 | 49.62 42.84–56.41 41.17–58.08 | — | 48% 47% |
| Passes | 437 369–504 351–522 | 431 364–497 347–515 | 867 734–1001 698–1037 | 52% 48% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.26 64.23–72.29 62.94–73.58 | 71.67 67.35–75.99 66.04–77.30 | — | 31% 65% |
| Fouls | 10.38 7.54–13.22 6.79–13.98 | 11.02 8.07–13.96 7.33–14.71 | 21.40 15.62–27.18 14.11–28.69 | 40% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.31 0.15–2.47 0.00–2.77 | 1.64 0.55–2.74 0.26–3.03 | 2.95 0.70–5.21 0.11–5.79 | 31% 24% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 1.37 0.32–2.42 0.05–2.68 | 1.68 0.55–2.81 0.26–3.10 | 3.05 0.87–5.22 0.31–5.78 | 31% 24% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.50 2.06–4.93 1.67–5.32 | 3.71 2.15–5.26 1.73–5.69 | 7.21 4.21–10.20 3.40–11.01 | 39% 15% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.