Eredivisie·Regular Season - 12·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
25%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.312.76safe0.48–2.420.46–2.170.94–4.59safer0.23–2.670.23–2.400.46–5.07
Shots on target
55%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.024.129.14safe3.15–6.882.38–5.875.53–12.74safer2.66–7.371.92–6.334.58–13.70
Total shots
58%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction15.7114.0529.76safe11.79–19.6410.49–17.6122.28–37.25safer10.70–20.739.53–18.5720.22–39.30
Shots in box
47%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction9.279.1218.39safe6.32–12.216.44–11.8012.77–24.01safer5.50–13.045.70–12.5411.20–25.58
Blocked shots
55%
14%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.323.457.77safe2.44–6.211.80–5.104.24–11.31safer1.90–6.751.31–5.603.20–12.34
Corners
51%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction5.685.1010.78safe3.47–7.893.10–7.106.57–15.00safer2.89–8.472.57–7.645.46–16.11
Possession %
62%
34%
homeawayprediction52.9346.93safe46.14–59.7240.15–53.72safer44.47–61.3938.48–55.39
Passes
69%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction463404866safe395–530337–470733–1000safer377–548320–488697–1036
Pass accuracy %
40%
55%
homeawayprediction67.2168.70safe63.18–71.2464.38–73.02safer61.89–72.5363.07–74.33
Fouls
36%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3011.4421.74safe7.46–13.148.50–14.3815.96–27.52safer6.71–13.907.75–15.1314.46–29.03
Offsides
37%
25%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.442.87safe0.26–2.580.35–2.540.61–5.12safer0.00–2.890.06–2.820.02–5.71
Yellow cards
36%
23%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.773.41safe0.59–2.690.64–2.901.23–5.59safer0.33–2.960.35–3.190.68–6.15
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
33%
16%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.903.526.42safe1.47–4.341.96–5.083.43–9.41safer1.08–4.731.54–5.502.62–10.23
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.45 0.48–2.42 0.23–2.67 | 1.31 0.46–2.17 0.23–2.40 | 2.76 0.94–4.59 0.46–5.07 | 40% 25% 34% |
| Shots on target | 5.02 3.15–6.88 2.66–7.37 | 4.12 2.38–5.87 1.92–6.33 | 9.14 5.53–12.74 4.58–13.70 | 55% 32% |
| Total shots | 15.71 11.79–19.64 10.70–20.73 | 14.05 10.49–17.61 9.53–18.57 | 29.76 22.28–37.25 20.22–39.30 | 58% 35% |
| Shots in box | 9.27 6.32–12.21 5.50–13.04 | 9.12 6.44–11.80 5.70–12.54 | 18.39 12.77–24.01 11.20–25.58 | 47% 44% |
| Blocked shots | 4.32 2.44–6.21 1.90–6.75 | 3.45 1.80–5.10 1.31–5.60 | 7.77 4.24–11.31 3.20–12.34 | 55% 14% 31% |
| Corners | 5.68 3.47–7.89 2.89–8.47 | 5.10 3.10–7.10 2.57–7.64 | 10.78 6.57–15.00 5.46–16.11 | 51% 37% |
| Possession % | 52.93 46.14–59.72 44.47–61.39 | 46.93 40.15–53.72 38.48–55.39 | — | 62% 34% |
| Passes | 463 395–530 377–548 | 404 337–470 320–488 | 866 733–1000 697–1036 | 69% 31% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.21 63.18–71.24 61.89–72.53 | 68.70 64.38–73.02 63.07–74.33 | — | 40% 55% |
| Fouls | 10.30 7.46–13.14 6.71–13.90 | 11.44 8.50–14.38 7.75–15.13 | 21.74 15.96–27.52 14.46–29.03 | 36% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.42 0.26–2.58 0.00–2.89 | 1.44 0.35–2.54 0.06–2.82 | 2.87 0.61–5.12 0.02–5.71 | 37% 25% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.64 0.59–2.69 0.33–2.96 | 1.77 0.64–2.90 0.35–3.19 | 3.41 1.23–5.59 0.68–6.15 | 36% 23% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.90 1.47–4.34 1.08–4.73 | 3.52 1.96–5.08 1.54–5.50 | 6.42 3.43–9.41 2.62–10.23 | 33% 16% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+