Eredivisie·Regular Season - 25·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
25%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.381.422.80safe0.41–2.350.56–2.270.98–4.62safer0.16–2.600.34–2.500.50–5.10
Shots on target
51%
13%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.804.229.02safe2.94–6.662.47–5.965.41–12.62safer2.45–7.152.01–6.424.45–13.58
Total shots
58%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction15.0513.4528.50safe11.13–18.989.89–17.0121.01–35.99safer10.03–20.078.93–17.9718.96–38.04
Shots in box
53%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction9.298.4217.71safe6.35–12.235.74–11.1012.09–23.34safer5.52–13.065.00–11.8410.52–24.90
Blocked shots
46%
14%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.334.118.44safe2.45–6.222.45–5.764.90–11.98safer1.91–6.761.96–6.253.87–13.01
Corners
52%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction5.785.0910.88safe3.57–8.003.09–7.096.66–15.09safer3.00–8.572.56–7.635.56–16.20
Possession %
47%
48%
homeawayprediction49.9450.09safe43.15–56.7343.30–56.87safer41.48–58.4041.63–58.54
Passes
57%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction437416853safe370–505349–482719–987safer352–523332–500684–1022
Pass accuracy %
30%
66%
homeawayprediction66.3469.95safe62.32–70.3765.63–74.28safer61.02–71.6764.32–75.59
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6011.3121.92safe7.77–13.448.37–14.2616.13–27.70safer7.01–14.207.62–15.0114.63–29.20
Offsides
46%
25%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.182.74safe0.40–2.720.09–2.270.49–5.00safer0.10–3.020.00–2.560.00–5.59
Yellow cards
37%
25%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.462.90safe0.40–2.490.33–2.580.72–5.08safer0.13–2.760.04–2.880.16–5.64
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.070.16safe0.00–0.250.00–0.260.00–0.50safer0.00–0.400.00–0.390.00–0.79
GK saves
41%
16%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.123.216.34safe1.69–4.561.66–4.773.34–9.33safer1.30–4.951.23–5.192.53–10.14
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.38 0.41–2.35 0.16–2.60 | 1.42 0.56–2.27 0.34–2.50 | 2.80 0.98–4.62 0.50–5.10 | 37% 25% 38% |
| Shots on target | 4.80 2.94–6.66 2.45–7.15 | 4.22 2.47–5.96 2.01–6.42 | 9.02 5.41–12.62 4.45–13.58 | 51% 13% 36% |
| Total shots | 15.05 11.13–18.98 10.03–20.07 | 13.45 9.89–17.01 8.93–17.97 | 28.50 21.01–35.99 18.96–38.04 | 58% 35% |
| Shots in box | 9.29 6.35–12.23 5.52–13.06 | 8.42 5.74–11.10 5.00–11.84 | 17.71 12.09–23.34 10.52–24.90 | 53% 37% |
| Blocked shots | 4.33 2.45–6.22 1.91–6.76 | 4.11 2.45–5.76 1.96–6.25 | 8.44 4.90–11.98 3.87–13.01 | 46% 14% 40% |
| Corners | 5.78 3.57–8.00 3.00–8.57 | 5.09 3.09–7.09 2.56–7.63 | 10.88 6.66–15.09 5.56–16.20 | 52% 36% |
| Possession % | 49.94 43.15–56.73 41.48–58.40 | 50.09 43.30–56.87 41.63–58.54 | — | 47% 48% |
| Passes | 437 370–505 352–523 | 416 349–482 332–500 | 853 719–987 684–1022 | 57% 43% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.34 62.32–70.37 61.02–71.67 | 69.95 65.63–74.28 64.32–75.59 | — | 30% 66% |
| Fouls | 10.60 7.77–13.44 7.01–14.20 | 11.31 8.37–14.26 7.62–15.01 | 21.92 16.13–27.70 14.63–29.20 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.56 0.40–2.72 0.10–3.02 | 1.18 0.09–2.27 0.00–2.56 | 2.74 0.49–5.00 0.00–5.59 | 46% 25% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.44 0.40–2.49 0.13–2.76 | 1.46 0.33–2.58 0.04–2.88 | 2.90 0.72–5.08 0.16–5.64 | 37% 25% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.12 1.69–4.56 1.30–4.95 | 3.21 1.66–4.77 1.23–5.19 | 6.34 3.34–9.33 2.53–10.14 | 41% 16% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.