Eredivisie·Regular Season - 12·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
45%
26%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.112.55safe0.47–2.410.25–1.960.73–4.37safer0.22–2.660.03–2.190.25–4.85
Shots on target
53%
13%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.703.988.67safe2.83–6.562.24–5.725.07–12.28safer2.34–7.051.77–6.194.11–13.24
Total shots
64%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8811.5725.46safe9.96–17.818.01–15.1417.97–32.94safer8.87–18.907.05–16.1015.92–34.99
Shots in box
55%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction8.917.8516.76safe5.96–11.855.17–10.5411.14–22.38safer5.13–12.684.44–11.279.57–23.95
Blocked shots
54%
15%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.853.096.94safe1.97–5.731.43–4.743.40–10.47safer1.43–6.280.94–5.232.37–11.51
Corners
47%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction5.285.0510.33safe3.07–7.493.05–7.056.12–14.54safer2.49–8.072.52–7.585.01–15.65
Possession %
57%
38%
homeawayprediction51.7447.62safe44.95–58.5340.83–54.40safer43.28–60.2039.16–56.07
Passes
71%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction448383830safe381–515316–449697–964safer362–533299–467661–1000
Pass accuracy %
52%
43%
homeawayprediction71.4670.55safe67.43–75.4866.22–74.87safer66.13–76.7864.91–76.18
Fouls
50%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3411.7824.12safe9.50–15.178.84–14.7318.33–29.90safer8.74–15.938.09–15.4716.83–31.40
Offsides
33%
23%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.491.763.25safe0.33–2.650.67–2.861.00–5.51safer0.03–2.950.38–3.150.41–6.10
Yellow cards
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.883.57safe0.64–2.740.75–3.011.39–5.75safer0.38–3.010.46–3.300.83–6.31
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
35%
17%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.773.185.95safe1.34–4.211.62–4.732.96–8.94safer0.95–4.601.20–5.162.15–9.76
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.44 0.47–2.41 0.22–2.66 | 1.11 0.25–1.96 0.03–2.19 | 2.55 0.73–4.37 0.25–4.85 | 45% 26% 29% |
| Shots on target | 4.70 2.83–6.56 2.34–7.05 | 3.98 2.24–5.72 1.77–6.19 | 8.67 5.07–12.28 4.11–13.24 | 53% 13% 34% |
| Total shots | 13.88 9.96–17.81 8.87–18.90 | 11.57 8.01–15.14 7.05–16.10 | 25.46 17.97–32.94 15.92–34.99 | 64% 29% |
| Shots in box | 8.91 5.96–11.85 5.13–12.68 | 7.85 5.17–10.54 4.44–11.27 | 16.76 11.14–22.38 9.57–23.95 | 55% 35% |
| Blocked shots | 3.85 1.97–5.73 1.43–6.28 | 3.09 1.43–4.74 0.94–5.23 | 6.94 3.40–10.47 2.37–11.51 | 54% 15% 31% |
| Corners | 5.28 3.07–7.49 2.49–8.07 | 5.05 3.05–7.05 2.52–7.58 | 10.33 6.12–14.54 5.01–15.65 | 47% 41% |
| Possession % | 51.74 44.95–58.53 43.28–60.20 | 47.62 40.83–54.40 39.16–56.07 | — | 57% 38% |
| Passes | 448 381–515 362–533 | 383 316–449 299–467 | 830 697–964 661–1000 | 71% 29% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.46 67.43–75.48 66.13–76.78 | 70.55 66.22–74.87 64.91–76.18 | — | 52% 43% |
| Fouls | 12.34 9.50–15.17 8.74–15.93 | 11.78 8.84–14.73 8.09–15.47 | 24.12 18.33–29.90 16.83–31.40 | 50% 41% |
| Offsides | 1.49 0.33–2.65 0.03–2.95 | 1.76 0.67–2.86 0.38–3.15 | 3.25 1.00–5.51 0.41–6.10 | 33% 23% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.69 0.64–2.74 0.38–3.01 | 1.88 0.75–3.01 0.46–3.30 | 3.57 1.39–5.75 0.83–6.31 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.77 1.34–4.21 0.95–4.60 | 3.18 1.62–4.73 1.20–5.16 | 5.95 2.96–8.94 2.15–9.76 | 35% 17% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.