Eredivisie·Regular Season - 27·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 27·Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
27%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.321.252.57safe0.35–2.280.40–2.110.74–4.39safer0.10–2.530.17–2.340.27–4.87
Shots on target
46%
14%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.534.358.88safe2.67–6.392.60–6.095.27–12.48safer2.18–6.882.14–6.554.32–13.44
Total shots
63%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction14.9912.7027.70safe11.07–18.929.14–16.2720.21–35.19safer9.98–20.018.18–17.2318.16–37.24
Shots in box
68%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction9.937.4317.36safe6.99–12.874.75–10.1111.74–22.98safer6.16–13.704.01–10.8510.17–24.55
Blocked shots
55%
15%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.833.026.84safe1.94–5.711.36–4.673.31–10.38safer1.40–6.250.87–5.162.27–11.41
Corners
50%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.394.9210.31safe3.18–7.602.92–6.926.09–14.52safer2.60–8.182.39–7.454.99–15.63
Possession %
41%
54%
homeawayprediction48.8251.56safe42.03–55.6144.78–58.35safer40.36–57.2843.10–60.02
Passes
46%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction423435859safe356–491369–502725–992safer338–509351–519689–1028
Pass accuracy %
28%
67%
homeawayprediction67.7971.80safe63.76–71.8267.48–76.13safer62.47–73.1166.17–77.43
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2612.3423.60safe8.42–14.109.40–15.2917.82–29.38safer7.66–14.858.65–16.0316.31–30.89
Offsides
50%
23%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.253.03safe0.61–2.940.16–2.340.77–5.28safer0.31–3.240.00–2.630.18–5.87
Yellow cards
30%
22%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.983.52safe0.49–2.590.85–3.111.34–5.70safer0.23–2.860.56–3.400.78–6.26
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
36%
16%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.813.206.01safe1.37–4.241.64–4.753.01–9.00safer0.98–4.631.22–5.182.20–9.81
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.32 0.35–2.28 0.10–2.53 | 1.25 0.40–2.11 0.17–2.34 | 2.57 0.74–4.39 0.27–4.87 | 38% 27% 35% |
| Shots on target | 4.53 2.67–6.39 2.18–6.88 | 4.35 2.60–6.09 2.14–6.55 | 8.88 5.27–12.48 4.32–13.44 | 46% 14% 41% |
| Total shots | 14.99 11.07–18.92 9.98–20.01 | 12.70 9.14–16.27 8.18–17.23 | 27.70 20.21–35.19 18.16–37.24 | 63% 30% |
| Shots in box | 9.93 6.99–12.87 6.16–13.70 | 7.43 4.75–10.11 4.01–10.85 | 17.36 11.74–22.98 10.17–24.55 | 68% 23% |
| Blocked shots | 3.83 1.94–5.71 1.40–6.25 | 3.02 1.36–4.67 0.87–5.16 | 6.84 3.31–10.38 2.27–11.41 | 55% 15% 31% |
| Corners | 5.39 3.18–7.60 2.60–8.18 | 4.92 2.92–6.92 2.39–7.45 | 10.31 6.09–14.52 4.99–15.63 | 50% 38% |
| Possession % | 48.82 42.03–55.61 40.36–57.28 | 51.56 44.78–58.35 43.10–60.02 | — | 41% 54% |
| Passes | 423 356–491 338–509 | 435 369–502 351–519 | 859 725–992 689–1028 | 46% 54% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.79 63.76–71.82 62.47–73.11 | 71.80 67.48–76.13 66.17–77.43 | — | 28% 67% |
| Fouls | 11.26 8.42–14.10 7.66–14.85 | 12.34 9.40–15.29 8.65–16.03 | 23.60 17.82–29.38 16.31–30.89 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.77 0.61–2.94 0.31–3.24 | 1.25 0.16–2.34 0.00–2.63 | 3.03 0.77–5.28 0.18–5.87 | 50% 23% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.54 0.49–2.59 0.23–2.86 | 1.98 0.85–3.11 0.56–3.40 | 3.52 1.34–5.70 0.78–6.26 | 30% 22% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.81 1.37–4.24 0.98–4.63 | 3.20 1.64–4.75 1.22–5.18 | 6.01 3.01–9.00 2.20–9.81 | 36% 16% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+