Eredivisie·Regular Season - 12·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
30%
23%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.381.753.12safe0.41–2.340.89–2.601.30–4.95safer0.16–2.600.67–2.830.82–5.43
Shots on target
34%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.345.069.40safe2.48–6.203.32–6.805.80–13.01safer1.99–6.692.85–7.274.84–13.96
Total shots
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction14.7913.8428.63safe10.87–18.7210.28–17.4021.15–36.12safer9.78–19.819.32–18.3619.10–38.17
Shots in box
38%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction8.709.5218.23safe5.76–11.656.84–12.2012.60–23.85safer4.93–12.486.11–12.9411.04–25.42
Blocked shots
50%
14%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.243.717.95safe2.36–6.122.05–5.364.41–11.48safer1.82–6.671.56–5.853.38–12.52
Corners
44%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction5.355.3310.69safe3.14–7.573.33–7.336.47–14.90safer2.57–8.142.80–7.875.37–16.01
Possession %
47%
48%
homeawayprediction49.5849.92safe42.79–56.3743.13–56.70safer41.12–58.0441.46–58.37
Passes
50%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction452452904safe385–519385–518770–1037safer367–537368–536734–1073
Pass accuracy %
40%
55%
homeawayprediction68.9170.35safe64.88–72.9466.03–74.68safer63.59–74.2464.72–75.99
Fouls
43%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction9.8510.1119.96safe7.01–12.697.17–13.0614.18–25.75safer6.26–13.446.42–13.8112.68–27.25
Offsides
32%
24%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.643.00safe0.21–2.530.54–2.730.75–5.26safer0.00–2.830.26–3.020.16–5.85
Yellow cards
32%
25%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.291.562.85safe0.24–2.340.43–2.690.67–5.03safer0.00–2.610.14–2.980.11–5.59
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.070.12safe0.00–0.210.00–0.260.00–0.47safer0.00–0.360.00–0.390.00–0.75
GK saves
48%
16%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.423.036.45safe1.98–4.861.47–4.593.46–9.44safer1.60–5.241.05–5.012.65–10.26
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.38 0.41–2.34 0.16–2.60 | 1.75 0.89–2.60 0.67–2.83 | 3.12 1.30–4.95 0.82–5.43 | 30% 23% 46% |
| Shots on target | 4.34 2.48–6.20 1.99–6.69 | 5.06 3.32–6.80 2.85–7.27 | 9.40 5.80–13.01 4.84–13.96 | 34% 53% |
| Total shots | 14.79 10.87–18.72 9.78–19.81 | 13.84 10.28–17.40 9.32–18.36 | 28.63 21.15–36.12 19.10–38.17 | 53% 39% |
| Shots in box | 8.70 5.76–11.65 4.93–12.48 | 9.52 6.84–12.20 6.11–12.94 | 18.23 12.60–23.85 11.04–25.42 | 38% 53% |
| Blocked shots | 4.24 2.36–6.12 1.82–6.67 | 3.71 2.05–5.36 1.56–5.85 | 7.95 4.41–11.48 3.38–12.52 | 50% 14% 36% |
| Corners | 5.35 3.14–7.57 2.57–8.14 | 5.33 3.33–7.33 2.80–7.87 | 10.69 6.47–14.90 5.37–16.01 | 44% 44% |
| Possession % | 49.58 42.79–56.37 41.12–58.04 | 49.92 43.13–56.70 41.46–58.37 | — | 47% 48% |
| Passes | 452 385–519 367–537 | 452 385–518 368–536 | 904 770–1037 734–1073 | 50% 50% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.91 64.88–72.94 63.59–74.24 | 70.35 66.03–74.68 64.72–75.99 | — | 40% 55% |
| Fouls | 9.85 7.01–12.69 6.26–13.44 | 10.11 7.17–13.06 6.42–13.81 | 19.96 14.18–25.75 12.68–27.25 | 43% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.37 0.21–2.53 0.00–2.83 | 1.64 0.54–2.73 0.26–3.02 | 3.00 0.75–5.26 0.16–5.85 | 32% 24% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.29 0.24–2.34 0.00–2.61 | 1.56 0.43–2.69 0.14–2.98 | 2.85 0.67–5.03 0.11–5.59 | 32% 25% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 3.42 1.98–4.86 1.60–5.24 | 3.03 1.47–4.59 1.05–5.01 | 6.45 3.46–9.44 2.65–10.26 | 48% 16% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.