Eredivisie·Regular Season - 25·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
55%
22%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.901.133.03safe0.93–2.870.28–1.991.21–4.85safer0.68–3.120.05–2.220.73–5.33
Shots on target
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.454.019.46safe3.58–7.312.27–5.755.85–13.06safer3.09–7.801.80–6.224.90–14.02
Total shots
75%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction15.9511.8727.83safe12.03–19.888.31–15.4420.34–35.31safer10.94–20.977.35–16.4018.29–37.36
Shots in box
75%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction11.327.9019.21safe8.37–14.265.21–10.5813.59–24.84safer7.55–15.094.48–11.3112.02–26.40
Blocked shots
53%
14%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.593.848.43safe2.71–6.472.19–5.504.90–11.97safer2.16–7.021.70–5.993.86–13.00
Corners
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction6.324.5010.82safe4.11–8.532.50–6.506.61–15.04safer3.53–9.111.97–7.045.50–16.14
Possession %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction54.9244.88safe48.13–61.7138.10–51.67safer46.46–63.3836.42–53.34
Passes
77%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction506418924safe439–573352–485790–1058safer420–591334–502755–1094
Pass accuracy %
43%
52%
homeawayprediction69.6170.40safe65.58–73.6466.08–74.72safer64.29–74.9364.77–76.03
Fouls
28%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction9.3011.4020.70safe6.46–12.148.46–14.3514.92–26.48safer5.71–12.897.71–15.0913.41–27.99
Offsides
50%
24%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.212.95safe0.58–2.900.12–2.310.69–5.20safer0.27–3.200.00–2.590.11–5.79
Yellow cards
25%
26%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.001.532.53safe0.00–2.050.41–2.660.36–4.71safer0.00–2.320.11–2.950.00–5.27
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.070.12safe0.00–0.210.00–0.260.00–0.47safer0.00–0.360.00–0.390.00–0.75
GK saves
24%
14%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction2.723.996.71safe1.28–4.162.44–5.553.72–9.71safer0.90–4.542.01–5.972.91–10.52
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.90 0.93–2.87 0.68–3.12 | 1.13 0.28–1.99 0.05–2.22 | 3.03 1.21–4.85 0.73–5.33 | 55% 22% 22% |
| Shots on target | 5.45 3.58–7.31 3.09–7.80 | 4.01 2.27–5.75 1.80–6.22 | 9.46 5.85–13.06 4.90–14.02 | 62% 26% |
| Total shots | 15.95 12.03–19.88 10.94–20.97 | 11.87 8.31–15.44 7.35–16.40 | 27.83 20.34–35.31 18.29–37.36 | 75% 19% |
| Shots in box | 11.32 8.37–14.26 7.55–15.09 | 7.90 5.21–10.58 4.48–11.31 | 19.21 13.59–24.84 12.02–26.40 | 75% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 4.59 2.71–6.47 2.16–7.02 | 3.84 2.19–5.50 1.70–5.99 | 8.43 4.90–11.97 3.86–13.00 | 53% 14% 33% |
| Corners | 6.32 4.11–8.53 3.53–9.11 | 4.50 2.50–6.50 1.97–7.04 | 10.82 6.61–15.04 5.50–16.14 | 65% 24% |
| Possession % | 54.92 48.13–61.71 46.46–63.38 | 44.88 38.10–51.67 36.42–53.34 | — | 70% 26% |
| Passes | 506 439–573 420–591 | 418 352–485 334–502 | 924 790–1058 755–1094 | 77% 23% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.61 65.58–73.64 64.29–74.93 | 70.40 66.08–74.72 64.77–76.03 | — | 43% 52% |
| Fouls | 9.30 6.46–12.14 5.71–12.89 | 11.40 8.46–14.35 7.71–15.09 | 20.70 14.92–26.48 13.41–27.99 | 28% 64% |
| Offsides | 1.74 0.58–2.90 0.27–3.20 | 1.21 0.12–2.31 0.00–2.59 | 2.95 0.69–5.20 0.11–5.79 | 50% 24% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.00 0.00–2.05 0.00–2.32 | 1.53 0.41–2.66 0.11–2.95 | 2.53 0.36–4.71 0.00–5.27 | 25% 26% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.72 1.28–4.16 0.90–4.54 | 3.99 2.44–5.55 2.01–5.97 | 6.71 3.72–9.71 2.91–10.52 | 24% 14% 62% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.