Eredivisie·Regular Season - 12·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
16%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction0.952.573.52safe0.00–1.911.72–3.431.70–5.34safer0.00–2.171.49–3.651.22–5.82
Shots on target
81%
homeawaytotalprediction3.426.6210.04safe1.55–5.284.88–8.376.44–13.65safer1.06–5.774.42–8.835.48–14.60
Total shots
92%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2418.0228.27safe6.32–14.1714.46–21.5820.78–35.75safer5.23–15.2613.50–22.5418.73–37.80
Shots in box
91%
homeawaytotalprediction6.2012.4918.69safe3.26–9.149.81–15.1713.06–24.31safer2.43–9.979.07–15.9111.50–25.88
Blocked shots
14%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction2.855.368.21safe0.96–4.733.71–7.024.67–11.74safer0.42–5.273.22–7.513.64–12.78
Corners
13%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction3.696.7210.41safe1.47–5.904.72–8.726.20–14.62safer0.90–6.474.19–9.265.09–15.73
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction35.6965.81safe28.90–42.4959.03–72.60safer27.23–44.1557.36–74.27
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction320581901safe253–388514–647768–1035safer235–406497–665732–1071
Pass accuracy %
99%
homeawayprediction62.0080.15safe57.97–66.0375.83–84.48safer56.68–67.3374.52–85.79
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9212.1524.06safe9.08–14.769.20–15.0918.28–29.85safer8.32–15.518.45–15.8416.78–31.35
Offsides
35%
24%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.623.07safe0.30–2.620.52–2.710.82–5.33safer0.00–2.920.23–3.000.23–5.91
Yellow cards
45%
21%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction2.071.803.87safe1.02–3.120.67–2.921.69–6.05safer0.76–3.390.37–3.221.13–6.60
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
70%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction4.332.436.76safe2.89–5.760.87–3.983.76–9.75safer2.50–6.150.45–4.412.95–10.56
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.95 0.00–1.91 0.00–2.17 | 2.57 1.72–3.43 1.49–3.65 | 3.52 1.70–5.34 1.22–5.82 | 16% 72% |
| Shots on target | 3.42 1.55–5.28 1.06–5.77 | 6.62 4.88–8.37 4.42–8.83 | 10.04 6.44–13.65 5.48–14.60 | 81% |
| Total shots | 10.24 6.32–14.17 5.23–15.26 | 18.02 14.46–21.58 13.50–22.54 | 28.27 20.78–35.75 18.73–37.80 | 92% |
| Shots in box | 6.20 3.26–9.14 2.43–9.97 | 12.49 9.81–15.17 9.07–15.91 | 18.69 13.06–24.31 11.50–25.88 | 91% |
| Blocked shots | 2.85 0.96–4.73 0.42–5.27 | 5.36 3.71–7.02 3.22–7.51 | 8.21 4.67–11.74 3.64–12.78 | 14% 76% |
| Corners | 3.69 1.47–5.90 0.90–6.47 | 6.72 4.72–8.72 4.19–9.26 | 10.41 6.20–14.62 5.09–15.73 | 13% 79% |
| Possession % | 35.69 28.90–42.49 27.23–44.15 | 65.81 59.03–72.60 57.36–74.27 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 320 253–388 235–406 | 581 514–647 497–665 | 901 768–1035 732–1071 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.00 57.97–66.03 56.68–67.33 | 80.15 75.83–84.48 74.52–85.79 | — | 99% |
| Fouls | 11.92 9.08–14.76 8.32–15.51 | 12.15 9.20–15.09 8.45–15.84 | 24.06 18.28–29.85 16.78–31.35 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.46 0.30–2.62 0.00–2.92 | 1.62 0.52–2.71 0.23–3.00 | 3.07 0.82–5.33 0.23–5.91 | 35% 24% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 2.07 1.02–3.12 0.76–3.39 | 1.80 0.67–2.92 0.37–3.22 | 3.87 1.69–6.05 1.13–6.60 | 45% 21% 34% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 4.33 2.89–5.76 2.50–6.15 | 2.43 0.87–3.98 0.45–4.41 | 6.76 3.76–9.75 2.95–10.56 | 70% 17% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.