Eredivisie·Regular Season - 23·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 23·Predicted match statistics
Goals
83%
homeawaytotalprediction3.230.864.09safe2.26–4.200.00–1.712.27–5.91safer2.01–4.450.00–1.941.79–6.39
Shots on target
92%
homeawaytotalprediction8.123.0411.15safe6.26–9.981.29–4.787.55–14.76safer5.77–10.470.83–5.246.59–15.71
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction21.508.5330.02safe17.57–25.424.96–12.0922.53–37.51safer16.48–26.514.00–13.0520.48–39.56
Shots in box
97%
homeawaytotalprediction14.615.6520.26safe11.67–17.552.97–8.3314.64–25.88safer10.84–18.382.23–9.0713.07–27.45
Blocked shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction5.692.027.71safe3.81–7.570.37–3.674.17–11.24safer3.26–8.110.00–4.173.14–12.28
Corners
93%
homeawaytotalprediction8.292.9211.21safe6.07–10.500.92–4.927.00–15.42safer5.50–11.070.39–5.465.89–16.53
Possession %
98%
homeawayprediction67.9631.60safe61.17–74.7524.81–38.38safer59.50–76.4223.14–40.05
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction654304958safe587–721237–370824–1091safer568–739220–388788–1127
Pass accuracy %
94%
homeawayprediction81.0468.47safe77.01–85.0764.15–72.79safer75.71–86.3662.84–74.10
Fouls
50%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1611.5923.75safe9.32–14.998.65–14.5417.97–29.53safer8.56–15.757.90–15.2916.46–31.04
Offsides
48%
24%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.252.97safe0.55–2.870.16–2.350.71–5.22safer0.25–3.170.00–2.630.12–5.81
Yellow cards
23%
22%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.181.923.11safe0.13–2.230.80–3.050.93–5.28safer0.00–2.500.50–3.340.37–5.84
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
80%
homeawaytotalprediction2.154.877.02safe0.71–3.593.32–6.434.03–10.01safer0.33–3.972.89–6.853.22–10.83
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3.23 2.26–4.20 2.01–4.45 | 0.86 0.00–1.71 0.00–1.94 | 4.09 2.27–5.91 1.79–6.39 | 83% |
| Shots on target | 8.12 6.26–9.98 5.77–10.47 | 3.04 1.29–4.78 0.83–5.24 | 11.15 7.55–14.76 6.59–15.71 | 92% |
| Total shots | 21.50 17.57–25.42 16.48–26.51 | 8.53 4.96–12.09 4.00–13.05 | 30.02 22.53–37.51 20.48–39.56 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 14.61 11.67–17.55 10.84–18.38 | 5.65 2.97–8.33 2.23–9.07 | 20.26 14.64–25.88 13.07–27.45 | 97% |
| Blocked shots | 5.69 3.81–7.57 3.26–8.11 | 2.02 0.37–3.67 0.00–4.17 | 7.71 4.17–11.24 3.14–12.28 | 88% |
| Corners | 8.29 6.07–10.50 5.50–11.07 | 2.92 0.92–4.92 0.39–5.46 | 11.21 7.00–15.42 5.89–16.53 | 93% |
| Possession % | 67.96 61.17–74.75 59.50–76.42 | 31.60 24.81–38.38 23.14–40.05 | — | 98% |
| Passes | 654 587–721 568–739 | 304 237–370 220–388 | 958 824–1091 788–1127 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.04 77.01–85.07 75.71–86.36 | 68.47 64.15–72.79 62.84–74.10 | — | 94% |
| Fouls | 12.16 9.32–14.99 8.56–15.75 | 11.59 8.65–14.54 7.90–15.29 | 23.75 17.97–29.53 16.46–31.04 | 50% 41% |
| Offsides | 1.71 0.55–2.87 0.25–3.17 | 1.25 0.16–2.35 0.00–2.63 | 2.97 0.71–5.22 0.12–5.81 | 48% 24% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.18 0.13–2.23 0.00–2.50 | 1.92 0.80–3.05 0.50–3.34 | 3.11 0.93–5.28 0.37–5.84 | 23% 22% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.15 0.71–3.59 0.33–3.97 | 4.87 3.32–6.43 2.89–6.85 | 7.02 4.03–10.01 3.22–10.83 | 80% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+