Eredivisie·Regular Season - 12·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
30%
24%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.301.662.96safe0.33–2.270.80–2.511.14–4.78safer0.08–2.520.58–2.740.66–5.26
Shots on target
39%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction4.885.2610.14safe3.02–6.743.52–7.006.54–13.75safer2.53–7.233.05–7.475.58–14.70
Total shots
49%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction15.4515.1330.58safe11.53–19.3811.57–18.6923.10–38.07safer10.44–20.4710.61–19.6521.05–40.12
Shots in box
38%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction9.3810.2119.59safe6.44–12.327.53–12.8913.97–25.22safer5.61–13.156.79–13.6312.40–26.78
Blocked shots
47%
14%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.223.908.12safe2.34–6.102.25–5.564.58–11.66safer1.79–6.641.76–6.053.55–12.69
Corners
35%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction5.055.7710.82safe2.84–7.263.77–7.776.61–15.04safer2.26–7.843.24–8.315.50–16.14
Possession %
41%
54%
homeawayprediction48.2751.04safe41.48–55.0644.26–57.83safer39.81–56.7342.59–59.50
Passes
47%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction419427846safe352–486361–494712–980safer334–504343–511677–1015
Pass accuracy %
31%
64%
homeawayprediction67.6671.03safe63.63–71.6966.70–75.35safer62.34–72.9865.39–76.66
Fouls
66%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0010.4523.44safe10.16–15.847.50–13.3917.66–29.23safer9.40–16.596.75–14.1416.16–30.73
Offsides
42%
23%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.613.39safe0.62–2.940.52–2.701.14–5.64safer0.32–3.240.23–2.990.55–6.23
Yellow cards
42%
23%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.553.26safe0.66–2.760.42–2.681.08–5.44safer0.39–3.030.13–2.970.53–6.00
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.080.17safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.400.00–0.400.00–0.80
GK saves
47%
15%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.793.487.27safe2.36–5.231.92–5.034.28–10.26safer1.97–5.621.50–5.463.47–11.08
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.30 0.33–2.27 0.08–2.52 | 1.66 0.80–2.51 0.58–2.74 | 2.96 1.14–4.78 0.66–5.26 | 30% 24% 46% |
| Shots on target | 4.88 3.02–6.74 2.53–7.23 | 5.26 3.52–7.00 3.05–7.47 | 10.14 6.54–13.75 5.58–14.70 | 39% 48% |
| Total shots | 15.45 11.53–19.38 10.44–20.47 | 15.13 11.57–18.69 10.61–19.65 | 30.58 23.10–38.07 21.05–40.12 | 49% 44% |
| Shots in box | 9.38 6.44–12.32 5.61–13.15 | 10.21 7.53–12.89 6.79–13.63 | 19.59 13.97–25.22 12.40–26.78 | 38% 53% |
| Blocked shots | 4.22 2.34–6.10 1.79–6.64 | 3.90 2.25–5.56 1.76–6.05 | 8.12 4.58–11.66 3.55–12.69 | 47% 14% 39% |
| Corners | 5.05 2.84–7.26 2.26–7.84 | 5.77 3.77–7.77 3.24–8.31 | 10.82 6.61–15.04 5.50–16.14 | 35% 53% |
| Possession % | 48.27 41.48–55.06 39.81–56.73 | 51.04 44.26–57.83 42.59–59.50 | — | 41% 54% |
| Passes | 419 352–486 334–504 | 427 361–494 343–511 | 846 712–980 677–1015 | 47% 53% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.66 63.63–71.69 62.34–72.98 | 71.03 66.70–75.35 65.39–76.66 | — | 31% 64% |
| Fouls | 13.00 10.16–15.84 9.40–16.59 | 10.45 7.50–13.39 6.75–14.14 | 23.44 17.66–29.23 16.16–30.73 | 66% 26% |
| Offsides | 1.78 0.62–2.94 0.32–3.24 | 1.61 0.52–2.70 0.23–2.99 | 3.39 1.14–5.64 0.55–6.23 | 42% 23% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.71 0.66–2.76 0.39–3.03 | 1.55 0.42–2.68 0.13–2.97 | 3.26 1.08–5.44 0.53–6.00 | 42% 23% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.79 2.36–5.23 1.97–5.62 | 3.48 1.92–5.03 1.50–5.46 | 7.27 4.28–10.26 3.47–11.08 | 47% 15% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.