Eredivisie·Regular Season - 28·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 28·Predicted match statistics
Goals
58%
20%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction2.141.233.37safe1.17–3.110.38–2.081.55–5.19safer0.92–3.360.15–2.311.07–5.67
Shots on target
67%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction6.424.4410.86safe4.56–8.292.69–6.187.25–14.46safer4.07–8.782.23–6.646.30–15.42
Total shots
75%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction17.2012.9430.14safe13.27–21.129.38–16.5022.65–37.62safer12.18–22.218.42–17.4620.60–39.68
Shots in box
68%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction11.188.5519.73safe8.23–14.125.87–11.2314.10–25.35safer7.40–14.955.13–11.9712.54–26.92
Blocked shots
53%
14%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.393.698.08safe2.51–6.272.04–5.344.55–11.62safer1.96–6.821.55–5.843.51–12.65
Corners
62%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction6.144.6610.80safe3.92–8.352.66–6.666.58–15.01safer3.35–8.932.12–7.195.47–16.12
Possession %
61%
35%
homeawayprediction52.6046.91safe45.81–59.3940.13–53.70safer44.14–61.0638.45–55.37
Passes
69%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction466407873safe398–533341–474739–1006safer380–551323–491703–1042
Pass accuracy %
44%
51%
homeawayprediction70.4571.10safe66.42–74.4866.77–75.42safer65.13–75.7765.46–76.73
Fouls
23%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction9.9913.0823.07safe7.15–12.8210.14–16.0317.28–28.85safer6.39–13.589.39–16.7715.78–30.35
Offsides
36%
23%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.743.36safe0.46–2.780.64–2.831.10–5.61safer0.16–3.080.35–3.120.51–6.20
Yellow cards
24%
23%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.191.863.05safe0.14–2.240.73–2.990.88–5.23safer0.00–2.510.44–3.280.32–5.79
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
26%
13%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction3.164.387.53safe1.72–4.592.82–5.934.54–10.52safer1.33–4.982.39–6.363.73–11.34
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.14 1.17–3.11 0.92–3.36 | 1.23 0.38–2.08 0.15–2.31 | 3.37 1.55–5.19 1.07–5.67 | 58% 20% 21% |
| Shots on target | 6.42 4.56–8.29 4.07–8.78 | 4.44 2.69–6.18 2.23–6.64 | 10.86 7.25–14.46 6.30–15.42 | 67% 22% |
| Total shots | 17.20 13.27–21.12 12.18–22.21 | 12.94 9.38–16.50 8.42–17.46 | 30.14 22.65–37.62 20.60–39.68 | 75% 19% |
| Shots in box | 11.18 8.23–14.12 7.40–14.95 | 8.55 5.87–11.23 5.13–11.97 | 19.73 14.10–25.35 12.54–26.92 | 68% 24% |
| Blocked shots | 4.39 2.51–6.27 1.96–6.82 | 3.69 2.04–5.34 1.55–5.84 | 8.08 4.55–11.62 3.51–12.65 | 53% 14% 33% |
| Corners | 6.14 3.92–8.35 3.35–8.93 | 4.66 2.66–6.66 2.12–7.19 | 10.80 6.58–15.01 5.47–16.12 | 62% 27% |
| Possession % | 52.60 45.81–59.39 44.14–61.06 | 46.91 40.13–53.70 38.45–55.37 | — | 61% 35% |
| Passes | 466 398–533 380–551 | 407 341–474 323–491 | 873 739–1006 703–1042 | 69% 31% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.45 66.42–74.48 65.13–75.77 | 71.10 66.77–75.42 65.46–76.73 | — | 44% 51% |
| Fouls | 9.99 7.15–12.82 6.39–13.58 | 13.08 10.14–16.03 9.39–16.77 | 23.07 17.28–28.85 15.78–30.35 | 23% 71% |
| Offsides | 1.62 0.46–2.78 0.16–3.08 | 1.74 0.64–2.83 0.35–3.12 | 3.36 1.10–5.61 0.51–6.20 | 36% 23% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.19 0.14–2.24 0.00–2.51 | 1.86 0.73–2.99 0.44–3.28 | 3.05 0.88–5.23 0.32–5.79 | 24% 23% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.16 1.72–4.59 1.33–4.98 | 4.38 2.82–5.93 2.39–6.36 | 7.53 4.54–10.52 3.73–11.34 | 26% 13% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.