Eredivisie·Regular Season - 12·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
29%
23%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.341.753.09safe0.37–2.310.90–2.611.27–4.91safer0.12–2.560.67–2.830.79–5.39
Shots on target
30%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction4.475.6310.10safe2.61–6.333.88–7.376.49–13.70safer2.12–6.823.42–7.845.54–14.66
Total shots
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7915.4529.24safe9.86–17.7111.89–19.0121.75–36.72safer8.77–18.8010.93–19.9719.70–38.77
Shots in box
36%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction8.559.5618.11safe5.61–11.506.88–12.2412.49–23.74safer4.78–12.336.14–12.9810.92–25.30
Blocked shots
43%
14%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.114.128.22safe2.22–5.992.47–5.774.69–11.76safer1.68–6.531.97–6.263.65–12.80
Corners
51%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction5.424.8110.23safe3.20–7.632.81–6.816.01–14.44safer2.63–8.212.28–7.344.91–15.55
Possession %
48%
47%
homeawayprediction50.1749.96safe43.38–56.9743.18–56.75safer41.71–58.6341.51–58.42
Passes
50%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction469469938safe402–536402–535804–1071safer384–555385–553768–1107
Pass accuracy %
32%
63%
homeawayprediction70.8173.97safe66.78–74.8469.65–78.30safer65.49–76.1368.34–79.60
Fouls
45%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9911.0222.01safe8.15–13.838.07–13.9616.22–27.79safer7.39–14.587.32–14.7114.72–29.29
Offsides
30%
22%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.531.973.51safe0.37–2.690.88–3.071.25–5.76safer0.07–3.000.59–3.350.66–6.35
Yellow cards
39%
23%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.663.36safe0.65–2.750.53–2.791.18–5.53safer0.38–3.010.24–3.080.62–6.09
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.070.13safe0.00–0.230.00–0.250.00–0.48safer0.00–0.380.00–0.390.00–0.76
GK saves
46%
16%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.373.126.49safe1.93–4.801.56–4.683.49–9.48safer1.54–5.191.14–5.102.68–10.29
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.34 0.37–2.31 0.12–2.56 | 1.75 0.90–2.61 0.67–2.83 | 3.09 1.27–4.91 0.79–5.39 | 29% 23% 47% |
| Shots on target | 4.47 2.61–6.33 2.12–6.82 | 5.63 3.88–7.37 3.42–7.84 | 10.10 6.49–13.70 5.54–14.66 | 30% 58% |
| Total shots | 13.79 9.86–17.71 8.77–18.80 | 15.45 11.89–19.01 10.93–19.97 | 29.24 21.75–36.72 19.70–38.77 | 34% 58% |
| Shots in box | 8.55 5.61–11.50 4.78–12.33 | 9.56 6.88–12.24 6.14–12.98 | 18.11 12.49–23.74 10.92–25.30 | 36% 55% |
| Blocked shots | 4.11 2.22–5.99 1.68–6.53 | 4.12 2.47–5.77 1.97–6.26 | 8.22 4.69–11.76 3.65–12.80 | 43% 14% 43% |
| Corners | 5.42 3.20–7.63 2.63–8.21 | 4.81 2.81–6.81 2.28–7.34 | 10.23 6.01–14.44 4.91–15.55 | 51% 36% |
| Possession % | 50.17 43.38–56.97 41.71–58.63 | 49.96 43.18–56.75 41.51–58.42 | — | 48% 47% |
| Passes | 469 402–536 384–555 | 469 402–535 385–553 | 938 804–1071 768–1107 | 50% 50% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.81 66.78–74.84 65.49–76.13 | 73.97 69.65–78.30 68.34–79.60 | — | 32% 63% |
| Fouls | 10.99 8.15–13.83 7.39–14.58 | 11.02 8.07–13.96 7.32–14.71 | 22.01 16.22–27.79 14.72–29.29 | 45% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.53 0.37–2.69 0.07–3.00 | 1.97 0.88–3.07 0.59–3.35 | 3.51 1.25–5.76 0.66–6.35 | 30% 22% 48% |
| Yellow cards | 1.70 0.65–2.75 0.38–3.01 | 1.66 0.53–2.79 0.24–3.08 | 3.36 1.18–5.53 0.62–6.09 | 39% 23% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.07 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 3.37 1.93–4.80 1.54–5.19 | 3.12 1.56–4.68 1.14–5.10 | 6.49 3.49–9.48 2.68–10.29 | 46% 16% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.