Eredivisie·Regular Season - 25·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
60%
20%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction2.181.173.35safe1.21–3.150.32–2.031.53–5.17safer0.96–3.400.09–2.261.05–5.65
Shots on target
73%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.544.0510.59safe4.68–8.402.31–5.796.99–14.20safer4.19–8.891.84–6.266.03–15.15
Total shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction18.5811.6330.21safe14.66–22.518.07–15.1922.72–37.70safer13.57–23.607.11–16.1520.67–39.75
Shots in box
84%
homeawaytotalprediction12.707.8120.51safe9.76–15.645.13–10.4914.89–26.13safer8.93–16.474.39–11.2313.32–27.70
Blocked shots
65%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.733.137.86safe2.85–6.611.47–4.784.32–11.39safer2.31–7.160.98–5.273.29–12.43
Corners
67%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction6.324.4110.73safe4.11–8.542.41–6.416.52–14.94safer3.54–9.111.87–6.945.41–16.05
Possession %
67%
29%
homeawayprediction54.6546.10safe47.86–61.4439.31–52.88safer46.19–63.1137.64–54.55
Passes
76%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction515429944safe448–583362–495811–1078safer430–601345–513775–1114
Pass accuracy %
50%
45%
homeawayprediction73.4973.02safe69.46–77.5268.70–77.35safer68.17–78.8267.39–78.66
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction9.8011.3621.16safe6.96–12.648.42–14.3115.38–26.95safer6.21–13.407.67–15.0613.88–28.45
Offsides
54%
21%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction2.081.373.45safe0.92–3.240.28–2.471.20–5.70safer0.62–3.540.00–2.750.61–6.29
Yellow cards
25%
24%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.151.752.90safe0.10–2.200.62–2.880.72–5.08safer0.00–2.470.33–3.170.17–5.64
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
21%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction2.764.437.19safe1.32–4.192.88–5.994.20–10.18safer0.93–4.582.45–6.413.39–11.00
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.18 1.21–3.15 0.96–3.40 | 1.17 0.32–2.03 0.09–2.26 | 3.35 1.53–5.17 1.05–5.65 | 60% 20% 20% |
| Shots on target | 6.54 4.68–8.40 4.19–8.89 | 4.05 2.31–5.79 1.84–6.26 | 10.59 6.99–14.20 6.03–15.15 | 73% 18% |
| Total shots | 18.58 14.66–22.51 13.57–23.60 | 11.63 8.07–15.19 7.11–16.15 | 30.21 22.72–37.70 20.67–39.75 | 88% |
| Shots in box | 12.70 9.76–15.64 8.93–16.47 | 7.81 5.13–10.49 4.39–11.23 | 20.51 14.89–26.13 13.32–27.70 | 84% |
| Blocked shots | 4.73 2.85–6.61 2.31–7.16 | 3.13 1.47–4.78 0.98–5.27 | 7.86 4.32–11.39 3.29–12.43 | 65% 22% |
| Corners | 6.32 4.11–8.54 3.54–9.11 | 4.41 2.41–6.41 1.87–6.94 | 10.73 6.52–14.94 5.41–16.05 | 67% 23% |
| Possession % | 54.65 47.86–61.44 46.19–63.11 | 46.10 39.31–52.88 37.64–54.55 | — | 67% 29% |
| Passes | 515 448–583 430–601 | 429 362–495 345–513 | 944 811–1078 775–1114 | 76% 23% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.49 69.46–77.52 68.17–78.82 | 73.02 68.70–77.35 67.39–78.66 | — | 50% 45% |
| Fouls | 9.80 6.96–12.64 6.21–13.40 | 11.36 8.42–14.31 7.67–15.06 | 21.16 15.38–26.95 13.88–28.45 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 2.08 0.92–3.24 0.62–3.54 | 1.37 0.28–2.47 0.00–2.75 | 3.45 1.20–5.70 0.61–6.29 | 54% 21% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 1.15 0.10–2.20 0.00–2.47 | 1.75 0.62–2.88 0.33–3.17 | 2.90 0.72–5.08 0.17–5.64 | 25% 24% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.76 1.32–4.19 0.93–4.58 | 4.43 2.88–5.99 2.45–6.41 | 7.19 4.20–10.18 3.39–11.00 | 21% 67% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.