Eredivisie·Regular Season - 12·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
45%
25%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.232.80safe0.60–2.540.38–2.090.98–4.62safer0.35–2.790.15–2.310.50–5.10
Shots on target
51%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction5.164.559.71safe3.29–7.022.81–6.296.10–13.31safer2.80–7.512.34–6.765.15–14.27
Total shots
46%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6713.7327.40safe9.74–17.5910.17–17.2919.91–34.88safer8.65–18.689.21–18.2517.86–36.94
Shots in box
62%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction9.687.8517.53safe6.74–12.635.17–10.5311.91–23.16safer5.91–13.454.43–11.2710.34–24.72
Blocked shots
38%
15%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.523.847.36safe1.64–5.402.19–5.493.82–10.89safer1.09–5.941.70–5.992.79–11.93
Corners
50%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.565.0410.60safe3.35–7.773.04–7.046.39–14.82safer2.77–8.352.51–7.585.28–15.92
Possession %
30%
66%
homeawayprediction46.0554.16safe39.26–52.8447.38–60.95safer37.59–54.5145.71–62.62
Passes
30%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction421485907safe354–489419–552773–1040safer336–507401–569737–1076
Pass accuracy %
14%
83%
homeawayprediction64.9372.77safe60.90–68.9668.44–77.09safer59.61–70.2567.13–78.40
Fouls
55%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3111.2123.52safe9.47–15.158.26–14.1517.74–29.30safer8.72–15.917.52–14.9016.23–30.81
Offsides
51%
23%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.831.263.09safe0.67–2.990.16–2.350.84–5.34safer0.37–3.290.00–2.640.25–5.93
Yellow cards
39%
23%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.713.41safe0.66–2.760.58–2.831.23–5.59safer0.39–3.020.29–3.130.68–6.15
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.070.15safe0.00–0.240.00–0.260.00–0.50safer0.00–0.390.00–0.390.00–0.78
GK saves
41%
16%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.303.386.68safe1.87–4.741.82–4.933.69–9.67safer1.48–5.131.40–5.362.88–10.48
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.57 0.60–2.54 0.35–2.79 | 1.23 0.38–2.09 0.15–2.31 | 2.80 0.98–4.62 0.50–5.10 | 45% 25% 30% |
| Shots on target | 5.16 3.29–7.02 2.80–7.51 | 4.55 2.81–6.29 2.34–6.76 | 9.71 6.10–13.31 5.15–14.27 | 51% 36% |
| Total shots | 13.67 9.74–17.59 8.65–18.68 | 13.73 10.17–17.29 9.21–18.25 | 27.40 19.91–34.88 17.86–36.94 | 46% 47% |
| Shots in box | 9.68 6.74–12.63 5.91–13.45 | 7.85 5.17–10.53 4.43–11.27 | 17.53 11.91–23.16 10.34–24.72 | 62% 29% |
| Blocked shots | 3.52 1.64–5.40 1.09–5.94 | 3.84 2.19–5.49 1.70–5.99 | 7.36 3.82–10.89 2.79–11.93 | 38% 15% 47% |
| Corners | 5.56 3.35–7.77 2.77–8.35 | 5.04 3.04–7.04 2.51–7.58 | 10.60 6.39–14.82 5.28–15.92 | 50% 38% |
| Possession % | 46.05 39.26–52.84 37.59–54.51 | 54.16 47.38–60.95 45.71–62.62 | — | 30% 66% |
| Passes | 421 354–489 336–507 | 485 419–552 401–569 | 907 773–1040 737–1076 | 30% 70% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.93 60.90–68.96 59.61–70.25 | 72.77 68.44–77.09 67.13–78.40 | — | 14% 83% |
| Fouls | 12.31 9.47–15.15 8.72–15.91 | 11.21 8.26–14.15 7.52–14.90 | 23.52 17.74–29.30 16.23–30.81 | 55% 37% |
| Offsides | 1.83 0.67–2.99 0.37–3.29 | 1.26 0.16–2.35 0.00–2.64 | 3.09 0.84–5.34 0.25–5.93 | 51% 23% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.71 0.66–2.76 0.39–3.02 | 1.71 0.58–2.83 0.29–3.13 | 3.41 1.23–5.59 0.68–6.15 | 39% 23% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.30 1.87–4.74 1.48–5.13 | 3.38 1.82–4.93 1.40–5.36 | 6.68 3.69–9.67 2.88–10.48 | 41% 16% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+