Eredivisie·Regular Season - 34·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 34·Predicted match statistics
Goals
39%
25%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.491.422.92safe0.53–2.460.57–2.281.09–4.74safer0.27–2.710.34–2.500.61–5.22
Shots on target
53%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.374.6510.02safe3.51–7.242.91–6.396.42–13.63safer3.02–7.732.44–6.865.46–14.58
Total shots
68%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction15.6112.6428.26safe11.69–19.549.08–16.2020.77–35.74safer10.60–20.638.12–17.1618.72–37.79
Shots in box
55%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction9.378.2817.65safe6.43–12.315.60–10.9712.03–23.28safer5.60–13.144.87–11.7010.46–24.84
Blocked shots
57%
14%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.403.387.77safe2.51–6.281.72–5.034.24–11.31safer1.97–6.821.23–5.523.20–12.34
Corners
51%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction5.264.659.91safe3.05–7.472.65–6.655.70–14.13safer2.47–8.052.12–7.194.59–15.23
Possession %
71%
25%
homeawayprediction54.8344.40safe48.03–61.6237.62–51.19safer46.37–63.2935.94–52.86
Passes
82%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction495383878safe428–562317–450745–1012safer410–580299–467709–1048
Pass accuracy %
48%
47%
homeawayprediction69.1769.07safe65.14–73.2064.75–73.39safer63.85–74.4963.44–74.70
Fouls
29%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8312.9623.79safe8.00–13.6710.01–15.9018.01–29.57safer7.24–14.439.27–16.6516.50–31.08
Offsides
35%
24%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.633.09safe0.30–2.620.53–2.720.84–5.34safer0.00–2.920.24–3.010.25–5.93
Yellow cards
31%
22%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.913.44safe0.47–2.570.78–3.041.26–5.61safer0.21–2.840.49–3.330.70–6.17
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
30%
15%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.883.706.58safe1.45–4.322.14–5.263.59–9.58safer1.06–4.711.72–5.682.78–10.39
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.49 0.53–2.46 0.27–2.71 | 1.42 0.57–2.28 0.34–2.50 | 2.92 1.09–4.74 0.61–5.22 | 39% 25% 36% |
| Shots on target | 5.37 3.51–7.24 3.02–7.73 | 4.65 2.91–6.39 2.44–6.86 | 10.02 6.42–13.63 5.46–14.58 | 53% 35% |
| Total shots | 15.61 11.69–19.54 10.60–20.63 | 12.64 9.08–16.20 8.12–17.16 | 28.26 20.77–35.74 18.72–37.79 | 68% 26% |
| Shots in box | 9.37 6.43–12.31 5.60–13.14 | 8.28 5.60–10.97 4.87–11.70 | 17.65 12.03–23.28 10.46–24.84 | 55% 35% |
| Blocked shots | 4.40 2.51–6.28 1.97–6.82 | 3.38 1.72–5.03 1.23–5.52 | 7.77 4.24–11.31 3.20–12.34 | 57% 14% 29% |
| Corners | 5.26 3.05–7.47 2.47–8.05 | 4.65 2.65–6.65 2.12–7.19 | 9.91 5.70–14.13 4.59–15.23 | 51% 36% |
| Possession % | 54.83 48.03–61.62 46.37–63.29 | 44.40 37.62–51.19 35.94–52.86 | — | 71% 25% |
| Passes | 495 428–562 410–580 | 383 317–450 299–467 | 878 745–1012 709–1048 | 82% 17% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.17 65.14–73.20 63.85–74.49 | 69.07 64.75–73.39 63.44–74.70 | — | 48% 47% |
| Fouls | 10.83 8.00–13.67 7.24–14.43 | 12.96 10.01–15.90 9.27–16.65 | 23.79 18.01–29.57 16.50–31.08 | 29% 63% |
| Offsides | 1.46 0.30–2.62 0.00–2.92 | 1.63 0.53–2.72 0.24–3.01 | 3.09 0.84–5.34 0.25–5.93 | 35% 24% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.52 0.47–2.57 0.21–2.84 | 1.91 0.78–3.04 0.49–3.33 | 3.44 1.26–5.61 0.70–6.17 | 31% 22% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.88 1.45–4.32 1.06–4.71 | 3.70 2.14–5.26 1.72–5.68 | 6.58 3.59–9.58 2.78–10.39 | 30% 15% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.