Eredivisie·Regular Season - 12·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
65%
19%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.261.043.30safe1.29–3.230.18–1.891.48–5.12safer1.04–3.480.00–2.121.00–5.60
Shots on target
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.863.4510.31safe5.00–8.721.71–5.196.70–13.91safer4.51–9.211.24–5.665.75–14.87
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction20.029.4029.42safe16.09–23.945.84–12.9621.93–36.91safer15.00–25.044.88–13.9219.88–38.96
Shots in box
92%
homeawaytotalprediction13.256.6419.89safe10.30–16.193.96–9.3314.27–25.51safer9.47–17.023.23–10.0612.70–27.08
Blocked shots
80%
homeawaytotalprediction5.632.748.38safe3.75–7.521.09–4.404.84–11.91safer3.21–8.060.60–4.893.81–12.95
Corners
84%
homeawaytotalprediction7.483.7211.20safe5.27–9.691.72–5.726.99–15.41safer4.69–10.271.19–6.255.88–16.52
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction63.4736.38safe56.68–70.2629.59–43.16safer55.01–71.9327.92–44.83
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction583345928safe516–651278–411794–1062safer498–669261–429759–1097
Pass accuracy %
92%
homeawayprediction78.5267.00safe74.49–82.5562.67–71.32safer73.20–83.8461.36–72.63
Fouls
42%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5510.9921.55safe7.72–13.398.05–13.9415.76–27.33safer6.96–14.157.30–14.6814.26–28.83
Offsides
33%
23%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.471.703.17safe0.31–2.630.61–2.800.92–5.43safer0.01–2.930.32–3.080.33–6.02
Yellow cards
23%
22%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.151.913.06safe0.10–2.200.78–3.040.88–5.24safer0.00–2.460.49–3.330.32–5.79
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.13safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.47safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.76
GK saves
16%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction2.404.526.91safe0.96–3.832.96–6.073.92–9.91safer0.57–4.222.54–6.503.11–10.72
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.26 1.29–3.23 1.04–3.48 | 1.04 0.18–1.89 0.00–2.12 | 3.30 1.48–5.12 1.00–5.60 | 65% 19% 16% |
| Shots on target | 6.86 5.00–8.72 4.51–9.21 | 3.45 1.71–5.19 1.24–5.66 | 10.31 6.70–13.91 5.75–14.87 | 82% |
| Total shots | 20.02 16.09–23.94 15.00–25.04 | 9.40 5.84–12.96 4.88–13.92 | 29.42 21.93–36.91 19.88–38.96 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 13.25 10.30–16.19 9.47–17.02 | 6.64 3.96–9.33 3.23–10.06 | 19.89 14.27–25.51 12.70–27.08 | 92% |
| Blocked shots | 5.63 3.75–7.52 3.21–8.06 | 2.74 1.09–4.40 0.60–4.89 | 8.38 4.84–11.91 3.81–12.95 | 80% |
| Corners | 7.48 5.27–9.69 4.69–10.27 | 3.72 1.72–5.72 1.19–6.25 | 11.20 6.99–15.41 5.88–16.52 | 84% |
| Possession % | 63.47 56.68–70.26 55.01–71.93 | 36.38 29.59–43.16 27.92–44.83 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 583 516–651 498–669 | 345 278–411 261–429 | 928 794–1062 759–1097 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.52 74.49–82.55 73.20–83.84 | 67.00 62.67–71.32 61.36–72.63 | — | 92% |
| Fouls | 10.55 7.72–13.39 6.96–14.15 | 10.99 8.05–13.94 7.30–14.68 | 21.55 15.76–27.33 14.26–28.83 | 42% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.47 0.31–2.63 0.01–2.93 | 1.70 0.61–2.80 0.32–3.08 | 3.17 0.92–5.43 0.33–6.02 | 33% 23% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.15 0.10–2.20 0.00–2.46 | 1.91 0.78–3.04 0.49–3.33 | 3.06 0.88–5.24 0.32–5.79 | 23% 22% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.40 0.96–3.83 0.57–4.22 | 4.52 2.96–6.07 2.54–6.50 | 6.91 3.92–9.91 3.11–10.72 | 16% 73% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.