Eredivisie·Regular Season - 22·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
22%
22%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.171.993.16safe0.20–2.141.14–2.851.34–4.99safer0.00–2.390.91–3.070.86–5.47
Shots on target
23%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction4.075.919.98safe2.21–5.944.17–7.656.38–13.59safer1.72–6.433.70–8.125.42–14.54
Total shots
21%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2115.9228.13safe8.28–16.1312.36–19.4820.64–35.61safer7.19–17.2211.40–20.4418.59–37.66
Shots in box
27%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction8.4110.5318.95safe5.47–11.367.85–13.2213.32–24.57safer4.64–12.187.12–13.9511.76–26.14
Blocked shots
25%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction3.474.898.36safe1.59–5.353.24–6.554.83–11.90safer1.04–5.902.75–7.043.79–12.93
Corners
30%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction4.645.8210.46safe2.43–6.853.82–7.826.25–14.67safer1.85–7.433.29–8.355.14–15.78
Possession %
15%
82%
homeawayprediction41.6658.31safe34.86–48.4551.52–65.09safer33.20–50.1249.85–66.77
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction368529897safe301–435462–595763–1030safer283–453445–613727–1066
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction64.6678.60safe60.63–68.6974.27–82.92safer59.34–69.9872.97–84.23
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction9.9211.0620.98safe7.08–12.768.12–14.0115.20–26.77safer6.33–13.527.37–14.7613.70–28.27
Offsides
45%
24%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.383.09safe0.55–2.870.29–2.470.84–5.34safer0.25–3.170.00–2.760.25–5.93
Yellow cards
32%
24%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.683.05safe0.32–2.420.55–2.810.87–5.23safer0.06–2.690.26–3.100.32–5.79
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
58%
14%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction3.982.926.90safe2.54–5.411.36–4.483.90–9.89safer2.15–5.800.94–4.903.09–10.70
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.17 0.20–2.14 0.00–2.39 | 1.99 1.14–2.85 0.91–3.07 | 3.16 1.34–4.99 0.86–5.47 | 22% 22% 56% |
| Shots on target | 4.07 2.21–5.94 1.72–6.43 | 5.91 4.17–7.65 3.70–8.12 | 9.98 6.38–13.59 5.42–14.54 | 23% 66% |
| Total shots | 12.21 8.28–16.13 7.19–17.22 | 15.92 12.36–19.48 11.40–20.44 | 28.13 20.64–35.61 18.59–37.66 | 21% 73% |
| Shots in box | 8.41 5.47–11.36 4.64–12.18 | 10.53 7.85–13.22 7.12–13.95 | 18.95 13.32–24.57 11.76–26.14 | 27% 65% |
| Blocked shots | 3.47 1.59–5.35 1.04–5.90 | 4.89 3.24–6.55 2.75–7.04 | 8.36 4.83–11.90 3.79–12.93 | 25% 62% |
| Corners | 4.64 2.43–6.85 1.85–7.43 | 5.82 3.82–7.82 3.29–8.35 | 10.46 6.25–14.67 5.14–15.78 | 30% 58% |
| Possession % | 41.66 34.86–48.45 33.20–50.12 | 58.31 51.52–65.09 49.85–66.77 | — | 15% 82% |
| Passes | 368 301–435 283–453 | 529 462–595 445–613 | 897 763–1030 727–1066 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.66 60.63–68.69 59.34–69.98 | 78.60 74.27–82.92 72.97–84.23 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 9.92 7.08–12.76 6.33–13.52 | 11.06 8.12–14.01 7.37–14.76 | 20.98 15.20–26.77 13.70–28.27 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.71 0.55–2.87 0.25–3.17 | 1.38 0.29–2.47 0.00–2.76 | 3.09 0.84–5.34 0.25–5.93 | 45% 24% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.37 0.32–2.42 0.06–2.69 | 1.68 0.55–2.81 0.26–3.10 | 3.05 0.87–5.23 0.32–5.79 | 32% 24% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.98 2.54–5.41 2.15–5.80 | 2.92 1.36–4.48 0.94–4.90 | 6.90 3.90–9.89 3.09–10.70 | 58% 14% 27% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+