Predicted match statistics
Goals
13%
16%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction1.082.663.74safe0.11–2.051.80–3.511.92–5.56safer0.00–2.301.58–3.741.44–6.04
Shots on target
86%
homeawaytotalprediction3.667.7011.37safe1.80–5.535.96–9.457.76–14.97safer1.31–6.025.49–9.916.81–15.93
Total shots
92%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2019.5430.74safe7.27–15.1215.98–23.1023.25–38.22safer6.18–16.2115.02–24.0621.20–40.27
Shots in box
93%
homeawaytotalprediction6.6213.7020.32safe3.68–9.5611.02–16.3814.70–25.94safer2.85–10.3910.28–17.1213.13–27.51
Blocked shots
16%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction2.975.308.28safe1.09–4.863.65–6.964.74–11.81safer0.55–5.403.16–7.453.71–12.85
Corners
13%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction3.896.9810.88safe1.68–6.104.98–8.986.66–15.09safer1.10–6.684.45–9.525.55–16.20
Possession %
95%
homeawayprediction36.0564.99safe29.26–42.8458.20–71.77safer27.59–44.5156.53–73.44
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction339622961safe272–406555–688827–1094safer254–424538–706791–1130
Pass accuracy %
99%
homeawayprediction63.0280.79safe58.99–67.0576.47–85.11safer57.70–68.3575.16–86.42
Fouls
47%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction9.959.7719.71safe7.11–12.786.82–12.7113.93–25.50safer6.35–13.546.08–13.4612.43–27.00
Offsides
40%
22%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.823.68safe0.71–3.030.72–2.911.43–5.94safer0.41–3.330.43–3.200.84–6.53
Yellow cards
46%
26%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.122.61safe0.45–2.540.00–2.240.43–4.79safer0.18–2.810.00–2.540.00–5.35
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.070.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.390.00–0.78
GK saves
73%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction4.682.557.22safe3.24–6.110.99–4.104.23–10.22safer2.85–6.500.57–4.533.42–11.03
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.08 0.11–2.05 0.00–2.30 | 2.66 1.80–3.51 1.58–3.74 | 3.74 1.92–5.56 1.44–6.04 | 13% 16% 71% |
| Shots on target | 3.66 1.80–5.53 1.31–6.02 | 7.70 5.96–9.45 5.49–9.91 | 11.37 7.76–14.97 6.81–15.93 | 86% |
| Total shots | 11.20 7.27–15.12 6.18–16.21 | 19.54 15.98–23.10 15.02–24.06 | 30.74 23.25–38.22 21.20–40.27 | 92% |
| Shots in box | 6.62 3.68–9.56 2.85–10.39 | 13.70 11.02–16.38 10.28–17.12 | 20.32 14.70–25.94 13.13–27.51 | 93% |
| Blocked shots | 2.97 1.09–4.86 0.55–5.40 | 5.30 3.65–6.96 3.16–7.45 | 8.28 4.74–11.81 3.71–12.85 | 16% 74% |
| Corners | 3.89 1.68–6.10 1.10–6.68 | 6.98 4.98–8.98 4.45–9.52 | 10.88 6.66–15.09 5.55–16.20 | 13% 79% |
| Possession % | 36.05 29.26–42.84 27.59–44.51 | 64.99 58.20–71.77 56.53–73.44 | — | 95% |
| Passes | 339 272–406 254–424 | 622 555–688 538–706 | 961 827–1094 791–1130 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.02 58.99–67.05 57.70–68.35 | 80.79 76.47–85.11 75.16–86.42 | — | 99% |
| Fouls | 9.95 7.11–12.78 6.35–13.54 | 9.77 6.82–12.71 6.08–13.46 | 19.71 13.93–25.50 12.43–27.00 | 47% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.87 0.71–3.03 0.41–3.33 | 1.82 0.72–2.91 0.43–3.20 | 3.68 1.43–5.94 0.84–6.53 | 40% 22% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.50 0.45–2.54 0.18–2.81 | 1.12 0.00–2.24 0.00–2.54 | 2.61 0.43–4.79 0.00–5.35 | 46% 26% 28% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 4.68 3.24–6.11 2.85–6.50 | 2.55 0.99–4.10 0.57–4.53 | 7.22 4.23–10.22 3.42–11.03 | 73% 16% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.