Eredivisie·Regular Season - 18·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
43%
26%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.162.58safe0.45–2.390.31–2.010.76–4.40safer0.20–2.640.08–2.240.28–4.88
Shots on target
53%
13%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.673.978.64safe2.81–6.532.23–5.715.03–12.24safer2.32–7.021.76–6.184.08–13.20
Total shots
71%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction14.7311.4326.16safe10.80–18.657.87–14.9918.67–33.65safer9.71–19.746.91–15.9516.62–35.70
Shots in box
52%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction8.127.4415.56safe5.18–11.064.76–10.129.94–21.18safer4.35–11.894.02–10.868.37–22.75
Blocked shots
56%
15%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.852.936.78safe1.96–5.731.28–4.593.24–10.31safer1.42–6.270.79–5.082.21–11.35
Corners
58%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.103.949.04safe2.88–7.311.94–5.944.83–13.25safer2.31–7.881.41–6.483.72–14.36
Possession %
74%
22%
homeawayprediction56.1744.22safe49.38–62.9637.44–51.01safer47.71–64.6335.77–52.68
Passes
84%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction487368855safe420–555301–434722–989safer402–573284–452686–1025
Pass accuracy %
54%
41%
homeawayprediction72.0370.79safe68.00–76.0566.46–75.11safer66.70–77.3565.16–76.42
Fouls
53%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2313.3727.61safe11.40–17.0710.43–16.3221.82–33.39safer10.64–17.839.68–17.0720.32–34.89
Offsides
35%
23%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.743.33safe0.43–2.750.64–2.831.07–5.58safer0.13–3.050.36–3.120.48–6.17
Yellow cards
38%
20%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.022.134.15safe0.97–3.071.00–3.261.97–6.32safer0.70–3.330.71–3.551.41–6.88
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.100.20safe0.00–0.260.00–0.290.00–0.55safer0.00–0.410.00–0.420.00–0.83
GK saves
32%
16%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.733.396.12safe1.29–4.161.84–4.953.13–9.11safer0.90–4.551.41–5.382.32–9.92
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.42 0.45–2.39 0.20–2.64 | 1.16 0.31–2.01 0.08–2.24 | 2.58 0.76–4.40 0.28–4.88 | 43% 26% 31% |
| Shots on target | 4.67 2.81–6.53 2.32–7.02 | 3.97 2.23–5.71 1.76–6.18 | 8.64 5.03–12.24 4.08–13.20 | 53% 13% 34% |
| Total shots | 14.73 10.80–18.65 9.71–19.74 | 11.43 7.87–14.99 6.91–15.95 | 26.16 18.67–33.65 16.62–35.70 | 71% 23% |
| Shots in box | 8.12 5.18–11.06 4.35–11.89 | 7.44 4.76–10.12 4.02–10.86 | 15.56 9.94–21.18 8.37–22.75 | 52% 38% |
| Blocked shots | 3.85 1.96–5.73 1.42–6.27 | 2.93 1.28–4.59 0.79–5.08 | 6.78 3.24–10.31 2.21–11.35 | 56% 15% 29% |
| Corners | 5.10 2.88–7.31 2.31–7.88 | 3.94 1.94–5.94 1.41–6.48 | 9.04 4.83–13.25 3.72–14.36 | 58% 29% |
| Possession % | 56.17 49.38–62.96 47.71–64.63 | 44.22 37.44–51.01 35.77–52.68 | — | 74% 22% |
| Passes | 487 420–555 402–573 | 368 301–434 284–452 | 855 722–989 686–1025 | 84% 16% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.03 68.00–76.05 66.70–77.35 | 70.79 66.46–75.11 65.16–76.42 | — | 54% 41% |
| Fouls | 14.23 11.40–17.07 10.64–17.83 | 13.37 10.43–16.32 9.68–17.07 | 27.61 21.82–33.39 20.32–34.89 | 53% 40% |
| Offsides | 1.59 0.43–2.75 0.13–3.05 | 1.74 0.64–2.83 0.36–3.12 | 3.33 1.07–5.58 0.48–6.17 | 35% 23% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 2.02 0.97–3.07 0.70–3.33 | 2.13 1.00–3.26 0.71–3.55 | 4.15 1.97–6.32 1.41–6.88 | 38% 20% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.73 1.29–4.16 0.90–4.55 | 3.39 1.84–4.95 1.41–5.38 | 6.12 3.13–9.11 2.32–9.92 | 32% 16% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.