Eredivisie·Regular Season - 18·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
36%
24%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.491.573.06safe0.52–2.460.71–2.421.24–4.88safer0.27–2.710.49–2.650.76–5.36
Shots on target
45%
13%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.884.799.67safe3.01–6.743.05–6.536.06–13.27safer2.52–7.232.58–7.005.11–14.23
Total shots
56%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction14.5013.1627.66safe10.57–18.429.60–16.7320.17–35.15safer9.48–19.528.64–17.6818.12–37.20
Shots in box
45%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction9.129.1318.25safe6.18–12.066.45–11.8112.63–23.87safer5.35–12.895.71–12.5511.06–25.44
Blocked shots
58%
13%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.773.698.46safe2.89–6.652.04–5.344.93–12.00safer2.35–7.201.55–5.843.89–13.03
Corners
50%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.635.1110.74safe3.42–7.843.11–7.116.53–14.95safer2.84–8.422.58–7.645.42–16.06
Possession %
64%
31%
homeawayprediction53.8546.57safe47.06–60.6439.79–53.36safer45.39–62.3138.12–55.03
Passes
72%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction474404878safe407–541338–471744–1012safer389–559320–488709–1048
Pass accuracy %
38%
57%
homeawayprediction68.6270.49safe64.59–72.6566.17–74.82safer63.30–73.9464.86–76.13
Fouls
31%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction9.1410.8219.96safe6.30–11.987.88–13.7714.18–25.74safer5.55–12.737.13–14.5112.67–27.25
Offsides
38%
26%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.331.272.60safe0.17–2.490.18–2.360.35–4.86safer0.00–2.800.00–2.650.00–5.45
Yellow cards
29%
24%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.221.632.86safe0.17–2.270.51–2.760.68–5.04safer0.00–2.540.21–3.050.12–5.59
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.070.11safe0.00–0.200.00–0.260.00–0.46safer0.00–0.350.00–0.390.00–0.74
GK saves
39%
16%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction3.323.516.83safe1.89–4.761.95–5.073.84–9.82safer1.50–5.141.53–5.493.03–10.64
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.49 0.52–2.46 0.27–2.71 | 1.57 0.71–2.42 0.49–2.65 | 3.06 1.24–4.88 0.76–5.36 | 36% 24% 40% |
| Shots on target | 4.88 3.01–6.74 2.52–7.23 | 4.79 3.05–6.53 2.58–7.00 | 9.67 6.06–13.27 5.11–14.23 | 45% 13% 42% |
| Total shots | 14.50 10.57–18.42 9.48–19.52 | 13.16 9.60–16.73 8.64–17.68 | 27.66 20.17–35.15 18.12–37.20 | 56% 36% |
| Shots in box | 9.12 6.18–12.06 5.35–12.89 | 9.13 6.45–11.81 5.71–12.55 | 18.25 12.63–23.87 11.06–25.44 | 45% 45% |
| Blocked shots | 4.77 2.89–6.65 2.35–7.20 | 3.69 2.04–5.34 1.55–5.84 | 8.46 4.93–12.00 3.89–13.03 | 58% 13% 29% |
| Corners | 5.63 3.42–7.84 2.84–8.42 | 5.11 3.11–7.11 2.58–7.64 | 10.74 6.53–14.95 5.42–16.06 | 50% 38% |
| Possession % | 53.85 47.06–60.64 45.39–62.31 | 46.57 39.79–53.36 38.12–55.03 | — | 64% 31% |
| Passes | 474 407–541 389–559 | 404 338–471 320–488 | 878 744–1012 709–1048 | 72% 28% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.62 64.59–72.65 63.30–73.94 | 70.49 66.17–74.82 64.86–76.13 | — | 38% 57% |
| Fouls | 9.14 6.30–11.98 5.55–12.73 | 10.82 7.88–13.77 7.13–14.51 | 19.96 14.18–25.74 12.67–27.25 | 31% 60% |
| Offsides | 1.33 0.17–2.49 0.00–2.80 | 1.27 0.18–2.36 0.00–2.65 | 2.60 0.35–4.86 0.00–5.45 | 38% 26% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.22 0.17–2.27 0.00–2.54 | 1.63 0.51–2.76 0.21–3.05 | 2.86 0.68–5.04 0.12–5.59 | 29% 24% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.46 0.00–0.74 | 89% |
| GK saves | 3.32 1.89–4.76 1.50–5.14 | 3.51 1.95–5.07 1.53–5.49 | 6.83 3.84–9.82 3.03–10.64 | 39% 16% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.