Predicted match statistics
Goals
43%
26%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.471.202.66safe0.50–2.430.34–2.050.84–4.48safer0.25–2.690.11–2.280.36–4.96
Shots on target
52%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.224.529.74safe3.36–7.082.78–6.266.14–13.35safer2.87–7.572.31–6.735.18–14.30
Total shots
62%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction14.7412.5927.33safe10.82–18.679.03–16.1519.85–34.82safer9.73–19.768.07–17.1117.80–36.87
Shots in box
62%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction9.547.8017.34safe6.60–12.495.12–10.4811.72–22.97safer5.77–13.324.38–11.2210.15–24.53
Blocked shots
53%
14%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.133.407.52safe2.24–6.011.74–5.053.99–11.06safer1.70–6.551.25–5.542.95–12.09
Corners
52%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction5.544.8610.40safe3.33–7.762.86–6.866.19–14.62safer2.76–8.332.33–7.395.08–15.73
Possession %
46%
50%
homeawayprediction49.7050.58safe42.91–56.4943.79–57.36safer41.24–58.1642.12–59.04
Passes
53%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction419410829safe352–487343–476696–963safer334–505326–494660–999
Pass accuracy %
35%
60%
homeawayprediction67.7170.16safe63.68–71.7465.84–74.48safer62.39–73.0364.53–75.79
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3313.6125.94safe9.49–15.1710.67–16.5620.16–31.72safer8.74–15.929.92–17.3118.65–33.23
Offsides
44%
24%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.342.97safe0.46–2.780.25–2.430.71–5.22safer0.16–3.090.00–2.720.12–5.81
Yellow cards
27%
21%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.542.163.70safe0.49–2.591.03–3.291.52–5.88safer0.22–2.850.74–3.580.96–6.43
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.19safe0.00–0.250.00–0.290.00–0.54safer0.00–0.400.00–0.420.00–0.82
GK saves
33%
15%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.983.616.59safe1.54–4.422.05–5.173.60–9.58safer1.16–4.801.63–5.592.78–10.39
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.47 0.50–2.43 0.25–2.69 | 1.20 0.34–2.05 0.11–2.28 | 2.66 0.84–4.48 0.36–4.96 | 43% 26% 31% |
| Shots on target | 5.22 3.36–7.08 2.87–7.57 | 4.52 2.78–6.26 2.31–6.73 | 9.74 6.14–13.35 5.18–14.30 | 52% 35% |
| Total shots | 14.74 10.82–18.67 9.73–19.76 | 12.59 9.03–16.15 8.07–17.11 | 27.33 19.85–34.82 17.80–36.87 | 62% 31% |
| Shots in box | 9.54 6.60–12.49 5.77–13.32 | 7.80 5.12–10.48 4.38–11.22 | 17.34 11.72–22.97 10.15–24.53 | 62% 29% |
| Blocked shots | 4.13 2.24–6.01 1.70–6.55 | 3.40 1.74–5.05 1.25–5.54 | 7.52 3.99–11.06 2.95–12.09 | 53% 14% 33% |
| Corners | 5.54 3.33–7.76 2.76–8.33 | 4.86 2.86–6.86 2.33–7.39 | 10.40 6.19–14.62 5.08–15.73 | 52% 36% |
| Possession % | 49.70 42.91–56.49 41.24–58.16 | 50.58 43.79–57.36 42.12–59.04 | — | 46% 50% |
| Passes | 419 352–487 334–505 | 410 343–476 326–494 | 829 696–963 660–999 | 53% 47% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.71 63.68–71.74 62.39–73.03 | 70.16 65.84–74.48 64.53–75.79 | — | 35% 60% |
| Fouls | 12.33 9.49–15.17 8.74–15.92 | 13.61 10.67–16.56 9.92–17.31 | 25.94 20.16–31.72 18.65–33.23 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.62 0.46–2.78 0.16–3.09 | 1.34 0.25–2.43 0.00–2.72 | 2.97 0.71–5.22 0.12–5.81 | 44% 24% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.54 0.49–2.59 0.22–2.85 | 2.16 1.03–3.29 0.74–3.58 | 3.70 1.52–5.88 0.96–6.43 | 27% 21% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.98 1.54–4.42 1.16–4.80 | 3.61 2.05–5.17 1.63–5.59 | 6.59 3.60–9.58 2.78–10.39 | 33% 15% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.