Eredivisie·Regular Season - 19·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
65%
19%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.321.083.40safe1.35–3.290.22–1.931.58–5.22safer1.10–3.540.00–2.161.10–5.70
Shots on target
75%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.874.1911.06safe5.01–8.742.45–5.937.46–14.67safer4.52–9.231.98–6.406.50–15.62
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction20.6911.5132.20safe16.77–24.627.94–15.0724.71–39.69safer15.68–25.716.99–16.0322.66–41.74
Shots in box
90%
homeawaytotalprediction13.517.3320.83safe10.57–16.454.64–10.0115.21–26.46safer9.74–17.283.91–10.7413.64–28.02
Blocked shots
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.103.329.42safe4.21–7.981.67–4.985.88–12.95safer3.67–8.521.18–5.474.85–13.99
Corners
84%
homeawaytotalprediction7.613.8211.42safe5.39–9.821.82–5.827.21–15.64safer4.82–10.391.28–6.356.10–16.74
Possession %
85%
homeawayprediction59.3040.44safe52.51–66.0933.66–47.23safer50.84–67.7631.99–48.90
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction545375920safe478–613308–441786–1054safer460–631291–459751–1089
Pass accuracy %
77%
19%
homeawayprediction77.1670.98safe73.13–81.1966.65–75.30safer71.84–82.4865.34–76.61
Fouls
48%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5210.2620.78safe7.68–13.357.32–13.2115.00–26.56safer6.92–14.116.57–13.9613.49–28.07
Offsides
38%
24%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.593.18safe0.43–2.750.50–2.680.93–5.44safer0.13–3.050.21–2.970.34–6.02
Yellow cards
26%
24%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.181.742.92safe0.14–2.230.61–2.870.74–5.10safer0.00–2.500.32–3.160.19–5.66
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.260.00–0.48safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
20%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction2.914.687.60safe1.48–4.353.13–6.244.60–10.59safer1.09–4.742.70–6.663.79–11.40
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.32 1.35–3.29 1.10–3.54 | 1.08 0.22–1.93 0.00–2.16 | 3.40 1.58–5.22 1.10–5.70 | 65% 19% 16% |
| Shots on target | 6.87 5.01–8.74 4.52–9.23 | 4.19 2.45–5.93 1.98–6.40 | 11.06 7.46–14.67 6.50–15.62 | 75% 17% |
| Total shots | 20.69 16.77–24.62 15.68–25.71 | 11.51 7.94–15.07 6.99–16.03 | 32.20 24.71–39.69 22.66–41.74 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 13.51 10.57–16.45 9.74–17.28 | 7.33 4.64–10.01 3.91–10.74 | 20.83 15.21–26.46 13.64–28.02 | 90% |
| Blocked shots | 6.10 4.21–7.98 3.67–8.52 | 3.32 1.67–4.98 1.18–5.47 | 9.42 5.88–12.95 4.85–13.99 | 77% 14% |
| Corners | 7.61 5.39–9.82 4.82–10.39 | 3.82 1.82–5.82 1.28–6.35 | 11.42 7.21–15.64 6.10–16.74 | 84% |
| Possession % | 59.30 52.51–66.09 50.84–67.76 | 40.44 33.66–47.23 31.99–48.90 | — | 85% |
| Passes | 545 478–613 460–631 | 375 308–441 291–459 | 920 786–1054 751–1089 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.16 73.13–81.19 71.84–82.48 | 70.98 66.65–75.30 65.34–76.61 | — | 77% 19% |
| Fouls | 10.52 7.68–13.35 6.92–14.11 | 10.26 7.32–13.21 6.57–13.96 | 20.78 15.00–26.56 13.49–28.07 | 48% 43% |
| Offsides | 1.59 0.43–2.75 0.13–3.05 | 1.59 0.50–2.68 0.21–2.97 | 3.18 0.93–5.44 0.34–6.02 | 38% 24% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.18 0.14–2.23 0.00–2.50 | 1.74 0.61–2.87 0.32–3.16 | 2.92 0.74–5.10 0.19–5.66 | 26% 24% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.91 1.48–4.35 1.09–4.74 | 4.68 3.13–6.24 2.70–6.66 | 7.60 4.60–10.59 3.79–11.40 | 20% 68% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.