Eredivisie·Regular Season - 20·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
81%
homeawaytotalprediction2.730.633.36safe1.76–3.690.00–1.491.54–5.18safer1.51–3.940.00–1.721.06–5.66
Shots on target
94%
homeawaytotalprediction7.752.4410.18safe5.89–9.610.69–4.186.58–13.79safer5.40–10.100.23–4.645.62–14.75
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction20.677.3127.98safe16.75–24.603.74–10.8720.49–35.47safer15.66–25.692.78–11.8318.44–37.52
Shots in box
98%
homeawaytotalprediction14.024.5518.57safe11.08–16.961.87–7.2312.95–24.19safer10.25–17.791.13–7.9711.38–25.76
Blocked shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction5.642.087.72safe3.76–7.520.43–3.744.19–11.26safer3.21–8.060.00–4.233.15–12.29
Corners
94%
homeawaytotalprediction8.012.6910.69safe5.79–10.220.69–4.696.48–14.91safer5.22–10.790.15–5.225.37–16.01
Possession %
97%
homeawayprediction65.6733.97safe58.88–72.4627.19–40.76safer57.21–74.1325.52–42.43
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction639327966safe572–707260–393832–1100safer554–725243–411797–1136
Pass accuracy %
91%
homeawayprediction76.2665.16safe72.23–80.2960.84–69.48safer70.94–81.5959.53–70.79
Fouls
32%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction9.2910.9220.21safe6.45–12.137.97–13.8614.43–25.99safer5.70–12.887.23–14.6112.92–27.50
Offsides
44%
24%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.651.393.05safe0.49–2.810.30–2.490.79–5.30safer0.19–3.120.01–2.770.20–5.89
Yellow cards
18%
22%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction0.881.842.72safe0.00–1.930.71–2.970.54–4.90safer0.00–2.200.42–3.260.00–5.46
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.090.12safe0.00–0.200.00–0.270.00–0.47safer0.00–0.350.00–0.410.00–0.75
GK saves
83%
homeawaytotalprediction1.924.886.80safe0.48–3.353.33–6.443.81–9.79safer0.09–3.742.90–6.873.00–10.61
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.73 1.76–3.69 1.51–3.94 | 0.63 0.00–1.49 0.00–1.72 | 3.36 1.54–5.18 1.06–5.66 | 81% |
| Shots on target | 7.75 5.89–9.61 5.40–10.10 | 2.44 0.69–4.18 0.23–4.64 | 10.18 6.58–13.79 5.62–14.75 | 94% |
| Total shots | 20.67 16.75–24.60 15.66–25.69 | 7.31 3.74–10.87 2.78–11.83 | 27.98 20.49–35.47 18.44–37.52 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 14.02 11.08–16.96 10.25–17.79 | 4.55 1.87–7.23 1.13–7.97 | 18.57 12.95–24.19 11.38–25.76 | 98% |
| Blocked shots | 5.64 3.76–7.52 3.21–8.06 | 2.08 0.43–3.74 0.00–4.23 | 7.72 4.19–11.26 3.15–12.29 | 87% |
| Corners | 8.01 5.79–10.22 5.22–10.79 | 2.69 0.69–4.69 0.15–5.22 | 10.69 6.48–14.91 5.37–16.01 | 94% |
| Possession % | 65.67 58.88–72.46 57.21–74.13 | 33.97 27.19–40.76 25.52–42.43 | — | 97% |
| Passes | 639 572–707 554–725 | 327 260–393 243–411 | 966 832–1100 797–1136 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.26 72.23–80.29 70.94–81.59 | 65.16 60.84–69.48 59.53–70.79 | — | 91% |
| Fouls | 9.29 6.45–12.13 5.70–12.88 | 10.92 7.97–13.86 7.23–14.61 | 20.21 14.43–25.99 12.92–27.50 | 32% 60% |
| Offsides | 1.65 0.49–2.81 0.19–3.12 | 1.39 0.30–2.49 0.01–2.77 | 3.05 0.79–5.30 0.20–5.89 | 44% 24% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 0.88 0.00–1.93 0.00–2.20 | 1.84 0.71–2.97 0.42–3.26 | 2.72 0.54–4.90 0.00–5.46 | 18% 22% 60% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.12 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 1.92 0.48–3.35 0.09–3.74 | 4.88 3.33–6.44 2.90–6.87 | 6.80 3.81–9.79 3.00–10.61 | 83% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.