Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
25%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.511.362.87safe0.54–2.470.51–2.211.04–4.69safer0.29–2.730.28–2.440.56–5.17
Shots on target
47%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.964.669.62safe3.10–6.822.92–6.406.02–13.23safer2.61–7.312.45–6.875.06–14.18
Total shots
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7213.6227.34safe9.79–17.6410.06–17.1919.85–34.83safer8.70–18.739.10–18.1517.80–36.88
Shots in box
48%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction9.068.7417.80safe6.12–12.006.06–11.4212.18–23.43safer5.29–12.835.33–12.1610.61–24.99
Blocked shots
42%
14%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.934.027.95safe2.05–5.812.37–5.684.42–11.49safer1.51–6.361.88–6.173.38–12.52
Corners
40%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction5.235.5410.78safe3.02–7.453.54–7.546.56–14.99safer2.45–8.023.01–8.085.46–16.10
Possession %
42%
53%
homeawayprediction48.7551.23safe41.96–55.5444.45–58.02safer40.29–57.2142.78–59.69
Passes
53%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction442434876safe375–510367–500743–1010safer357–528350–518707–1046
Pass accuracy %
20%
76%
homeawayprediction63.7669.71safe59.73–67.7965.39–74.04safer58.44–69.0864.08–75.35
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8111.7723.57safe8.97–14.648.82–14.7117.79–29.36safer8.21–15.408.07–15.4616.29–30.86
Offsides
48%
24%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.212.87safe0.50–2.820.12–2.310.62–5.12safer0.19–3.120.00–2.600.03–5.71
Yellow cards
37%
24%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.491.543.03safe0.44–2.540.41–2.670.85–5.21safer0.18–2.810.12–2.960.29–5.76
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.070.14safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.390.00–0.77
GK saves
43%
16%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.373.346.71safe1.93–4.801.78–4.903.71–9.70safer1.54–5.191.36–5.322.90–10.51
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.51 0.54–2.47 0.29–2.73 | 1.36 0.51–2.21 0.28–2.44 | 2.87 1.04–4.69 0.56–5.17 | 41% 25% 34% |
| Shots on target | 4.96 3.10–6.82 2.61–7.31 | 4.66 2.92–6.40 2.45–6.87 | 9.62 6.02–13.23 5.06–14.18 | 47% 40% |
| Total shots | 13.72 9.79–17.64 8.70–18.73 | 13.62 10.06–17.19 9.10–18.15 | 27.34 19.85–34.83 17.80–36.88 | 47% 45% |
| Shots in box | 9.06 6.12–12.00 5.29–12.83 | 8.74 6.06–11.42 5.33–12.16 | 17.80 12.18–23.43 10.61–24.99 | 48% 42% |
| Blocked shots | 3.93 2.05–5.81 1.51–6.36 | 4.02 2.37–5.68 1.88–6.17 | 7.95 4.42–11.49 3.38–12.52 | 42% 14% 44% |
| Corners | 5.23 3.02–7.45 2.45–8.02 | 5.54 3.54–7.54 3.01–8.08 | 10.78 6.56–14.99 5.46–16.10 | 40% 48% |
| Possession % | 48.75 41.96–55.54 40.29–57.21 | 51.23 44.45–58.02 42.78–59.69 | — | 42% 53% |
| Passes | 442 375–510 357–528 | 434 367–500 350–518 | 876 743–1010 707–1046 | 53% 47% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.76 59.73–67.79 58.44–69.08 | 69.71 65.39–74.04 64.08–75.35 | — | 20% 76% |
| Fouls | 11.81 8.97–14.64 8.21–15.40 | 11.77 8.82–14.71 8.07–15.46 | 23.57 17.79–29.36 16.29–30.86 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.82 0.19–3.12 | 1.21 0.12–2.31 0.00–2.60 | 2.87 0.62–5.12 0.03–5.71 | 48% 24% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.49 0.44–2.54 0.18–2.81 | 1.54 0.41–2.67 0.12–2.96 | 3.03 0.85–5.21 0.29–5.76 | 37% 24% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.37 1.93–4.80 1.54–5.19 | 3.34 1.78–4.90 1.36–5.32 | 6.71 3.71–9.70 2.90–10.51 | 43% 16% 42% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.