Predicted match statistics
Goals
19%
20%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction1.102.153.25safe0.13–2.071.29–3.001.43–5.07safer0.00–2.321.07–3.230.95–5.55
Shots on target
14%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction3.716.6910.40safe1.85–5.574.95–8.436.80–14.01safer1.36–6.064.48–8.905.84–14.96
Total shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2017.0228.21safe7.27–15.1213.45–20.5820.73–35.70safer6.18–16.2112.50–21.5418.68–37.75
Shots in box
84%
homeawaytotalprediction6.9711.6718.64safe4.03–9.918.99–14.3513.02–24.26safer3.20–10.748.25–15.0911.45–25.83
Blocked shots
17%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction2.855.057.90safe0.97–4.743.39–6.704.37–11.44safer0.43–5.282.90–7.193.33–12.47
Corners
19%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction4.176.4710.64safe1.96–6.394.47–8.476.43–14.85safer1.38–6.963.94–9.005.32–15.96
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction38.8462.10safe32.05–45.6355.32–68.89safer30.38–47.3053.65–70.56
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction374602976safe307–441536–669843–1110safer289–459518–686807–1146
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction65.6779.29safe61.64–69.7074.97–83.61safer60.35–71.0073.66–84.92
Fouls
48%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2610.0220.28safe7.42–13.107.07–12.9614.49–26.06safer6.67–13.856.32–13.7112.99–27.56
Offsides
37%
21%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.881.993.87safe0.72–3.040.89–3.081.61–6.12safer0.42–3.340.60–3.371.02–6.71
Yellow cards
39%
25%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.372.83safe0.41–2.510.24–2.500.65–5.00safer0.14–2.770.00–2.790.09–5.56
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.070.15safe0.00–0.240.00–0.260.00–0.50safer0.00–0.390.00–0.390.00–0.78
GK saves
65%
14%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction3.962.466.42safe2.52–5.390.90–4.023.43–9.41safer2.13–5.780.48–4.442.61–10.22
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.10 0.13–2.07 0.00–2.32 | 2.15 1.29–3.00 1.07–3.23 | 3.25 1.43–5.07 0.95–5.55 | 19% 20% 61% |
| Shots on target | 3.71 1.85–5.57 1.36–6.06 | 6.69 4.95–8.43 4.48–8.90 | 10.40 6.80–14.01 5.84–14.96 | 14% 78% |
| Total shots | 11.20 7.27–15.12 6.18–16.21 | 17.02 13.45–20.58 12.50–21.54 | 28.21 20.73–35.70 18.68–37.75 | 84% |
| Shots in box | 6.97 4.03–9.91 3.20–10.74 | 11.67 8.99–14.35 8.25–15.09 | 18.64 13.02–24.26 11.45–25.83 | 84% |
| Blocked shots | 2.85 0.97–4.74 0.43–5.28 | 5.05 3.39–6.70 2.90–7.19 | 7.90 4.37–11.44 3.33–12.47 | 17% 73% |
| Corners | 4.17 1.96–6.39 1.38–6.96 | 6.47 4.47–8.47 3.94–9.00 | 10.64 6.43–14.85 5.32–15.96 | 19% 71% |
| Possession % | 38.84 32.05–45.63 30.38–47.30 | 62.10 55.32–68.89 53.65–70.56 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 374 307–441 289–459 | 602 536–669 518–686 | 976 843–1110 807–1146 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.67 61.64–69.70 60.35–71.00 | 79.29 74.97–83.61 73.66–84.92 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 10.26 7.42–13.10 6.67–13.85 | 10.02 7.07–12.96 6.32–13.71 | 20.28 14.49–26.06 12.99–27.56 | 48% 43% |
| Offsides | 1.88 0.72–3.04 0.42–3.34 | 1.99 0.89–3.08 0.60–3.37 | 3.87 1.61–6.12 1.02–6.71 | 37% 21% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.46 0.41–2.51 0.14–2.77 | 1.37 0.24–2.50 0.00–2.79 | 2.83 0.65–5.00 0.09–5.56 | 39% 25% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.96 2.52–5.39 2.13–5.78 | 2.46 0.90–4.02 0.48–4.44 | 6.42 3.43–9.41 2.61–10.22 | 65% 14% 21% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.