Eredivisie·Regular Season - 22·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
58%
19%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction2.341.443.77safe1.37–3.300.58–2.291.95–5.59safer1.12–3.550.35–2.521.47–6.07
Shots on target
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction6.554.6411.19safe4.69–8.422.90–6.387.59–14.80safer4.20–8.902.43–6.856.63–15.75
Total shots
78%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction17.0812.3429.42safe13.16–21.018.78–15.9021.94–36.91safer12.06–22.107.82–16.8619.88–38.96
Shots in box
71%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction11.278.3319.60safe8.33–14.225.64–11.0113.98–25.22safer7.50–15.044.91–11.7412.41–26.79
Blocked shots
56%
13%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.583.628.20safe2.70–6.461.97–5.284.67–11.74safer2.15–7.001.48–5.773.63–12.77
Corners
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction6.134.2910.42safe3.91–8.342.29–6.296.21–14.63safer3.34–8.911.76–6.835.10–15.74
Possession %
79%
18%
homeawayprediction57.0942.69safe50.30–63.8835.91–49.48safer48.63–65.5534.24–51.15
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction559398957safe492–626332–465823–1091safer473–644314–482788–1126
Pass accuracy %
57%
38%
homeawayprediction75.0473.21safe71.01–79.0768.88–77.53safer69.71–80.3667.58–78.84
Fouls
42%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction9.549.9719.51safe6.71–12.387.02–12.9113.73–25.29safer5.95–13.146.27–13.6612.22–26.80
Offsides
53%
22%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.901.253.15safe0.74–3.060.16–2.340.90–5.40safer0.44–3.360.00–2.630.31–5.99
Yellow cards
27%
22%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.361.953.31safe0.32–2.410.82–3.071.13–5.49safer0.05–2.680.53–3.370.57–6.05
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
30%
14%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction3.114.007.11safe1.68–4.552.44–5.564.12–10.10safer1.29–4.942.02–5.983.31–10.92
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.34 1.37–3.30 1.12–3.55 | 1.44 0.58–2.29 0.35–2.52 | 3.77 1.95–5.59 1.47–6.07 | 58% 19% 23% |
| Shots on target | 6.55 4.69–8.42 4.20–8.90 | 4.64 2.90–6.38 2.43–6.85 | 11.19 7.59–14.80 6.63–15.75 | 66% 23% |
| Total shots | 17.08 13.16–21.01 12.06–22.10 | 12.34 8.78–15.90 7.82–16.86 | 29.42 21.94–36.91 19.88–38.96 | 78% 17% |
| Shots in box | 11.27 8.33–14.22 7.50–15.04 | 8.33 5.64–11.01 4.91–11.74 | 19.60 13.98–25.22 12.41–26.79 | 71% 22% |
| Blocked shots | 4.58 2.70–6.46 2.15–7.00 | 3.62 1.97–5.28 1.48–5.77 | 8.20 4.67–11.74 3.63–12.77 | 56% 13% 30% |
| Corners | 6.13 3.91–8.34 3.34–8.91 | 4.29 2.29–6.29 1.76–6.83 | 10.42 6.21–14.63 5.10–15.74 | 66% 23% |
| Possession % | 57.09 50.30–63.88 48.63–65.55 | 42.69 35.91–49.48 34.24–51.15 | — | 79% 18% |
| Passes | 559 492–626 473–644 | 398 332–465 314–482 | 957 823–1091 788–1126 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.04 71.01–79.07 69.71–80.36 | 73.21 68.88–77.53 67.58–78.84 | — | 57% 38% |
| Fouls | 9.54 6.71–12.38 5.95–13.14 | 9.97 7.02–12.91 6.27–13.66 | 19.51 13.73–25.29 12.22–26.80 | 42% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.90 0.74–3.06 0.44–3.36 | 1.25 0.16–2.34 0.00–2.63 | 3.15 0.90–5.40 0.31–5.99 | 53% 22% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 1.36 0.32–2.41 0.05–2.68 | 1.95 0.82–3.07 0.53–3.37 | 3.31 1.13–5.49 0.57–6.05 | 27% 22% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.11 1.68–4.55 1.29–4.94 | 4.00 2.44–5.56 2.02–5.98 | 7.11 4.12–10.10 3.31–10.92 | 30% 14% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.