Eredivisie·Regular Season - 22·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
19%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction1.092.263.35safe0.12–2.061.41–3.121.53–5.18safer0.00–2.311.18–3.341.05–5.66
Shots on target
20%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction4.046.2110.25safe2.18–5.914.47–7.956.65–13.86safer1.69–6.404.00–8.425.69–14.81
Total shots
17%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4717.2229.70safe8.55–16.4013.66–20.7822.21–37.18safer7.46–17.4912.70–21.7420.16–39.23
Shots in box
22%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction8.2211.1619.39safe5.28–11.168.48–13.8513.76–25.01safer4.45–11.997.75–14.5812.20–26.58
Blocked shots
44%
16%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.453.356.80safe1.57–5.331.69–5.003.26–10.33safer1.02–5.871.20–5.492.23–11.37
Corners
25%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction4.396.0510.44safe2.17–6.604.05–8.056.23–14.66safer1.60–7.183.52–8.595.12–15.76
Possession %
13%
84%
homeawayprediction41.8259.71safe35.03–48.6152.93–66.50safer33.36–50.2851.26–68.17
Passes
90%
homeawaytotalprediction367518885safe300–435452–585752–1019safer282–453434–602716–1055
Pass accuracy %
92%
homeawayprediction66.3177.65safe62.28–70.3473.33–81.98safer60.98–71.6372.02–83.29
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3711.9122.29safe7.53–13.218.97–14.8616.50–28.07safer6.78–13.978.22–15.6115.00–29.57
Offsides
50%
23%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.831.313.13safe0.67–2.990.21–2.400.88–5.38safer0.36–3.290.00–2.690.29–5.97
Yellow cards
35%
24%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.491.603.09safe0.44–2.530.48–2.730.91–5.27safer0.17–2.800.18–3.020.35–5.83
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
63%
14%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.192.827.01safe2.76–5.631.26–4.374.02–10.00safer2.37–6.020.84–4.803.21–10.82
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.09 0.12–2.06 0.00–2.31 | 2.26 1.41–3.12 1.18–3.34 | 3.35 1.53–5.18 1.05–5.66 | 17% 19% 64% |
| Shots on target | 4.04 2.18–5.91 1.69–6.40 | 6.21 4.47–7.95 4.00–8.42 | 10.25 6.65–13.86 5.69–14.81 | 20% 70% |
| Total shots | 12.47 8.55–16.40 7.46–17.49 | 17.22 13.66–20.78 12.70–21.74 | 29.70 22.21–37.18 20.16–39.23 | 17% 78% |
| Shots in box | 8.22 5.28–11.16 4.45–11.99 | 11.16 8.48–13.85 7.75–14.58 | 19.39 13.76–25.01 12.20–26.58 | 22% 71% |
| Blocked shots | 3.45 1.57–5.33 1.02–5.87 | 3.35 1.69–5.00 1.20–5.49 | 6.80 3.26–10.33 2.23–11.37 | 44% 16% 41% |
| Corners | 4.39 2.17–6.60 1.60–7.18 | 6.05 4.05–8.05 3.52–8.59 | 10.44 6.23–14.66 5.12–15.76 | 25% 64% |
| Possession % | 41.82 35.03–48.61 33.36–50.28 | 59.71 52.93–66.50 51.26–68.17 | — | 13% 84% |
| Passes | 367 300–435 282–453 | 518 452–585 434–602 | 885 752–1019 716–1055 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.31 62.28–70.34 60.98–71.63 | 77.65 73.33–81.98 72.02–83.29 | — | 92% |
| Fouls | 10.37 7.53–13.21 6.78–13.97 | 11.91 8.97–14.86 8.22–15.61 | 22.29 16.50–28.07 15.00–29.57 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.83 0.67–2.99 0.36–3.29 | 1.31 0.21–2.40 0.00–2.69 | 3.13 0.88–5.38 0.29–5.97 | 50% 23% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.49 0.44–2.53 0.17–2.80 | 1.60 0.48–2.73 0.18–3.02 | 3.09 0.91–5.27 0.35–5.83 | 35% 24% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 4.19 2.76–5.63 2.37–6.02 | 2.82 1.26–4.37 0.84–4.80 | 7.01 4.02–10.00 3.21–10.82 | 63% 14% 24% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.