Eredivisie·Regular Season - 23·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 23·Predicted match statistics
Goals
25%
24%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.171.752.93safe0.20–2.140.90–2.611.10–4.75safer0.00–2.390.67–2.840.63–5.23
Shots on target
29%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction4.155.299.44safe2.28–6.013.55–7.045.84–13.05safer1.79–6.503.09–7.504.88–14.00
Total shots
32%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0815.0628.14safe9.16–17.0111.50–18.6320.66–35.63safer8.06–18.1010.54–19.5818.61–37.68
Shots in box
32%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction8.269.7818.04safe5.31–11.207.10–12.4612.42–23.66safer4.49–12.036.36–13.2010.85–25.23
Blocked shots
31%
13%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction3.864.858.71safe1.98–5.743.19–6.505.17–12.24safer1.43–6.292.70–6.994.14–13.28
Corners
38%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction5.075.5710.64safe2.85–7.283.57–7.576.42–14.85safer2.28–7.853.04–8.105.32–15.96
Possession %
22%
74%
homeawayprediction43.9155.94safe37.12–50.7049.16–62.73safer35.45–52.3747.49–64.40
Passes
21%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction378474852safe311–445407–540718–986safer293–463390–558683–1021
Pass accuracy %
86%
homeawayprediction63.3872.17safe59.35–67.4167.84–76.49safer58.05–68.7066.53–77.80
Fouls
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4910.6722.16safe8.65–14.337.73–13.6216.38–27.94safer7.89–15.086.98–14.3614.87–29.45
Offsides
41%
26%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.252.67safe0.26–2.580.16–2.350.42–4.93safer0.00–2.880.00–2.640.00–5.52
Yellow cards
42%
23%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.523.21safe0.64–2.740.39–2.651.03–5.39safer0.37–3.000.10–2.940.47–5.95
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.070.16safe0.00–0.250.00–0.260.00–0.51safer0.00–0.400.00–0.390.00–0.79
GK saves
50%
16%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.372.846.21safe1.93–4.801.28–4.403.22–9.20safer1.54–5.190.86–4.822.40–10.01
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.17 0.20–2.14 0.00–2.39 | 1.75 0.90–2.61 0.67–2.84 | 2.93 1.10–4.75 0.63–5.23 | 25% 24% 51% |
| Shots on target | 4.15 2.28–6.01 1.79–6.50 | 5.29 3.55–7.04 3.09–7.50 | 9.44 5.84–13.05 4.88–14.00 | 29% 58% |
| Total shots | 13.08 9.16–17.01 8.06–18.10 | 15.06 11.50–18.63 10.54–19.58 | 28.14 20.66–35.63 18.61–37.68 | 32% 61% |
| Shots in box | 8.26 5.31–11.20 4.49–12.03 | 9.78 7.10–12.46 6.36–13.20 | 18.04 12.42–23.66 10.85–25.23 | 32% 60% |
| Blocked shots | 3.86 1.98–5.74 1.43–6.29 | 4.85 3.19–6.50 2.70–6.99 | 8.71 5.17–12.24 4.14–13.28 | 31% 13% 56% |
| Corners | 5.07 2.85–7.28 2.28–7.85 | 5.57 3.57–7.57 3.04–8.10 | 10.64 6.42–14.85 5.32–15.96 | 38% 50% |
| Possession % | 43.91 37.12–50.70 35.45–52.37 | 55.94 49.16–62.73 47.49–64.40 | — | 22% 74% |
| Passes | 378 311–445 293–463 | 474 407–540 390–558 | 852 718–986 683–1021 | 21% 79% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.38 59.35–67.41 58.05–68.70 | 72.17 67.84–76.49 66.53–77.80 | — | 86% |
| Fouls | 11.49 8.65–14.33 7.89–15.08 | 10.67 7.73–13.62 6.98–14.36 | 22.16 16.38–27.94 14.87–29.45 | 53% 39% |
| Offsides | 1.42 0.26–2.58 0.00–2.88 | 1.25 0.16–2.35 0.00–2.64 | 2.67 0.42–4.93 0.00–5.52 | 41% 26% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.69 0.64–2.74 0.37–3.00 | 1.52 0.39–2.65 0.10–2.94 | 3.21 1.03–5.39 0.47–5.95 | 42% 23% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.37 1.93–4.80 1.54–5.19 | 2.84 1.28–4.40 0.86–4.82 | 6.21 3.22–9.20 2.40–10.01 | 50% 16% 34% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.