Eredivisie·Regular Season - 24·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.913.063.96safe0.00–1.882.20–3.912.14–5.79safer0.00–2.131.97–4.141.66–6.27
Shots on target
87%
homeawaytotalprediction3.407.6311.03safe1.54–5.265.89–9.377.42–14.63safer1.05–5.755.42–9.846.47–15.59
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1220.2031.33safe7.20–15.0516.64–23.7723.84–38.82safer6.11–16.1415.68–24.7321.79–40.87
Shots in box
94%
homeawaytotalprediction5.9613.0919.05safe3.02–8.9010.41–15.7713.43–24.67safer2.19–9.739.67–16.5111.86–26.24
Blocked shots
17%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction3.085.328.40safe1.20–4.963.67–6.974.86–11.93safer0.66–5.513.17–7.463.83–12.97
Corners
14%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction3.786.7710.55safe1.56–5.994.77–8.776.34–14.76safer0.99–6.564.24–9.315.23–15.87
Possession %
14%
84%
homeawayprediction41.1058.67safe34.31–47.8951.89–65.45safer32.64–49.5650.21–67.13
Passes
87%
homeawaytotalprediction381519900safe314–448453–585766–1034safer296–466435–603731–1069
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction63.1476.84safe59.11–67.1772.52–81.17safer57.82–68.4671.21–82.48
Fouls
65%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction12.099.8021.89safe9.25–14.936.86–12.7516.11–27.67safer8.49–15.686.11–13.5014.61–29.18
Offsides
41%
22%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.841.763.60safe0.68–3.000.67–2.851.35–5.85safer0.38–3.300.38–3.140.76–6.44
Yellow cards
51%
23%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.182.95safe0.72–2.820.05–2.300.77–5.13safer0.46–3.090.00–2.600.21–5.68
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.070.16safe0.00–0.260.00–0.250.00–0.51safer0.00–0.410.00–0.390.00–0.79
GK saves
74%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction4.752.557.30safe3.31–6.180.99–4.114.30–10.29safer2.92–6.570.57–4.533.49–11.10
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.91 0.00–1.88 0.00–2.13 | 3.06 2.20–3.91 1.97–4.14 | 3.96 2.14–5.79 1.66–6.27 | 80% |
| Shots on target | 3.40 1.54–5.26 1.05–5.75 | 7.63 5.89–9.37 5.42–9.84 | 11.03 7.42–14.63 6.47–15.59 | 87% |
| Total shots | 11.12 7.20–15.05 6.11–16.14 | 20.20 16.64–23.77 15.68–24.73 | 31.33 23.84–38.82 21.79–40.87 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 5.96 3.02–8.90 2.19–9.73 | 13.09 10.41–15.77 9.67–16.51 | 19.05 13.43–24.67 11.86–26.24 | 94% |
| Blocked shots | 3.08 1.20–4.96 0.66–5.51 | 5.32 3.67–6.97 3.17–7.46 | 8.40 4.86–11.93 3.83–12.97 | 17% 73% |
| Corners | 3.78 1.56–5.99 0.99–6.56 | 6.77 4.77–8.77 4.24–9.31 | 10.55 6.34–14.76 5.23–15.87 | 14% 78% |
| Possession % | 41.10 34.31–47.89 32.64–49.56 | 58.67 51.89–65.45 50.21–67.13 | — | 14% 84% |
| Passes | 381 314–448 296–466 | 519 453–585 435–603 | 900 766–1034 731–1069 | 87% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.14 59.11–67.17 57.82–68.46 | 76.84 72.52–81.17 71.21–82.48 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 12.09 9.25–14.93 8.49–15.68 | 9.80 6.86–12.75 6.11–13.50 | 21.89 16.11–27.67 14.61–29.18 | 65% 28% |
| Offsides | 1.84 0.68–3.00 0.38–3.30 | 1.76 0.67–2.85 0.38–3.14 | 3.60 1.35–5.85 0.76–6.44 | 41% 22% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.77 0.72–2.82 0.46–3.09 | 1.18 0.05–2.30 0.00–2.60 | 2.95 0.77–5.13 0.21–5.68 | 51% 23% 25% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.07 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.39 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 4.75 3.31–6.18 2.92–6.57 | 2.55 0.99–4.11 0.57–4.53 | 7.30 4.30–10.29 3.49–11.10 | 74% 15% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+