Eredivisie·Regular Season - 24·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
14%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction1.113.004.11safe0.14–2.072.15–3.862.29–5.93safer0.00–2.331.92–4.091.81–6.41
Shots on target
86%
homeawaytotalprediction3.848.0811.93safe1.98–5.716.34–9.828.32–15.53safer1.49–6.205.87–10.297.37–16.49
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5519.5431.10safe7.63–15.4815.98–23.1123.61–38.58safer6.54–16.5715.02–24.0721.56–40.63
Shots in box
93%
homeawaytotalprediction7.0214.2521.27safe4.08–9.9611.57–16.9315.64–26.89safer3.25–10.7910.83–17.6714.08–28.46
Blocked shots
17%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction3.485.889.36safe1.59–5.364.23–7.535.82–12.89safer1.05–5.903.74–8.034.79–13.93
Corners
80%
homeawaytotalprediction3.796.9910.78safe1.57–6.004.99–8.996.56–14.99safer1.00–6.574.46–9.525.46–16.10
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction37.2863.61safe30.49–44.0756.83–70.40safer28.82–45.7455.16–72.07
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction336575910safe269–403508–641777–1044safer251–421491–659741–1080
Pass accuracy %
98%
homeawayprediction64.0780.84safe60.05–68.1076.51–85.16safer58.75–69.4075.20–86.47
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction9.7210.7620.48safe6.88–12.567.81–13.7014.69–26.26safer6.12–13.317.06–14.4513.19–27.76
Offsides
28%
23%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.311.823.13safe0.15–2.470.73–2.920.88–5.39safer0.00–2.770.44–3.200.29–5.98
Yellow cards
43%
24%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.383.00safe0.57–2.670.25–2.500.82–5.18safer0.31–2.940.00–2.800.26–5.73
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.070.16safe0.00–0.250.00–0.260.00–0.51safer0.00–0.400.00–0.390.00–0.79
GK saves
77%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction5.132.617.74safe3.70–6.571.06–4.174.75–10.74safer3.31–6.960.63–4.593.94–11.55
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.11 0.14–2.07 0.00–2.33 | 3.00 2.15–3.86 1.92–4.09 | 4.11 2.29–5.93 1.81–6.41 | 14% 76% |
| Shots on target | 3.84 1.98–5.71 1.49–6.20 | 8.08 6.34–9.82 5.87–10.29 | 11.93 8.32–15.53 7.37–16.49 | 86% |
| Total shots | 11.55 7.63–15.48 6.54–16.57 | 19.54 15.98–23.11 15.02–24.07 | 31.10 23.61–38.58 21.56–40.63 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 7.02 4.08–9.96 3.25–10.79 | 14.25 11.57–16.93 10.83–17.67 | 21.27 15.64–26.89 14.08–28.46 | 93% |
| Blocked shots | 3.48 1.59–5.36 1.05–5.90 | 5.88 4.23–7.53 3.74–8.03 | 9.36 5.82–12.89 4.79–13.93 | 17% 73% |
| Corners | 3.79 1.57–6.00 1.00–6.57 | 6.99 4.99–8.99 4.46–9.52 | 10.78 6.56–14.99 5.46–16.10 | 80% |
| Possession % | 37.28 30.49–44.07 28.82–45.74 | 63.61 56.83–70.40 55.16–72.07 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 336 269–403 251–421 | 575 508–641 491–659 | 910 777–1044 741–1080 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.07 60.05–68.10 58.75–69.40 | 80.84 76.51–85.16 75.20–86.47 | — | 98% |
| Fouls | 9.72 6.88–12.56 6.12–13.31 | 10.76 7.81–13.70 7.06–14.45 | 20.48 14.69–26.26 13.19–27.76 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.31 0.15–2.47 0.00–2.77 | 1.82 0.73–2.92 0.44–3.20 | 3.13 0.88–5.39 0.29–5.98 | 28% 23% 49% |
| Yellow cards | 1.62 0.57–2.67 0.31–2.94 | 1.38 0.25–2.50 0.00–2.80 | 3.00 0.82–5.18 0.26–5.73 | 43% 24% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 5.13 3.70–6.57 3.31–6.96 | 2.61 1.06–4.17 0.63–4.59 | 7.74 4.75–10.74 3.94–11.55 | 77% 13% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+