Eredivisie·Regular Season - 26·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 26·Predicted match statistics
Goals
48%
25%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.142.73safe0.62–2.560.29–2.000.91–4.55safer0.37–2.810.06–2.230.43–5.03
Shots on target
58%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.304.199.48safe3.43–7.162.44–5.935.88–13.09safer2.94–7.651.98–6.394.92–14.04
Total shots
60%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction14.5712.8027.36safe10.64–18.499.23–16.3619.88–34.85safer9.55–19.588.27–17.3217.83–36.90
Shots in box
60%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction9.177.6316.80safe6.23–12.114.95–10.3111.18–22.42safer5.40–12.944.21–11.059.61–23.99
Blocked shots
48%
16%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.513.156.66safe1.62–5.391.50–4.803.12–10.19safer1.08–5.931.00–5.292.08–11.23
Corners
54%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.264.459.71safe3.04–7.472.45–6.455.50–13.92safer2.47–8.041.92–6.994.39–15.03
Possession %
40%
56%
homeawayprediction48.1851.57safe41.39–54.9744.79–58.36safer39.72–56.6443.12–60.03
Passes
44%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction408424832safe340–475358–491698–966safer322–493340–508662–1001
Pass accuracy %
33%
62%
homeawayprediction67.9170.87safe63.88–71.9466.55–75.20safer62.59–73.2365.24–76.51
Fouls
26%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5215.3827.91safe9.69–15.3612.44–18.3322.13–33.69safer8.93–16.1211.69–19.0820.62–35.19
Offsides
47%
22%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.891.503.39safe0.73–3.050.40–2.591.14–5.64safer0.43–3.350.12–2.880.55–6.23
Yellow cards
25%
19%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.642.464.10safe0.59–2.691.33–3.591.93–6.28safer0.33–2.961.04–3.881.37–6.84
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
30%
15%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.873.736.60safe1.44–4.312.18–5.293.61–9.60safer1.05–4.691.75–5.712.80–10.41
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.59 0.62–2.56 0.37–2.81 | 1.14 0.29–2.00 0.06–2.23 | 2.73 0.91–4.55 0.43–5.03 | 48% 25% 27% |
| Shots on target | 5.30 3.43–7.16 2.94–7.65 | 4.19 2.44–5.93 1.98–6.39 | 9.48 5.88–13.09 4.92–14.04 | 58% 30% |
| Total shots | 14.57 10.64–18.49 9.55–19.58 | 12.80 9.23–16.36 8.27–17.32 | 27.36 19.88–34.85 17.83–36.90 | 60% 33% |
| Shots in box | 9.17 6.23–12.11 5.40–12.94 | 7.63 4.95–10.31 4.21–11.05 | 16.80 11.18–22.42 9.61–23.99 | 60% 31% |
| Blocked shots | 3.51 1.62–5.39 1.08–5.93 | 3.15 1.50–4.80 1.00–5.29 | 6.66 3.12–10.19 2.08–11.23 | 48% 16% 37% |
| Corners | 5.26 3.04–7.47 2.47–8.04 | 4.45 2.45–6.45 1.92–6.99 | 9.71 5.50–13.92 4.39–15.03 | 54% 34% |
| Possession % | 48.18 41.39–54.97 39.72–56.64 | 51.57 44.79–58.36 43.12–60.03 | — | 40% 56% |
| Passes | 408 340–475 322–493 | 424 358–491 340–508 | 832 698–966 662–1001 | 44% 55% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.91 63.88–71.94 62.59–73.23 | 70.87 66.55–75.20 65.24–76.51 | — | 33% 62% |
| Fouls | 12.52 9.69–15.36 8.93–16.12 | 15.38 12.44–18.33 11.69–19.08 | 27.91 22.13–33.69 20.62–35.19 | 26% 67% |
| Offsides | 1.89 0.73–3.05 0.43–3.35 | 1.50 0.40–2.59 0.12–2.88 | 3.39 1.14–5.64 0.55–6.23 | 47% 22% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.64 0.59–2.69 0.33–2.96 | 2.46 1.33–3.59 1.04–3.88 | 4.10 1.93–6.28 1.37–6.84 | 25% 19% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.87 1.44–4.31 1.05–4.69 | 3.73 2.18–5.29 1.75–5.71 | 6.60 3.61–9.60 2.80–10.41 | 30% 15% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.