Eredivisie·Regular Season - 26·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 26·Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
25%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.462.89safe0.46–2.390.61–2.321.06–4.71safer0.20–2.640.38–2.550.58–5.19
Shots on target
43%
13%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.594.609.19safe2.73–6.452.86–6.345.59–12.80safer2.24–6.942.39–6.814.63–13.75
Total shots
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6513.2926.94safe9.73–17.579.73–16.8619.46–34.43safer8.63–18.678.77–17.8217.41–36.48
Shots in box
51%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction8.938.3517.28safe5.99–11.875.67–11.0311.66–22.90safer5.16–12.704.93–11.7710.09–24.47
Blocked shots
43%
15%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.523.476.99safe1.64–5.401.82–5.123.45–10.52safer1.09–5.941.32–5.612.42–11.56
Corners
52%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction5.334.6810.01safe3.12–7.542.68–6.685.80–14.23safer2.54–8.122.15–7.214.69–15.33
Possession %
33%
62%
homeawayprediction46.6052.83safe39.81–53.3946.05–59.62safer38.14–55.0644.38–61.29
Passes
28%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction420488908safe353–487422–555775–1042safer334–505404–572739–1078
Pass accuracy %
26%
70%
homeawayprediction68.3172.85safe64.28–72.3468.53–77.18safer62.99–73.6467.22–78.48
Fouls
44%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9411.1322.07safe8.10–13.778.19–14.0816.29–27.85safer7.34–14.537.44–14.8314.78–29.36
Offsides
41%
22%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.821.713.53safe0.66–2.980.61–2.801.27–5.78safer0.36–3.280.32–3.090.68–6.37
Yellow cards
37%
24%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.613.16safe0.51–2.610.48–2.740.99–5.34safer0.24–2.870.19–3.030.43–5.90
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
39%
16%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.983.136.11safe1.54–4.411.58–4.693.12–9.10safer1.15–4.801.15–5.112.31–9.92
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.42 0.46–2.39 0.20–2.64 | 1.46 0.61–2.32 0.38–2.55 | 2.89 1.06–4.71 0.58–5.19 | 37% 25% 38% |
| Shots on target | 4.59 2.73–6.45 2.24–6.94 | 4.60 2.86–6.34 2.39–6.81 | 9.19 5.59–12.80 4.63–13.75 | 43% 13% 43% |
| Total shots | 13.65 9.73–17.57 8.63–18.67 | 13.29 9.73–16.86 8.77–17.82 | 26.94 19.46–34.43 17.41–36.48 | 49% 43% |
| Shots in box | 8.93 5.99–11.87 5.16–12.70 | 8.35 5.67–11.03 4.93–11.77 | 17.28 11.66–22.90 10.09–24.47 | 51% 40% |
| Blocked shots | 3.52 1.64–5.40 1.09–5.94 | 3.47 1.82–5.12 1.32–5.61 | 6.99 3.45–10.52 2.42–11.56 | 43% 15% 42% |
| Corners | 5.33 3.12–7.54 2.54–8.12 | 4.68 2.68–6.68 2.15–7.21 | 10.01 5.80–14.23 4.69–15.33 | 52% 36% |
| Possession % | 46.60 39.81–53.39 38.14–55.06 | 52.83 46.05–59.62 44.38–61.29 | — | 33% 62% |
| Passes | 420 353–487 334–505 | 488 422–555 404–572 | 908 775–1042 739–1078 | 28% 72% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.31 64.28–72.34 62.99–73.64 | 72.85 68.53–77.18 67.22–78.48 | — | 26% 70% |
| Fouls | 10.94 8.10–13.77 7.34–14.53 | 11.13 8.19–14.08 7.44–14.83 | 22.07 16.29–27.85 14.78–29.36 | 44% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.82 0.66–2.98 0.36–3.28 | 1.71 0.61–2.80 0.32–3.09 | 3.53 1.27–5.78 0.68–6.37 | 41% 22% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.56 0.51–2.61 0.24–2.87 | 1.61 0.48–2.74 0.19–3.03 | 3.16 0.99–5.34 0.43–5.90 | 37% 24% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.98 1.54–4.41 1.15–4.80 | 3.13 1.58–4.69 1.15–5.11 | 6.11 3.12–9.10 2.31–9.92 | 39% 16% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.