Eredivisie·Regular Season - 28·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 28·Predicted match statistics
Goals
56%
21%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction2.011.203.21safe1.04–2.980.35–2.061.39–5.03safer0.79–3.230.12–2.290.91–5.51
Shots on target
66%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.904.1410.04safe4.04–7.772.39–5.886.43–13.64safer3.55–8.261.93–6.345.48–14.60
Total shots
78%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction16.2511.6227.86safe12.32–20.178.05–15.1820.37–35.35safer11.23–21.267.09–16.1418.32–37.40
Shots in box
80%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction10.976.9117.88safe8.03–13.914.23–9.5912.26–23.50safer7.20–14.743.49–10.3310.69–25.07
Blocked shots
47%
15%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.023.717.73safe2.14–5.902.05–5.364.19–11.26safer1.60–6.451.56–5.853.16–12.30
Corners
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.934.1710.09safe3.71–8.142.17–6.175.88–14.31safer3.14–8.711.63–6.704.77–15.41
Possession %
50%
45%
homeawayprediction50.1949.18safe43.40–56.9842.40–55.97safer41.73–58.6540.73–57.64
Passes
55%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction485471956safe418–553404–537822–1090safer400–571387–555787–1125
Pass accuracy %
35%
60%
homeawayprediction71.0473.47safe67.01–75.0769.14–77.79safer65.71–76.3667.83–79.10
Fouls
41%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0610.6020.65safe7.22–12.897.65–13.5414.87–26.43safer6.46–13.656.90–14.2913.37–27.94
Offsides
52%
22%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.901.263.16safe0.74–3.060.17–2.360.91–5.41safer0.43–3.360.00–2.650.32–6.00
Yellow cards
30%
24%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.271.642.91safe0.22–2.320.51–2.770.73–5.09safer0.00–2.580.22–3.060.17–5.64
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.070.13safe0.00–0.210.00–0.260.00–0.47safer0.00–0.360.00–0.390.00–0.76
GK saves
30%
15%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.983.826.80safe1.54–4.422.27–5.383.81–9.80safer1.16–4.801.84–5.803.00–10.61
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.01 1.04–2.98 0.79–3.23 | 1.20 0.35–2.06 0.12–2.29 | 3.21 1.39–5.03 0.91–5.51 | 56% 21% 22% |
| Shots on target | 5.90 4.04–7.77 3.55–8.26 | 4.14 2.39–5.88 1.93–6.34 | 10.04 6.43–13.64 5.48–14.60 | 66% 24% |
| Total shots | 16.25 12.32–20.17 11.23–21.26 | 11.62 8.05–15.18 7.09–16.14 | 27.86 20.37–35.35 18.32–37.40 | 78% 16% |
| Shots in box | 10.97 8.03–13.91 7.20–14.74 | 6.91 4.23–9.59 3.49–10.33 | 17.88 12.26–23.50 10.69–25.07 | 80% 14% |
| Blocked shots | 4.02 2.14–5.90 1.60–6.45 | 3.71 2.05–5.36 1.56–5.85 | 7.73 4.19–11.26 3.16–12.30 | 47% 15% 38% |
| Corners | 5.93 3.71–8.14 3.14–8.71 | 4.17 2.17–6.17 1.63–6.70 | 10.09 5.88–14.31 4.77–15.41 | 65% 24% |
| Possession % | 50.19 43.40–56.98 41.73–58.65 | 49.18 42.40–55.97 40.73–57.64 | — | 50% 45% |
| Passes | 485 418–553 400–571 | 471 404–537 387–555 | 956 822–1090 787–1125 | 55% 45% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.04 67.01–75.07 65.71–76.36 | 73.47 69.14–77.79 67.83–79.10 | — | 35% 60% |
| Fouls | 10.06 7.22–12.89 6.46–13.65 | 10.60 7.65–13.54 6.90–14.29 | 20.65 14.87–26.43 13.37–27.94 | 41% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.90 0.74–3.06 0.43–3.36 | 1.26 0.17–2.36 0.00–2.65 | 3.16 0.91–5.41 0.32–6.00 | 52% 22% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 1.27 0.22–2.32 0.00–2.58 | 1.64 0.51–2.77 0.22–3.06 | 2.91 0.73–5.09 0.17–5.64 | 30% 24% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.98 1.54–4.42 1.16–4.80 | 3.82 2.27–5.38 1.84–5.80 | 6.80 3.81–9.80 3.00–10.61 | 30% 15% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.