Predicted match statistics
Goals
13%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction0.912.893.80safe0.00–1.882.04–3.751.98–5.63safer0.00–2.131.81–3.981.50–6.11
Shots on target
89%
homeawaytotalprediction3.227.6910.92safe1.36–5.085.95–9.447.31–14.52safer0.87–5.575.49–9.906.36–15.48
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2118.7828.99safe6.28–14.1315.22–22.3521.50–36.48safer5.19–15.2214.26–23.3119.45–38.53
Shots in box
87%
homeawaytotalprediction6.4211.7718.19safe3.47–9.369.09–14.4512.57–23.81safer2.64–10.198.36–15.1911.00–25.38
Blocked shots
32%
16%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.913.586.49safe1.03–4.791.92–5.232.95–10.02safer0.49–5.341.43–5.721.92–11.06
Corners
15%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction3.736.4310.17safe1.52–5.954.43–8.435.95–14.38safer0.95–6.523.90–8.964.85–15.49
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction39.8460.79safe33.05–46.6354.01–67.58safer31.38–48.3052.33–69.25
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction361533895safe294–429467–600761–1028safer276–447449–617725–1064
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction63.7177.51safe59.68–67.7373.19–81.84safer58.38–69.0371.88–83.15
Fouls
34%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction9.8711.2121.08safe7.03–12.708.27–14.1515.29–26.86safer6.27–13.467.52–14.9013.79–28.36
Offsides
46%
23%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.443.22safe0.62–2.940.35–2.530.97–5.47safer0.32–3.240.06–2.820.38–6.06
Yellow cards
42%
25%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.312.82safe0.45–2.550.19–2.440.64–4.99safer0.19–2.820.00–2.730.08–5.55
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
76%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction4.632.286.91safe3.20–6.070.72–3.843.92–9.90safer2.81–6.460.30–4.263.11–10.72
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.91 0.00–1.88 0.00–2.13 | 2.89 2.04–3.75 1.81–3.98 | 3.80 1.98–5.63 1.50–6.11 | 13% 78% |
| Shots on target | 3.22 1.36–5.08 0.87–5.57 | 7.69 5.95–9.44 5.49–9.90 | 10.92 7.31–14.52 6.36–15.48 | 89% |
| Total shots | 10.21 6.28–14.13 5.19–15.22 | 18.78 15.22–22.35 14.26–23.31 | 28.99 21.50–36.48 19.45–38.53 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 6.42 3.47–9.36 2.64–10.19 | 11.77 9.09–14.45 8.36–15.19 | 18.19 12.57–23.81 11.00–25.38 | 87% |
| Blocked shots | 2.91 1.03–4.79 0.49–5.34 | 3.58 1.92–5.23 1.43–5.72 | 6.49 2.95–10.02 1.92–11.06 | 32% 16% 52% |
| Corners | 3.73 1.52–5.95 0.95–6.52 | 6.43 4.43–8.43 3.90–8.96 | 10.17 5.95–14.38 4.85–15.49 | 15% 76% |
| Possession % | 39.84 33.05–46.63 31.38–48.30 | 60.79 54.01–67.58 52.33–69.25 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 361 294–429 276–447 | 533 467–600 449–617 | 895 761–1028 725–1064 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.71 59.68–67.73 58.38–69.03 | 77.51 73.19–81.84 71.88–83.15 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 9.87 7.03–12.70 6.27–13.46 | 11.21 8.27–14.15 7.52–14.90 | 21.08 15.29–26.86 13.79–28.36 | 34% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.78 0.62–2.94 0.32–3.24 | 1.44 0.35–2.53 0.06–2.82 | 3.22 0.97–5.47 0.38–6.06 | 46% 23% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.50 0.45–2.55 0.19–2.82 | 1.31 0.19–2.44 0.00–2.73 | 2.82 0.64–4.99 0.08–5.55 | 42% 25% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 4.63 3.20–6.07 2.81–6.46 | 2.28 0.72–3.84 0.30–4.26 | 6.91 3.92–9.90 3.11–10.72 | 76% 13% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.