Eredivisie·Regular Season - 29·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
14%
17%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction1.112.583.69safe0.14–2.081.73–3.441.87–5.52safer0.00–2.331.50–3.671.39–6.00
Shots on target
80%
homeawaytotalprediction3.917.1511.07safe2.05–5.785.41–8.907.46–14.67safer1.56–6.274.94–9.366.51–15.63
Total shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0819.1431.22safe8.15–16.0015.58–22.7123.73–38.71safer7.06–17.0914.62–23.6621.68–40.76
Shots in box
87%
homeawaytotalprediction7.6813.1820.85safe4.73–10.6210.50–15.8615.23–26.48safer3.90–11.459.76–16.6013.66–28.04
Blocked shots
17%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction3.005.158.16safe1.12–4.893.50–6.814.62–11.69safer0.58–5.433.01–7.303.59–12.73
Corners
16%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction4.166.9011.06safe1.95–6.374.90–8.906.85–15.28safer1.37–6.954.37–9.445.74–16.39
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction37.3863.43safe30.59–44.1756.64–70.21safer28.92–45.8454.97–71.88
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction350581931safe283–417515–648798–1065safer265–435497–665762–1101
Pass accuracy %
98%
homeawayprediction63.7979.98safe59.76–67.8275.65–84.30safer58.47–69.1174.34–85.61
Fouls
47%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1910.0520.24safe7.35–13.027.11–13.0014.46–26.02safer6.59–13.786.36–13.7512.95–27.52
Offsides
41%
23%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.643.40safe0.60–2.920.55–2.731.15–5.65safer0.30–3.220.26–3.020.56–6.24
Yellow cards
38%
25%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.442.90safe0.41–2.500.31–2.570.72–5.07safer0.14–2.770.02–2.860.16–5.63
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.070.15safe0.00–0.240.00–0.260.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.390.00–0.78
GK saves
82%
homeawaytotalprediction5.662.548.21safe4.23–7.100.99–4.105.21–11.20safer3.84–7.490.56–4.524.40–12.01
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.11 0.14–2.08 0.00–2.33 | 2.58 1.73–3.44 1.50–3.67 | 3.69 1.87–5.52 1.39–6.00 | 14% 17% 69% |
| Shots on target | 3.91 2.05–5.78 1.56–6.27 | 7.15 5.41–8.90 4.94–9.36 | 11.07 7.46–14.67 6.51–15.63 | 80% |
| Total shots | 12.08 8.15–16.00 7.06–17.09 | 19.14 15.58–22.71 14.62–23.66 | 31.22 23.73–38.71 21.68–40.76 | 88% |
| Shots in box | 7.68 4.73–10.62 3.90–11.45 | 13.18 10.50–15.86 9.76–16.60 | 20.85 15.23–26.48 13.66–28.04 | 87% |
| Blocked shots | 3.00 1.12–4.89 0.58–5.43 | 5.15 3.50–6.81 3.01–7.30 | 8.16 4.62–11.69 3.59–12.73 | 17% 72% |
| Corners | 4.16 1.95–6.37 1.37–6.95 | 6.90 4.90–8.90 4.37–9.44 | 11.06 6.85–15.28 5.74–16.39 | 16% 75% |
| Possession % | 37.38 30.59–44.17 28.92–45.84 | 63.43 56.64–70.21 54.97–71.88 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 350 283–417 265–435 | 581 515–648 497–665 | 931 798–1065 762–1101 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.79 59.76–67.82 58.47–69.11 | 79.98 75.65–84.30 74.34–85.61 | — | 98% |
| Fouls | 10.19 7.35–13.02 6.59–13.78 | 10.05 7.11–13.00 6.36–13.75 | 20.24 14.46–26.02 12.95–27.52 | 47% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.76 0.60–2.92 0.30–3.22 | 1.64 0.55–2.73 0.26–3.02 | 3.40 1.15–5.65 0.56–6.24 | 41% 23% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.45 0.41–2.50 0.14–2.77 | 1.44 0.31–2.57 0.02–2.86 | 2.90 0.72–5.07 0.16–5.63 | 38% 25% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.38 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 5.66 4.23–7.10 3.84–7.49 | 2.54 0.99–4.10 0.56–4.52 | 8.21 5.21–11.20 4.40–12.01 | 82% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.