Eredivisie·Regular Season - 30·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 30·Predicted match statistics
Goals
54%
22%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.951.253.19safe0.98–2.910.40–2.101.37–5.02safer0.73–3.160.17–2.330.89–5.50
Shots on target
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.984.2310.21safe4.12–7.842.49–5.976.60–13.82safer3.63–8.332.02–6.445.65–14.77
Total shots
77%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction16.9412.3829.31safe13.01–20.868.81–15.9421.83–36.80safer11.92–21.957.85–16.9019.77–38.85
Shots in box
76%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction11.868.1620.02safe8.91–14.805.48–10.8414.39–25.64safer8.08–15.634.74–11.5812.83–27.21
Blocked shots
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.793.508.29safe2.91–6.671.85–5.164.76–11.83safer2.36–7.221.36–5.653.72–12.87
Corners
69%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction6.564.3710.94safe4.35–8.772.37–6.376.72–15.15safer3.77–9.351.84–6.915.62–16.26
Possession %
73%
23%
homeawayprediction55.6844.06safe48.89–62.4737.28–50.85safer47.22–64.1435.61–52.52
Passes
81%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction519415934safe452–586348–481800–1068safer434–604331–499764–1103
Pass accuracy %
52%
43%
homeawayprediction69.8969.08safe65.86–73.9264.76–73.41safer64.57–75.2163.45–74.72
Fouls
22%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction9.0111.9620.96safe6.17–11.849.01–14.9015.18–26.74safer5.41–12.608.26–15.6513.68–28.25
Offsides
41%
26%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.282.73safe0.29–2.610.19–2.370.47–4.98safer0.00–2.910.00–2.660.00–5.57
Yellow cards
22%
24%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.041.752.79safe0.00–2.090.62–2.880.61–4.97safer0.00–2.350.33–3.170.05–5.53
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.070.12safe0.00–0.210.00–0.260.00–0.46safer0.00–0.360.00–0.390.00–0.75
GK saves
25%
14%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.784.056.83safe1.34–4.222.50–5.613.84–9.82safer0.96–4.602.07–6.033.03–10.64
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.95 0.98–2.91 0.73–3.16 | 1.25 0.40–2.10 0.17–2.33 | 3.19 1.37–5.02 0.89–5.50 | 54% 22% 24% |
| Shots on target | 5.98 4.12–7.84 3.63–8.33 | 4.23 2.49–5.97 2.02–6.44 | 10.21 6.60–13.82 5.65–14.77 | 65% 24% |
| Total shots | 16.94 13.01–20.86 11.92–21.95 | 12.38 8.81–15.94 7.85–16.90 | 29.31 21.83–36.80 19.77–38.85 | 77% 17% |
| Shots in box | 11.86 8.91–14.80 8.08–15.63 | 8.16 5.48–10.84 4.74–11.58 | 20.02 14.39–25.64 12.83–27.21 | 76% 17% |
| Blocked shots | 4.79 2.91–6.67 2.36–7.22 | 3.50 1.85–5.16 1.36–5.65 | 8.29 4.76–11.83 3.72–12.87 | 61% 27% |
| Corners | 6.56 4.35–8.77 3.77–9.35 | 4.37 2.37–6.37 1.84–6.91 | 10.94 6.72–15.15 5.62–16.26 | 69% 21% |
| Possession % | 55.68 48.89–62.47 47.22–64.14 | 44.06 37.28–50.85 35.61–52.52 | — | 73% 23% |
| Passes | 519 452–586 434–604 | 415 348–481 331–499 | 934 800–1068 764–1103 | 81% 19% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.89 65.86–73.92 64.57–75.21 | 69.08 64.76–73.41 63.45–74.72 | — | 52% 43% |
| Fouls | 9.01 6.17–11.84 5.41–12.60 | 11.96 9.01–14.90 8.26–15.65 | 20.96 15.18–26.74 13.68–28.25 | 22% 70% |
| Offsides | 1.45 0.29–2.61 0.00–2.91 | 1.28 0.19–2.37 0.00–2.66 | 2.73 0.47–4.98 0.00–5.57 | 41% 26% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.04 0.00–2.09 0.00–2.35 | 1.75 0.62–2.88 0.33–3.17 | 2.79 0.61–4.97 0.05–5.53 | 22% 24% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.46 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.78 1.34–4.22 0.96–4.60 | 4.05 2.50–5.61 2.07–6.03 | 6.83 3.84–9.82 3.03–10.64 | 25% 14% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.