Eredivisie·Regular Season - 31·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 31·Predicted match statistics
Goals
81%
homeawaytotalprediction2.890.773.66safe1.92–3.860.00–1.621.83–5.48safer1.67–4.110.00–1.851.35–5.96
Shots on target
91%
homeawaytotalprediction7.592.8610.45safe5.72–9.451.12–4.606.84–14.05safer5.24–9.940.65–5.075.89–15.01
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction21.278.8030.07safe17.35–25.205.23–12.3622.58–37.56safer16.26–26.294.27–13.3220.53–39.61
Shots in box
97%
homeawaytotalprediction14.265.5519.81safe11.32–17.202.87–8.2314.18–25.43safer10.49–18.032.13–8.9612.62–27.00
Blocked shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction5.612.277.88safe3.72–7.490.62–3.934.34–11.42safer3.18–8.030.13–4.423.31–12.45
Corners
94%
homeawaytotalprediction8.532.8711.40safe6.32–10.740.87–4.877.19–15.61safer5.74–11.320.34–5.406.08–16.72
Possession %
98%
homeawayprediction67.1832.96safe60.39–73.9726.17–39.74safer58.72–75.6424.50–41.41
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction6773241001safe610–745257–390867–1135safer592–763240–408832–1170
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction81.4968.20safe77.46–85.5263.87–72.52safer76.17–86.8162.57–73.83
Fouls
36%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction8.879.9718.83safe6.03–11.717.02–12.9113.05–24.62safer5.28–12.466.27–13.6611.55–26.12
Offsides
47%
22%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.941.573.50safe0.78–3.100.47–2.661.25–5.76safer0.48–3.400.18–2.950.66–6.35
Yellow cards
22%
23%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.041.812.85safe0.00–2.090.68–2.940.67–5.03safer0.00–2.350.39–3.230.11–5.58
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.100.14safe0.00–0.200.00–0.290.00–0.49safer0.00–0.350.00–0.420.00–0.77
GK saves
81%
homeawaytotalprediction2.044.806.84safe0.60–3.473.24–6.363.84–9.83safer0.21–3.862.82–6.783.03–10.64
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.89 1.92–3.86 1.67–4.11 | 0.77 0.00–1.62 0.00–1.85 | 3.66 1.83–5.48 1.35–5.96 | 81% |
| Shots on target | 7.59 5.72–9.45 5.24–9.94 | 2.86 1.12–4.60 0.65–5.07 | 10.45 6.84–14.05 5.89–15.01 | 91% |
| Total shots | 21.27 17.35–25.20 16.26–26.29 | 8.80 5.23–12.36 4.27–13.32 | 30.07 22.58–37.56 20.53–39.61 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 14.26 11.32–17.20 10.49–18.03 | 5.55 2.87–8.23 2.13–8.96 | 19.81 14.18–25.43 12.62–27.00 | 97% |
| Blocked shots | 5.61 3.72–7.49 3.18–8.03 | 2.27 0.62–3.93 0.13–4.42 | 7.88 4.34–11.42 3.31–12.45 | 85% |
| Corners | 8.53 6.32–10.74 5.74–11.32 | 2.87 0.87–4.87 0.34–5.40 | 11.40 7.19–15.61 6.08–16.72 | 94% |
| Possession % | 67.18 60.39–73.97 58.72–75.64 | 32.96 26.17–39.74 24.50–41.41 | — | 98% |
| Passes | 677 610–745 592–763 | 324 257–390 240–408 | 1001 867–1135 832–1170 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.49 77.46–85.52 76.17–86.81 | 68.20 63.87–72.52 62.57–73.83 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 8.87 6.03–11.71 5.28–12.46 | 9.97 7.02–12.91 6.27–13.66 | 18.83 13.05–24.62 11.55–26.12 | 36% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.94 0.78–3.10 0.48–3.40 | 1.57 0.47–2.66 0.18–2.95 | 3.50 1.25–5.76 0.66–6.35 | 47% 22% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.04 0.00–2.09 0.00–2.35 | 1.81 0.68–2.94 0.39–3.23 | 2.85 0.67–5.03 0.11–5.58 | 22% 23% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.04 0.60–3.47 0.21–3.86 | 4.80 3.24–6.36 2.82–6.78 | 6.84 3.84–9.83 3.03–10.64 | 81% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.