Eredivisie·Regular Season - 31·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 31·Predicted match statistics
Goals
14%
18%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction0.962.323.28safe0.00–1.931.46–3.171.45–5.10safer0.00–2.181.23–3.400.98–5.58
Shots on target
82%
homeawaytotalprediction3.296.709.99safe1.43–5.164.95–8.446.38–13.59safer0.94–5.644.49–8.915.43–14.55
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0217.9929.02safe7.10–14.9514.43–21.5621.53–36.50safer6.01–16.0413.47–22.5219.48–38.55
Shots in box
14%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction7.5011.6519.15safe4.56–10.448.97–14.3313.52–24.77safer3.73–11.278.23–15.0711.96–26.34
Blocked shots
29%
16%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.643.506.14safe0.76–4.521.85–5.152.61–9.68safer0.22–5.071.36–5.651.57–10.71
Corners
16%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction3.936.6710.59safe1.72–6.144.67–8.676.38–14.81safer1.14–6.724.13–9.205.27–15.91
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction37.4564.07safe30.66–44.2457.29–70.86safer28.99–45.9155.62–72.53
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction343568910safe275–410501–634776–1044safer257–428484–652741–1080
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction64.0779.58safe60.04–68.1075.25–83.90safer58.75–69.3973.94–85.21
Fouls
35%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4311.7022.13safe7.60–13.278.75–14.6416.35–27.92safer6.84–14.038.01–15.3914.85–29.42
Offsides
45%
23%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.513.32safe0.65–2.970.41–2.601.07–5.57safer0.35–3.270.13–2.890.48–6.16
Yellow cards
34%
23%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.491.683.16safe0.44–2.530.55–2.810.98–5.34safer0.17–2.800.26–3.100.43–5.90
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
76%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction4.792.377.16safe3.35–6.220.82–3.934.17–10.15safer2.96–6.610.39–4.353.36–10.97
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.96 0.00–1.93 0.00–2.18 | 2.32 1.46–3.17 1.23–3.40 | 3.28 1.45–5.10 0.98–5.58 | 14% 18% 68% |
| Shots on target | 3.29 1.43–5.16 0.94–5.64 | 6.70 4.95–8.44 4.49–8.91 | 9.99 6.38–13.59 5.43–14.55 | 82% |
| Total shots | 11.02 7.10–14.95 6.01–16.04 | 17.99 14.43–21.56 13.47–22.52 | 29.02 21.53–36.50 19.48–38.55 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 7.50 4.56–10.44 3.73–11.27 | 11.65 8.97–14.33 8.23–15.07 | 19.15 13.52–24.77 11.96–26.34 | 14% 80% |
| Blocked shots | 2.64 0.76–4.52 0.22–5.07 | 3.50 1.85–5.15 1.36–5.65 | 6.14 2.61–9.68 1.57–10.71 | 29% 16% 56% |
| Corners | 3.93 1.72–6.14 1.14–6.72 | 6.67 4.67–8.67 4.13–9.20 | 10.59 6.38–14.81 5.27–15.91 | 16% 75% |
| Possession % | 37.45 30.66–44.24 28.99–45.91 | 64.07 57.29–70.86 55.62–72.53 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 343 275–410 257–428 | 568 501–634 484–652 | 910 776–1044 741–1080 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.07 60.04–68.10 58.75–69.39 | 79.58 75.25–83.90 73.94–85.21 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 10.43 7.60–13.27 6.84–14.03 | 11.70 8.75–14.64 8.01–15.39 | 22.13 16.35–27.92 14.85–29.42 | 35% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.81 0.65–2.97 0.35–3.27 | 1.51 0.41–2.60 0.13–2.89 | 3.32 1.07–5.57 0.48–6.16 | 45% 23% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.49 0.44–2.53 0.17–2.80 | 1.68 0.55–2.81 0.26–3.10 | 3.16 0.98–5.34 0.43–5.90 | 34% 23% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 4.79 3.35–6.22 2.96–6.61 | 2.37 0.82–3.93 0.39–4.35 | 7.16 4.17–10.15 3.36–10.97 | 76% 13% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.