Predicted match statistics
Goals
16%
18%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction1.132.443.57safe0.17–2.101.59–3.291.75–5.40safer0.00–2.351.36–3.521.27–5.88
Shots on target
81%
homeawaytotalprediction3.867.2011.06safe1.99–5.725.46–8.947.45–14.66safer1.50–6.214.99–9.416.50–15.62
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1318.1429.27safe7.21–15.0614.57–21.7021.78–36.76safer6.12–16.1513.61–22.6619.73–38.81
Shots in box
87%
homeawaytotalprediction6.7612.0218.78safe3.82–9.709.33–14.7013.16–24.40safer2.99–10.538.60–15.4311.59–25.97
Blocked shots
16%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction2.775.047.81safe0.89–4.653.39–6.704.28–11.35safer0.35–5.202.90–7.193.24–12.39
Corners
16%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction3.876.4910.36safe1.66–6.084.49–8.496.14–14.57safer1.08–6.663.96–9.025.04–15.68
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction39.4159.87safe32.62–46.2053.09–66.66safer30.95–47.8751.42–68.33
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction386561947safe318–453495–627813–1080safer300–471477–645777–1116
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction61.3074.98safe57.27–65.3370.65–79.30safer55.98–66.6269.34–80.61
Fouls
61%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction11.799.9921.78safe8.95–14.637.04–12.9316.00–27.56safer8.20–15.396.29–13.6814.49–29.07
Offsides
41%
24%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.453.02safe0.42–2.740.36–2.540.77–5.28safer0.11–3.040.07–2.830.18–5.87
Yellow cards
48%
24%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.252.94safe0.64–2.740.12–2.380.76–5.12safer0.37–3.000.00–2.670.20–5.67
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.060.14safe0.00–0.240.00–0.250.00–0.49safer0.00–0.390.00–0.380.00–0.77
GK saves
72%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction4.712.617.31safe3.27–6.141.05–4.164.32–10.31safer2.88–6.530.63–4.593.51–11.12
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.13 0.17–2.10 0.00–2.35 | 2.44 1.59–3.29 1.36–3.52 | 3.57 1.75–5.40 1.27–5.88 | 16% 18% 66% |
| Shots on target | 3.86 1.99–5.72 1.50–6.21 | 7.20 5.46–8.94 4.99–9.41 | 11.06 7.45–14.66 6.50–15.62 | 81% |
| Total shots | 11.13 7.21–15.06 6.12–16.15 | 18.14 14.57–21.70 13.61–22.66 | 29.27 21.78–36.76 19.73–38.81 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 6.76 3.82–9.70 2.99–10.53 | 12.02 9.33–14.70 8.60–15.43 | 18.78 13.16–24.40 11.59–25.97 | 87% |
| Blocked shots | 2.77 0.89–4.65 0.35–5.20 | 5.04 3.39–6.70 2.90–7.19 | 7.81 4.28–11.35 3.24–12.39 | 16% 74% |
| Corners | 3.87 1.66–6.08 1.08–6.66 | 6.49 4.49–8.49 3.96–9.02 | 10.36 6.14–14.57 5.04–15.68 | 16% 75% |
| Possession % | 39.41 32.62–46.20 30.95–47.87 | 59.87 53.09–66.66 51.42–68.33 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 386 318–453 300–471 | 561 495–627 477–645 | 947 813–1080 777–1116 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.30 57.27–65.33 55.98–66.62 | 74.98 70.65–79.30 69.34–80.61 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 11.79 8.95–14.63 8.20–15.39 | 9.99 7.04–12.93 6.29–13.68 | 21.78 16.00–27.56 14.49–29.07 | 61% 31% |
| Offsides | 1.58 0.42–2.74 0.11–3.04 | 1.45 0.36–2.54 0.07–2.83 | 3.02 0.77–5.28 0.18–5.87 | 41% 24% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.69 0.64–2.74 0.37–3.00 | 1.25 0.12–2.38 0.00–2.67 | 2.94 0.76–5.12 0.20–5.67 | 48% 24% 28% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.06 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.38 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 4.71 3.27–6.14 2.88–6.53 | 2.61 1.05–4.16 0.63–4.59 | 7.31 4.32–10.31 3.51–11.12 | 72% 16% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.