Eredivisie·Regular Season - 33·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 33·Predicted match statistics
Goals
44%
25%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.272.84safe0.60–2.540.42–2.121.02–4.66safer0.35–2.790.19–2.350.54–5.14
Shots on target
48%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.984.649.63safe3.12–6.852.90–6.396.02–13.23safer2.63–7.342.44–6.855.07–14.19
Total shots
63%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction15.2713.0528.32safe11.35–19.209.49–16.6120.83–35.81safer10.26–20.298.53–17.5718.78–37.86
Shots in box
63%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction9.807.9017.70safe6.86–12.745.22–10.5812.08–23.32safer6.03–13.574.48–11.3210.51–24.89
Blocked shots
50%
14%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.213.667.87safe2.33–6.092.01–5.324.34–11.41safer1.78–6.631.52–5.813.30–12.44
Corners
51%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction5.775.1810.95safe3.56–7.993.18–7.186.74–15.17safer2.99–8.562.65–7.715.63–16.27
Possession %
58%
37%
homeawayprediction52.4147.95safe45.62–59.2041.17–54.74safer43.95–60.8739.50–56.41
Passes
69%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction464404867safe396–531337–470734–1001safer378–549320–488698–1037
Pass accuracy %
47%
48%
homeawayprediction71.1471.21safe67.11–75.1766.89–75.53safer65.81–76.4665.58–76.84
Fouls
31%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction9.8411.6321.47safe7.01–12.688.68–14.5715.69–27.25safer6.25–13.447.93–15.3214.18–28.76
Offsides
37%
24%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.583.12safe0.38–2.700.49–2.670.87–5.38safer0.08–3.010.20–2.960.28–5.97
Yellow cards
31%
24%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.311.612.92safe0.26–2.360.48–2.740.74–5.10safer0.00–2.620.19–3.030.18–5.65
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
39%
16%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction3.093.306.39safe1.65–4.521.74–4.853.39–9.38safer1.26–4.911.32–5.282.58–10.19
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.57 0.60–2.54 0.35–2.79 | 1.27 0.42–2.12 0.19–2.35 | 2.84 1.02–4.66 0.54–5.14 | 44% 25% 31% |
| Shots on target | 4.98 3.12–6.85 2.63–7.34 | 4.64 2.90–6.39 2.44–6.85 | 9.63 6.02–13.23 5.07–14.19 | 48% 39% |
| Total shots | 15.27 11.35–19.20 10.26–20.29 | 13.05 9.49–16.61 8.53–17.57 | 28.32 20.83–35.81 18.78–37.86 | 63% 30% |
| Shots in box | 9.80 6.86–12.74 6.03–13.57 | 7.90 5.22–10.58 4.48–11.32 | 17.70 12.08–23.32 10.51–24.89 | 63% 28% |
| Blocked shots | 4.21 2.33–6.09 1.78–6.63 | 3.66 2.01–5.32 1.52–5.81 | 7.87 4.34–11.41 3.30–12.44 | 50% 14% 35% |
| Corners | 5.77 3.56–7.99 2.99–8.56 | 5.18 3.18–7.18 2.65–7.71 | 10.95 6.74–15.17 5.63–16.27 | 51% 37% |
| Possession % | 52.41 45.62–59.20 43.95–60.87 | 47.95 41.17–54.74 39.50–56.41 | — | 58% 37% |
| Passes | 464 396–531 378–549 | 404 337–470 320–488 | 867 734–1001 698–1037 | 69% 31% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.14 67.11–75.17 65.81–76.46 | 71.21 66.89–75.53 65.58–76.84 | — | 47% 48% |
| Fouls | 9.84 7.01–12.68 6.25–13.44 | 11.63 8.68–14.57 7.93–15.32 | 21.47 15.69–27.25 14.18–28.76 | 31% 61% |
| Offsides | 1.54 0.38–2.70 0.08–3.01 | 1.58 0.49–2.67 0.20–2.96 | 3.12 0.87–5.38 0.28–5.97 | 37% 24% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.31 0.26–2.36 0.00–2.62 | 1.61 0.48–2.74 0.19–3.03 | 2.92 0.74–5.10 0.18–5.65 | 31% 24% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.09 1.65–4.52 1.26–4.91 | 3.30 1.74–4.85 1.32–5.28 | 6.39 3.39–9.38 2.58–10.19 | 39% 16% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.