Predicted match statistics
Goals
49%
24%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.152.81safe0.69–2.620.30–2.010.99–4.63safer0.44–2.880.07–2.240.51–5.11
Shots on target
55%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.354.419.77safe3.49–7.212.67–6.166.16–13.37safer3.00–7.702.21–6.625.20–14.33
Total shots
60%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction15.0613.1828.24safe11.14–18.999.62–16.7420.75–35.73safer10.05–20.088.66–17.7018.70–37.78
Shots in box
62%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction10.388.5118.89safe7.44–13.325.83–11.1913.27–24.51safer6.61–14.155.09–11.9311.70–26.08
Blocked shots
57%
14%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.123.177.29safe2.24–6.001.51–4.823.75–10.82safer1.70–6.551.02–5.312.72–11.86
Corners
52%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction5.655.0110.66safe3.44–7.863.01–7.016.45–14.87safer2.86–8.442.48–7.545.34–15.98
Possession %
53%
43%
homeawayprediction50.9448.80safe44.15–57.7342.01–55.58safer42.48–59.4040.34–57.25
Passes
69%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction464404868safe397–531337–470734–1002safer379–549320–488699–1037
Pass accuracy %
45%
50%
homeawayprediction69.0669.53safe65.03–73.0965.20–73.85safer63.74–74.3863.89–75.16
Fouls
71%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7010.5024.20safe10.86–16.537.55–13.4418.41–29.98safer10.10–17.296.81–14.1916.91–31.48
Offsides
41%
26%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.282.73safe0.29–2.610.18–2.370.47–4.98safer0.00–2.910.00–2.660.00–5.57
Yellow cards
40%
24%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.473.03safe0.51–2.610.34–2.600.85–5.21safer0.24–2.870.05–2.890.30–5.77
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
31%
15%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction3.013.786.79safe1.57–4.452.23–5.343.80–9.79safer1.19–4.831.80–5.772.99–10.60
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.66 0.69–2.62 0.44–2.88 | 1.15 0.30–2.01 0.07–2.24 | 2.81 0.99–4.63 0.51–5.11 | 49% 24% 27% |
| Shots on target | 5.35 3.49–7.21 3.00–7.70 | 4.41 2.67–6.16 2.21–6.62 | 9.77 6.16–13.37 5.20–14.33 | 55% 32% |
| Total shots | 15.06 11.14–18.99 10.05–20.08 | 13.18 9.62–16.74 8.66–17.70 | 28.24 20.75–35.73 18.70–37.78 | 60% 33% |
| Shots in box | 10.38 7.44–13.32 6.61–14.15 | 8.51 5.83–11.19 5.09–11.93 | 18.89 13.27–24.51 11.70–26.08 | 62% 29% |
| Blocked shots | 4.12 2.24–6.00 1.70–6.55 | 3.17 1.51–4.82 1.02–5.31 | 7.29 3.75–10.82 2.72–11.86 | 57% 14% 29% |
| Corners | 5.65 3.44–7.86 2.86–8.44 | 5.01 3.01–7.01 2.48–7.54 | 10.66 6.45–14.87 5.34–15.98 | 52% 36% |
| Possession % | 50.94 44.15–57.73 42.48–59.40 | 48.80 42.01–55.58 40.34–57.25 | — | 53% 43% |
| Passes | 464 397–531 379–549 | 404 337–470 320–488 | 868 734–1002 699–1037 | 69% 31% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.06 65.03–73.09 63.74–74.38 | 69.53 65.20–73.85 63.89–75.16 | — | 45% 50% |
| Fouls | 13.70 10.86–16.53 10.10–17.29 | 10.50 7.55–13.44 6.81–14.19 | 24.20 18.41–29.98 16.91–31.48 | 71% 23% |
| Offsides | 1.45 0.29–2.61 0.00–2.91 | 1.28 0.18–2.37 0.00–2.66 | 2.73 0.47–4.98 0.00–5.57 | 41% 26% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.56 0.51–2.61 0.24–2.87 | 1.47 0.34–2.60 0.05–2.89 | 3.03 0.85–5.21 0.30–5.77 | 40% 24% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.01 1.57–4.45 1.19–4.83 | 3.78 2.23–5.34 1.80–5.77 | 6.79 3.80–9.79 2.99–10.60 | 31% 15% 54% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.