Ligue 1·Regular Season - 6·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 6·Predicted match statistics
Goals
47%
25%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.152.74safe0.62–2.550.30–2.010.92–4.56safer0.37–2.800.07–2.240.44–5.04
Shots on target
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.213.819.02safe3.35–7.072.07–5.555.41–12.62safer2.86–7.561.60–6.024.46–13.58
Total shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction17.1011.6028.70safe13.18–21.038.04–15.1621.21–36.19safer12.09–22.127.08–16.1219.16–38.24
Shots in box
66%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction10.428.1818.60safe7.48–13.365.50–10.8612.97–24.22safer6.65–14.194.76–11.6011.41–25.79
Blocked shots
52%
14%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.163.517.67safe2.28–6.051.85–5.164.13–11.20safer1.74–6.591.36–5.653.10–12.24
Corners
55%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.774.8810.65safe3.56–7.992.88–6.886.44–14.86safer2.99–8.562.34–7.415.33–15.97
Possession %
34%
62%
homeawayprediction46.9953.12safe40.20–53.7846.33–59.90safer38.53–55.4544.66–61.57
Passes
38%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction410447857safe343–477381–513723–990safer324–495363–531687–1026
Pass accuracy %
22%
74%
homeawayprediction67.1272.66safe63.09–71.1568.33–76.98safer61.80–72.4467.02–78.29
Fouls
62%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction14.4412.3526.79safe11.60–17.279.41–15.3021.01–32.57safer10.84–18.038.66–16.0519.50–34.08
Offsides
44%
22%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.951.683.63safe0.79–3.110.59–2.781.38–5.88safer0.49–3.410.30–3.070.79–6.47
Yellow cards
37%
21%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.922.053.97safe0.87–2.970.92–3.181.79–6.15safer0.61–3.240.63–3.471.24–6.71
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
26%
15%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.563.616.18safe1.13–4.002.06–5.173.19–9.17safer0.74–4.391.63–5.602.37–9.98
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.59 0.62–2.55 0.37–2.80 | 1.15 0.30–2.01 0.07–2.24 | 2.74 0.92–4.56 0.44–5.04 | 47% 25% 28% |
| Shots on target | 5.21 3.35–7.07 2.86–7.56 | 3.81 2.07–5.55 1.60–6.02 | 9.02 5.41–12.62 4.46–13.58 | 62% 26% |
| Total shots | 17.10 13.18–21.03 12.09–22.12 | 11.60 8.04–15.16 7.08–16.12 | 28.70 21.21–36.19 19.16–38.24 | 83% |
| Shots in box | 10.42 7.48–13.36 6.65–14.19 | 8.18 5.50–10.86 4.76–11.60 | 18.60 12.97–24.22 11.41–25.79 | 66% 26% |
| Blocked shots | 4.16 2.28–6.05 1.74–6.59 | 3.51 1.85–5.16 1.36–5.65 | 7.67 4.13–11.20 3.10–12.24 | 52% 14% 34% |
| Corners | 5.77 3.56–7.99 2.99–8.56 | 4.88 2.88–6.88 2.34–7.41 | 10.65 6.44–14.86 5.33–15.97 | 55% 33% |
| Possession % | 46.99 40.20–53.78 38.53–55.45 | 53.12 46.33–59.90 44.66–61.57 | — | 34% 62% |
| Passes | 410 343–477 324–495 | 447 381–513 363–531 | 857 723–990 687–1026 | 38% 62% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.12 63.09–71.15 61.80–72.44 | 72.66 68.33–76.98 67.02–78.29 | — | 22% 74% |
| Fouls | 14.44 11.60–17.27 10.84–18.03 | 12.35 9.41–15.30 8.66–16.05 | 26.79 21.01–32.57 19.50–34.08 | 62% 31% |
| Offsides | 1.95 0.79–3.11 0.49–3.41 | 1.68 0.59–2.78 0.30–3.07 | 3.63 1.38–5.88 0.79–6.47 | 44% 22% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.92 0.87–2.97 0.61–3.24 | 2.05 0.92–3.18 0.63–3.47 | 3.97 1.79–6.15 1.24–6.71 | 37% 21% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.56 1.13–4.00 0.74–4.39 | 3.61 2.06–5.17 1.63–5.60 | 6.18 3.19–9.17 2.37–9.98 | 26% 15% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.