Ligue 1·Regular Season - 33·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 33·Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
24%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.492.99safe0.53–2.460.64–2.351.16–4.81safer0.28–2.720.41–2.570.68–5.29
Shots on target
37%
13%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.334.829.16safe2.47–6.203.08–6.575.55–12.76safer1.98–6.682.61–7.034.60–13.72
Total shots
45%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2713.4726.74safe9.34–17.199.91–17.0419.26–34.23safer8.25–18.298.95–18.0017.21–36.28
Shots in box
37%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction8.309.1917.49safe5.36–11.256.51–11.8711.87–23.12safer4.53–12.085.77–12.6110.30–24.68
Blocked shots
49%
15%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.863.397.25safe1.98–5.741.74–5.043.71–10.79safer1.43–6.291.24–5.542.68–11.82
Corners
52%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.554.8610.41safe3.34–7.772.86–6.866.20–14.62safer2.77–8.342.32–7.395.09–15.73
Possession %
68%
28%
homeawayprediction54.5345.75safe47.74–61.3238.96–52.53safer46.07–62.9937.29–54.21
Passes
76%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction487401888safe420–554335–468754–1022safer402–572317–485719–1057
Pass accuracy %
47%
48%
homeawayprediction69.7069.83safe65.67–73.7365.50–74.15safer64.37–75.0264.19–75.46
Fouls
31%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1414.1726.31safe9.30–14.9811.23–17.1220.53–32.09safer8.55–15.7310.48–17.8619.02–33.60
Offsides
33%
21%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.742.073.81safe0.58–2.900.97–3.161.55–6.06safer0.28–3.200.69–3.450.96–6.65
Yellow cards
33%
21%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.702.043.74safe0.65–2.750.91–3.171.56–5.92safer0.39–3.020.62–3.461.01–6.48
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
46%
17%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.142.896.03safe1.70–4.581.33–4.453.04–9.02safer1.32–4.960.91–4.872.22–9.83
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.50 0.53–2.46 0.28–2.72 | 1.49 0.64–2.35 0.41–2.57 | 2.99 1.16–4.81 0.68–5.29 | 38% 24% 38% |
| Shots on target | 4.33 2.47–6.20 1.98–6.68 | 4.82 3.08–6.57 2.61–7.03 | 9.16 5.55–12.76 4.60–13.72 | 37% 13% 50% |
| Total shots | 13.27 9.34–17.19 8.25–18.29 | 13.47 9.91–17.04 8.95–18.00 | 26.74 19.26–34.23 17.21–36.28 | 45% 48% |
| Shots in box | 8.30 5.36–11.25 4.53–12.08 | 9.19 6.51–11.87 5.77–12.61 | 17.49 11.87–23.12 10.30–24.68 | 37% 54% |
| Blocked shots | 3.86 1.98–5.74 1.43–6.29 | 3.39 1.74–5.04 1.24–5.54 | 7.25 3.71–10.79 2.68–11.82 | 49% 15% 36% |
| Corners | 5.55 3.34–7.77 2.77–8.34 | 4.86 2.86–6.86 2.32–7.39 | 10.41 6.20–14.62 5.09–15.73 | 52% 35% |
| Possession % | 54.53 47.74–61.32 46.07–62.99 | 45.75 38.96–52.53 37.29–54.21 | — | 68% 28% |
| Passes | 487 420–554 402–572 | 401 335–468 317–485 | 888 754–1022 719–1057 | 76% 24% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.70 65.67–73.73 64.37–75.02 | 69.83 65.50–74.15 64.19–75.46 | — | 47% 48% |
| Fouls | 12.14 9.30–14.98 8.55–15.73 | 14.17 11.23–17.12 10.48–17.86 | 26.31 20.53–32.09 19.02–33.60 | 31% 62% |
| Offsides | 1.74 0.58–2.90 0.28–3.20 | 2.07 0.97–3.16 0.69–3.45 | 3.81 1.55–6.06 0.96–6.65 | 33% 21% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 1.70 0.65–2.75 0.39–3.02 | 2.04 0.91–3.17 0.62–3.46 | 3.74 1.56–5.92 1.01–6.48 | 33% 21% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.14 1.70–4.58 1.32–4.96 | 2.89 1.33–4.45 0.91–4.87 | 6.03 3.04–9.02 2.22–9.83 | 46% 17% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+