Predicted match statistics
Goals
59%
21%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction1.991.063.05safe1.02–2.960.20–1.911.22–4.87safer0.77–3.210.00–2.140.74–5.35
Shots on target
70%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction6.043.879.91safe4.18–7.902.13–5.616.30–13.51safer3.69–8.391.66–6.085.35–14.47
Total shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction16.3910.7927.18safe12.47–20.327.22–14.3519.69–34.66safer11.37–21.416.26–15.3117.64–36.71
Shots in box
77%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction10.877.1918.06safe7.93–13.814.51–9.8712.44–23.68safer7.10–14.643.77–10.6010.87–25.25
Blocked shots
63%
13%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.272.887.15safe2.39–6.151.23–4.543.62–10.69safer1.84–6.690.74–5.032.58–11.72
Corners
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.743.969.70safe3.53–7.951.96–5.965.49–13.91safer2.95–8.531.43–6.494.38–15.02
Possession %
85%
homeawayprediction59.5341.35safe52.74–66.3234.56–48.13safer51.07–67.9932.89–49.80
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction561386947safe494–628319–452813–1081safer476–647302–470778–1116
Pass accuracy %
69%
27%
homeawayprediction73.6769.42safe69.64–77.7065.10–73.75safer68.35–78.9963.79–75.06
Fouls
20%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2215.0526.27safe8.39–14.0612.11–18.0020.49–32.06safer7.63–14.8211.36–18.7418.99–33.56
Offsides
47%
20%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.191.824.02safe1.03–3.350.73–2.921.76–6.27safer0.73–3.650.44–3.201.17–6.86
Yellow cards
22%
19%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.452.423.88safe0.40–2.501.29–3.551.70–6.05safer0.14–2.771.00–3.841.14–6.61
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
24%
14%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.563.806.37safe1.13–4.002.25–5.363.37–9.36safer0.74–4.391.82–5.782.56–10.17
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.99 1.02–2.96 0.77–3.21 | 1.06 0.20–1.91 0.00–2.14 | 3.05 1.22–4.87 0.74–5.35 | 59% 21% 20% |
| Shots on target | 6.04 4.18–7.90 3.69–8.39 | 3.87 2.13–5.61 1.66–6.08 | 9.91 6.30–13.51 5.35–14.47 | 70% 20% |
| Total shots | 16.39 12.47–20.32 11.37–21.41 | 10.79 7.22–14.35 6.26–15.31 | 27.18 19.69–34.66 17.64–36.71 | 84% |
| Shots in box | 10.87 7.93–13.81 7.10–14.64 | 7.19 4.51–9.87 3.77–10.60 | 18.06 12.44–23.68 10.87–25.25 | 77% 16% |
| Blocked shots | 4.27 2.39–6.15 1.84–6.69 | 2.88 1.23–4.54 0.74–5.03 | 7.15 3.62–10.69 2.58–11.72 | 63% 13% 24% |
| Corners | 5.74 3.53–7.95 2.95–8.53 | 3.96 1.96–5.96 1.43–6.49 | 9.70 5.49–13.91 4.38–15.02 | 66% 23% |
| Possession % | 59.53 52.74–66.32 51.07–67.99 | 41.35 34.56–48.13 32.89–49.80 | — | 85% |
| Passes | 561 494–628 476–647 | 386 319–452 302–470 | 947 813–1081 778–1116 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.67 69.64–77.70 68.35–78.99 | 69.42 65.10–73.75 63.79–75.06 | — | 69% 27% |
| Fouls | 11.22 8.39–14.06 7.63–14.82 | 15.05 12.11–18.00 11.36–18.74 | 26.27 20.49–32.06 18.99–33.56 | 20% 74% |
| Offsides | 2.19 1.03–3.35 0.73–3.65 | 1.82 0.73–2.92 0.44–3.20 | 4.02 1.76–6.27 1.17–6.86 | 47% 20% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.45 0.40–2.50 0.14–2.77 | 2.42 1.29–3.55 1.00–3.84 | 3.88 1.70–6.05 1.14–6.61 | 22% 19% 59% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.56 1.13–4.00 0.74–4.39 | 3.80 2.25–5.36 1.82–5.78 | 6.37 3.37–9.36 2.56–10.17 | 24% 14% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.