Predicted match statistics
Goals
27%
24%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.221.732.95safe0.25–2.180.88–2.591.13–4.77safer0.00–2.440.65–2.820.65–5.25
Shots on target
33%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.385.209.58safe2.52–6.243.46–6.955.98–13.19safer2.03–6.732.99–7.415.02–14.14
Total shots
41%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2513.9627.21safe9.32–17.1710.40–17.5219.72–34.69safer8.23–18.269.44–18.4817.67–36.74
Shots in box
38%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction8.279.0417.32safe5.33–11.216.36–11.7311.69–22.94safer4.50–12.045.63–12.4610.13–24.51
Blocked shots
40%
15%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction3.473.657.12safe1.59–5.352.00–5.313.59–10.66safer1.04–5.901.51–5.802.55–11.69
Corners
46%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction5.195.0210.21safe2.97–7.403.02–7.025.99–14.42safer2.40–7.982.49–7.554.89–15.53
Possession %
17%
80%
homeawayprediction42.3957.58safe35.60–49.1850.79–64.36safer33.93–50.8549.12–66.03
Passes
16%
84%
homeawaytotalprediction395513908safe327–462447–580774–1042safer309–480429–597739–1077
Pass accuracy %
87%
homeawayprediction66.0875.19safe62.05–70.1170.86–79.51safer60.76–71.4069.55–80.82
Fouls
70%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2811.0725.35safe11.44–17.128.13–14.0219.57–31.14safer10.69–17.877.38–14.7718.07–32.64
Offsides
36%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.892.103.99safe0.73–3.051.01–3.201.74–6.25safer0.43–3.350.72–3.481.15–6.83
Yellow cards
43%
22%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.881.683.56safe0.83–2.930.56–2.811.38–5.74safer0.56–3.190.26–3.100.82–6.30
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.090.18safe0.00–0.260.00–0.270.00–0.53safer0.00–0.410.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
51%
16%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.502.916.41safe2.06–4.931.35–4.463.41–9.40safer1.67–5.320.93–4.892.60–10.21
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.22 0.25–2.18 0.00–2.44 | 1.73 0.88–2.59 0.65–2.82 | 2.95 1.13–4.77 0.65–5.25 | 27% 24% 50% |
| Shots on target | 4.38 2.52–6.24 2.03–6.73 | 5.20 3.46–6.95 2.99–7.41 | 9.58 5.98–13.19 5.02–14.14 | 33% 54% |
| Total shots | 13.25 9.32–17.17 8.23–18.26 | 13.96 10.40–17.52 9.44–18.48 | 27.21 19.72–34.69 17.67–36.74 | 41% 52% |
| Shots in box | 8.27 5.33–11.21 4.50–12.04 | 9.04 6.36–11.73 5.63–12.46 | 17.32 11.69–22.94 10.13–24.51 | 38% 53% |
| Blocked shots | 3.47 1.59–5.35 1.04–5.90 | 3.65 2.00–5.31 1.51–5.80 | 7.12 3.59–10.66 2.55–11.69 | 40% 15% 45% |
| Corners | 5.19 2.97–7.40 2.40–7.98 | 5.02 3.02–7.02 2.49–7.55 | 10.21 5.99–14.42 4.89–15.53 | 46% 42% |
| Possession % | 42.39 35.60–49.18 33.93–50.85 | 57.58 50.79–64.36 49.12–66.03 | — | 17% 80% |
| Passes | 395 327–462 309–480 | 513 447–580 429–597 | 908 774–1042 739–1077 | 16% 84% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.08 62.05–70.11 60.76–71.40 | 75.19 70.86–79.51 69.55–80.82 | — | 87% |
| Fouls | 14.28 11.44–17.12 10.69–17.87 | 11.07 8.13–14.02 7.38–14.77 | 25.35 19.57–31.14 18.07–32.64 | 70% 23% |
| Offsides | 1.89 0.73–3.05 0.43–3.35 | 2.10 1.01–3.20 0.72–3.48 | 3.99 1.74–6.25 1.15–6.83 | 36% 21% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.88 0.83–2.93 0.56–3.19 | 1.68 0.56–2.81 0.26–3.10 | 3.56 1.38–5.74 0.82–6.30 | 43% 22% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.50 2.06–4.93 1.67–5.32 | 2.91 1.35–4.46 0.93–4.89 | 6.41 3.41–9.40 2.60–10.21 | 51% 16% 33% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+